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Nothing Like the Real Thing

Posted November 06, 2009 7:59 AM

Advances in CAD and simulation software have enabled countless manufacturers to create virtual prototypes of products, a trend that has cut costs and accelerated time to market. But one major manufacturer — Toyota — has concluded that too much reliance on such virtual designs can hurt quality. Machine Design reports that Toyota ramped up production of physical prototypes after concluding that digital tests often fell short in replicating real world driving conditions. In pursuing your quality goals, what do you find is the right balance between virtual and real prototypes of new products?

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#1

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/07/2009 9:19 AM

Its no different than the difference between an engineer coming out of college compared to one that has 20 years experience.

The difference from experience based solely on book knowledge compared to 20 years practical real world experience and knowledge

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#2
In reply to #1

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/07/2009 3:01 PM

I am looking for such >virtual<< simulation program for my inventions, and I noted big problems in existing simulation software.

One problem is that people who write programs usually don't know Physic so they probably hire some Physicists that don't know program possibilities.

Therefore tests are separated nearly completely, and nothing could be farther from reality where there is synergy and even emergent characteristics in functioning of most of systems. As we all know, each system is more than just sum of its parts, and each subsystem is dependent on some other subsystem.

So far even there is no universal 3D body description that would include characteristics of materials, and description has to be transformed from one form to another for particular test to be made.

From that is not hard to conclude that merely pushing system trough formulas do not give >>real life<< results, even if they correlate Virtual and real testing and try to tweak formulas to get more authentic results that match reality.

Because of this, in end analyse, total cost is still greater than desired.

It all stem from lack of planning and analyse of simulation system as such, and lack of specialist experience and real knowledge of what is going on in car crash by those that make program is showing, so even if TOYOTA use one of most expensive packages for simulations on market, LMS CAD, I am sure they cannot get results even in close cooperation between people who do >>real<< testing and programmers, simply because program expect user to input formulas in order that it can work.

I have ideas how to make universal 3D body descriptions that would include materials used and materials would >>inherit<< characteristics of particular material, so system would be identical to >real<< one as close as we would want, specially in days of multi-core processors, lot of available RAM and even swarm computing.

Next, I would do it in >>virtual<< TIME also, instead >>real time<<, because this is only way on computers to get true >>parallel processing<< and at same time would results in one test be reflected on results in another as they are interdependent in real life, not separated.

Perhaps also more complex formulas could be devised that could calculate results for all forces simultaneously, like for instance we can solve systems of many unknowns, no matter how complicatedly they are interdependent.....

But to be able to program effectively in parallel computing, which is still not achieved, new kind of compiler is necessary, that I also plan to make. Since there is too many programming languages, there should also be just ONE programming language with capabilities of whole range of levels in computations, from >>Machine Language<< of particular CPU to simulations and building >>Cognitive models<<.

Next, we must stop treat programming as >>Esoteric Art<<, and threat it as any engineering construction work. As we all know, it is not possible to sell car that is not safe and is ready to use by any driver with driving license, so why we tolerate program applications that disclaim usefulness >>for any particular purpose<<?

Because of this, programmers could not rely on Operating Systems they use, and more time is spent avoiding bugs in OS then for programming, and same is with compilers of half baked programming languages that tend to grow in uncontrolled ways, thus enlarging complexity and confusion and making learning process harder and harder for beginners.

So, that is why results of >>Virtual models<< still cannot be compared to >>reality<<, specially since in existing simulations they program one by one set of conditions, and programs are not made to be >>flexible<< enough to be able to compute results for whole range of similar conditions.

In real life, conditions change as we go, and combinations are numerous while each particular condition add or subtract some factor that should be properly calculated if we want >>real<< results from >>Virtual<< model.

Still, it could be done if someone has sit and analyse what would program had to do and which parameters influence results, as there is >>Fuzzy Logic<< programming, >>Neural Networks<< programming and >>Genetic Algorithms<< or >>Evolution<< programming, even if they are also used separately instead together, but in fields of mechanical simulations, I am afraid, they are not used at all, save for some strictly specialized ore flotation devices simulations made on order........

In contrast, my program would use it all together in true Object Oriented style programming where segments of space as well as that of time would be treated as objects, and results would be propagated from one to another, in all directions of space at same time segment, just like in our real, 3D world......

That is what static use of inflexible formulas cannot do, and as we know, there is reaction to every action, specially in car crash, and I would say those were not taken into account in simulated environment.

Since tests are separated in modeling collision probably temperature of materials is also disregarded, and most drastic difference would be if car is say, frozen by liquid Nitrogen or if it is half melted from heat (I exaggerate, of course, but even smaller differences would show different results, specially in temperature sensitive materials like plastic that would be more elastic if hot and more easily broken if frozen. Frozen cars are also harder to start, steel is more brittle and so on...).

Also, collision effects change as they propagate from collision point inward, as force of crash has been absorbed by elasticity of materials and energy is spent on breaking materials, but still it is not same if something hot is pushed into car gasoline reservoir or some >>live<< wire has lost its insulation and is in contact with spilled gasoline from broken gasoline pipe or tank, and so on....... Effects are propagated and compounded, which separate tests would not show at all, that is why >>real<< testing is still better than Virtual one.

As soon as I find investor for my inventions and production would start, I would have money and time to work on this program for compiler of LAST programing language and universal simulation program that would be even able to super-optimize device for its function, once we get any results showing that it would at least do what it is intended for.

Regards from Croatia, homeland of one of greatest inventors, Engineer Nikola Tesla!

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#3

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/07/2009 8:52 PM

From personal experience of having worked with PLC and PLR system programing and applications in real life working environments I have found that even though every specs sheet, schematic, and mathematical formula was followed to fine detail there always needs to be a post install tuning session that is required.

Despite everything having been accounted for in the simulations and thus programed into the units there is always something thats unknown that shows up when put into actual working environments. Many of those carefully calculated inputs and conditions always seem to be off too far one way or another. And quite often there is a unknown that pops up that is from an influence outside of the assumed working environment that could not have ever been seen or assumed during the virtual test and tune session.

For me simulation is a good base but still it always falls far short of what the real life application of a device will show and tell you.

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#4

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/10/2009 11:07 AM

Simulation should be use to reduce amount of physical prototype needed. We should use simulation to get as close to the requirement as needed then test and fine tune it with a physical model. We need to remember all the engineering math and formulas are just an estimation, nothing is 100% correct. Many had forgot a computer model is just a "pretty accurate guess" of the real thing.

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#5
In reply to #4

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/10/2009 12:14 PM

ga

establish a reference point to start wth

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#6

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/12/2009 9:42 AM

CAD and simulation software can help resolve nearly every technical issue you can imagine. Unfortunately the issues that cause the most problems with new products and processes are the ones you didn't imagine.

One interesting example from my experience was an automated wood cutoff saw that had problems with jamming due to aerodynamic effects caused by the saw blade. I did not consider this issue, and unless a modeling program is sophisticated to check every possible environmental effect and interaction between components it is unlikely to "find" things that the designer did not think about.

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#7
In reply to #6

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/12/2009 12:50 PM

CAD and simulation software can help resolve nearly every technical issue you can imagine.

Helps, but tenacity and perspiration is more important

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#8
In reply to #7

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/12/2009 2:02 PM

Right!

But it is a tool that could save lot of perspiration and money.

Just consider building tunnel trough stone mountain using shovels and picks, compared to using diamond head drilling machine.

Tenacity is fine and necessary trait, but to build that 11 Km tunnel trough live stone for one man with a pick would take lifetime, and for one operating that drill just few months.......

But without tools, no tenacity and any imaginable sea sized perspiration would not help making same tunnel, I would say :-))

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#9
In reply to #8

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/12/2009 6:12 PM

With that being said, its not click and done.......

for 25 years, I have heard its on cad. When one just has to do a change is just a few clicks of a mouse and da daaaa. its done. The tool is as only as good as the person that knows how to operate it, whether its a pick axe or diamond drill. Its still the person, that know how to use it. And its still sweat and tears.

But without tools, no tenacity and any imaginable sea sized perspiration would not help making same tunnel, I would say

When doing something you do not know what it curtails no matter what tools you have at your disposal, tenacity and sweat it would still get done. Pyramids did not wait for diamonds drills. Just like I am not going to start this project till the tool is developed to replace diamond drills. That tool would never be develop. get my point.

p911

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#10
In reply to #9

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/13/2009 2:08 PM

Perhaps I am to tired right now, so I dont get Your point........

Of course first requirement in any job is that one knows what should be done.

Persistence in efforts is better than giving up, but I thought I was comparing similar differences.

Question is only what is probability of making wrong assessment of problem or simply overlooking some details that later prove that project would not work.

Case in question is, if prototype is expensive and money is scarce, nobody in his right mind would start building something without foolproof plans, specially since in physical prototype changes are much more expensive. Same is with time, if building of prototype make one to come to market late, than what use was all tenacity and perspiration?

I have seen perfect example few years back: One team of programmers were developing programming language from group of BASICs for 25+ years.

Surely, their tenacity is marvelous, but for perspiration I have no informations. But what is fruit of all their efforts? One would expect it is best that can be, right?

Unfortunately, wrong!

It is just ordinary Basic compiler, and 30 times better one existed even in time when they started. Granted, BASICS were interpretative languages at this time, but there were at least Interpreter/Compiler pairs.

Time has passed, and they did not noticed, that completely new paradigms like Object Oriented Programming were invented, and they boast to have BASIC that do not need numbers in the program lines :-((

So seeing that all their efforts were useless, they made it >>Public Domain<<, thinking that maybe this way somebody would start using it.

I agree with You that people making programs usually sell cat in a bag, maybe not intentionally, just because their idea what program should do and what kind of >>computer animation<< user expect was terribly wrong........

For instance, what use would be for simulation program to have >>cartoon<< type of animation? IMHO, NO use at all.........

I just could not have believed my eyes when I saw what is that >>perfect animation<< they were advertising. It was 2D animation, and very bad at that.

I for instance need to simulate Wind and Solar Power Stations, and even tried and tested factory product cost at least million Euro to build, so how much would a prototype cost? If one have enough scrap materials, tools and time, and like to do it as hobby, then by all means, let him do it, because it is his time and money and efforts that would be spent.

I for one thing hate to work without proper tools, or without tools at all, but sometimes there is no time to make tool, or there are lot of tools (I find some 600+ CAD and Simulation programs on the market) one cannot buy and test until he find proper one, and the way people make software this days, this is really horrible!

I hoped somebody would recommend me good and reasonably priced CAE program that could do simulations, but it seems that my conclusion after 3 years of search is correct: such program do not exist on market!

Most are worse than useless (for what I need, that is) because one has to buy them and they would not be taken back, as everyone thinks that nobody need to guarantee that program work, and usually it is half finished or specialized for one of few kind of testing, but each test is separate, and in real life things are happening at same time and more often than not, some synergy is utilized, and all good systems are more than just sum of their parts.

If I knew that my persistence in seeking for such program would wield no results, I would sit and make one myself, as I am old time professional who cannot accept philosophy that each program has to have bugs, that they are unavoidable.......

If I have had money, I would hire Physicist to work with me (I have one friend who has studied Physic, but in spite of him being unemployed and having no other obligations, he insist that I have to pay him first......

Now, since he need a job, I understand this, but I also understand that he would like to work as long as possible, so he would be staling wherever possible. At last, I would have to buy the books and learn what I need to know, and that would be fastest way to do it.

So, It is hard to hire someone I know, and how would I know what some other candidate can do.......

I thought some engineers would help me, but all have same methodology: to build at least several prototypes and experiment with design changes......

If materials would not be expensive and they would like to do it, perhaps I would let them experiment, but since time is essential and irreplaceable commodity, I would have to be rich and hire 100 engineers, but how would I avoid duplicating efforts? If we start discussion, it would never be done.. I have seen that many times, and in the end, I had to take it and do it myself, as more often than not, it takes more time to explain to somebody what exactly one has in mind, and anybody else can even interpret words in light of their own experiences, and result would not be what I wanted.......

I remember one time I wanted to replace rollers on my office chair that had plastic rollers, and I happened to have some brass pieces if almost appropriate shape but little bigger, which I did not have considered to be a problem. I had friend who is Precision Mechanic and he had his own machine shop, so I asked him to do it, since I have sold my fathers machines, thinking they would only rot in the basement and become useless. I wanted just that he drill holes and make that pieces to fit into their holders instead of plastic rollers.

He did wonderful job, real work of art, but he made some mistake in measurement, so in the end that all was useless, as that beautiful designed rollers cannot be put to use, and now material is missing so they could not been made in smaller diameter.

I am quite sure he sweated a lot and was persistent until he made all six rollers identical. Unfortunately, exactly that half centimeter that he left for outer rim of wheels was super fluous.

As we say in Croatia: >>One's road to hell is paved by good intentions and best wishes of other people<<.......

I have seen it many times, only when person do it with his own hands, it is good enough, even if it not the best, so most of the time I do all by myself.

Still, I like to have appropriate tool, assuming that I know what I want to do and which tool can do it.

In this case, I must say that I dont know...

Soon at least I would have to know this, as people with money want to know what they should buy..........

We say in Croatia: >>If You dont know what is good, take that which is expensive<< but in our times some people are asking exorbitant prices for what turn out to be something else completely, if not also quite useless.......

Can You recommend some good program You have used?

Or I have to bit the bullet and make my own?

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#11
In reply to #10

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/13/2009 10:14 PM

Henrik14:

Case in question is, if prototype is expensive and money is scarce, nobody in his right mind would start building something without foolproof plans, specially since in physical prototype changes are much more expensive.

Thats kinda the point I was getting at. I have designed OEM process equipment, where the basic or foundation concept was strong. but if we knew what the actual price/or cost to overcome issues was going to be, the project would have been scraped before it started, then nothing would have been accomplished

Once a commitment was made though, one followed through, and if the engineering was sound, one developed a innovated piece of equipment, but if one knew before hand what kind of crisis or problems were going to arise, the project never would have taken place. AtLeast I saw it that way, the challenge of overcoming uncertainty for the engineer, that part I enjoyed.....though not at the time.... only in retrospect

But if poor initial engineering was done, for the foundation concepts was made, than there would be loses.

p911

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#12
In reply to #11

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/14/2009 5:07 AM

Yes, therefore if such problems could be encountered in >>virtual<< world, it is my opinion that anyone should find solution faster and much cheaper, provided that software is at least 98% identical to real conditions.

Then, when at least one is sure basic design is sound and thing has to work, could be building of prototype attempted.

Of course that experienced person would always do better than someone without experience, regardless of tools used, virtual ones included.

Are You using any kind of such CAD/CAE/CAM software that can enable one to design things >>Virtually<<??

I really need some information from experienced user of some program to know its strength and weaknesses, and to ask if something like this

could be modeled and tested, as I think this is near perfect wind turbine, and I know ways to improve on this design. I have made paper prototypes of improved models, but that is not going to look serious to Investors, unless I could show some computer analyses with proof that this is not just a toy to play with.

So, can You help me?

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#13
In reply to #12

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/15/2009 12:48 PM

Morning Henrik14,

Yo9u inadvertedly gave a good example. You get out of what you put into it. Yes you need supporting evidence to to convince people that the project is valid. But thepoint I am geting at is even touh software can simulate, And you ned people who cn set up the environmnt to simulate. These people may b able to make the programs work a nice dog an pony show, but becuse they do not understand the fundamentals they would not be able to reconize faults to the program or reason or identify the program is putting ot false or ivalid information or data.

I know of a few threads that touchd off on this issue. Here is a one of them #17 on Education.

You see even though software can assist on development, thats al it does....assist. Te persn is still responcible for the results.

A good example is Compress ASME software . even though ths software can simulate a desig is valid. I is still up to the engineer to confirm it. And it is the engineer responsibil;t to confom it is correct. And not the software.

One other good example. I had an engineer that Graduted from Michigan Tech. Workd al kinds of simultion software dealing with kinematics. Well our company had CAD bu at the time did not have this kinemtic extention so you figured out graphicly (manually) on the tube.

Well he kept on screw up the sizes, I ased him what the hell are you doing, he blamed the antiquated software, I Askd him t sow me because you wer the only one hvinbg problems.

Turns out when he sized the lengths of the air cylinder, he used the arc distance, and not point to point distance (fully retracted/fully extended) After showing him.....repeatedly, and him still having a hard time uderstanding and picking it up. (it was easier for him to blame the software, because he did not understand fundmentals of kinemtics)

I repeat software is only atol to assist, and not the answer......

I have to fix my keyboard now.....or replace it...startingf topiss m off...somonespilld sometin o it.

p911

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#14
In reply to #13

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/15/2009 6:30 PM

Evening Phoenix911,

I truly understand that tool by itself cannot work, as we say in Croatia:

>>Battle is not won by quality of arms, but by heart of warrior<< (losely translated)

Still You did not get my point: I have made prototype and it work, but it is small and not nice looking as I made it myself with materials and tools at hand.

Therefore, if I can show potential Investors some computer simulation for same instalation in >>life sized<< proportions with all elements tested proving that if this is built same way it would be strong, cheap and working as expected.

Case in question is Wind Power station, where it cost in serial production at least 750 000 Euro as production price for contemporary models, and to make downsized prototype makes no sense because same type of tools must be used to produce components as in target sized model, and to produce just one or even few prototypes and then throw tools to make new and build >>real<< thing would be too costly experiment.

Therefore, I need program by which I could >>Virtualy<< build Windpower Station in life size and test it under all combinations of wind strenght and weather type, in turbulent and in laminar flow, whatever I could think of and is possible to occur in real life.

My reasoning is that if I could be reasonably sure that results of program are matching reality at least 90% and all elements are tested and have some reserve strenght to withstand unexpected work conditions, then I could guarantee investor that it would not be failure in reality and that it would work as expected.

Then investor would agree to invest money in building pilot instalation, knowing that tools made or purchased for it can pay themself back in serial production, so money would really be invested and not squandered.

Of course, even with best program in the world, if I do not know what I am doing, I would not be able to construct anything, just like in reality if I would start building prototype, I first must know what it is going to be, and what I have to include so it would function in reality, just like one cannot build house without foundations.

But program should be able to calculate that if house is built with foundations that cannot bear weight of walls, that house would collapse, that if I do not use speciall type of fundations building house on the hill, that it would slide downhill, or that of I do not use walls strong enough to bear weight of upper stories and the roof, it would collapse. Program should be able to simulate earthquakes of different strenght and show me wether house would stand or fall, or walls would broke if I do not use proper brick layout, or that roof can be blown away by first wind and so on.

I could envision beautifull slender construction, but I must be sure it would stand its own weight, right? Like few years ago when they wanted to build 1 kilometer high chimney in Australia, just to find out that material cannot stand its own weight.

In my case, I want to be able to adjust construction size to prevailing wind speed at location, with some oversizing if I want to use all available wind, and strong enough to withstand even hurricane without breaking.

So, even if I know what it has to have, I need to find optimal construction because cost of producing and instaling it is important. If it would be too expensive, nobody would buy it, right? If it would break too easily, who would take it if it would need constant repairs?

With program, I can vary sizes and compare results, try stronger materials if program results show it is easily broken, or try less strong materials that would be cheaper to buy if construction can stand even in hurricane.......

I have to do it because cost of Power station directly influence cost of electricity produced.

It is true that in case I would be >real< engineer with lot of experience in building similar constructions, I would have foreknowledge and would choose what is allready tested in practice, so it would be guarantee that construction can withstand all kind of winds and combined weather conditions, like rain freezing on it and adding lot of weight.

Then new construction would probably be just variation of good constructions built before, and therefore safe to build.

But if construction would be new, like Geo Dome once was novel idea, or other self supporting structures, would it not be easier to construct it >>Virtually<< first and let program test it to see if it would stand or collapse by itself, and how much shaking or additional weight it can stand........

It would be much easier task for someone who has been doing similar things 20 years, as You say, or at least someone who knows what program can do and in which form should data be supplied to it, But if I reveal my revolutionary idea to anybody else before it is at least submitted for patenting, it would more likely to be stolen than not, right? Specially when anybody who start production can earn hundreds of milions Euro in profit per year..........

Therefore, I believe that I can find Investors that would help me finalize idea and prepare engineering blueprints, if I could show computer simulation results that would show how it would function better than other Windpower stations without their known problems and that cost would be within acceptable range and not greater than cost of contemporary instalations.

If from construction type it is visible that it would not require speciall cranes, access roads, expensive maintenance and still more expensive repair, then it would be easier to find people who would conclude it is better investment than building contemporary models, specially if my Windpower stations can produce same results with half weaker wind, which can be available on 15 times more locations, or practicaly everywhere, while contemporary models can be used on just few.

I know for instance that it is possible to use Bamboo sticks instead of metal or plastic pipes, specially in tropical climate where there cannot be rain that is freezing and covering construction in ice, and it is strong and elastic enough to withstand any strenght of wind, if pieces are connected safely. Then also, if material from which construction is built is cheap, in case of damage it could be replaced at no great cost.

But what I do not know is how thick those bamboo stick or trunks have to be to withstand strongest wind in the area, and that I expect that program would be able to calculate for me. Real engineer would know this at first sight, specially if one was working with Bamboo before, or could find data about it which I would be hard put to find. I may know enough, but maybe not. I for instance think it is safe from termites because it is very hard and contain SiO2 cristals, maybe it is candy for thermites and has to be chemically threated to protect it.........

But if Bamboo can be used, then my constructions would be much cheaper in countries where Bamboo grows naturaly, and result would be cheaper electricity produced.

On the other hand, it is elastic, but it could be elastic too much and so preclude functions of whole instalation.

It would not cost that much to experiment with, but first I have to have some engineering drawings and plans, and that would be more easily made by program than by hand.

So, You and other engineers reccommend building prototypes first, but I need prototypes to find investors, and who would invest in building of prototypes?

If I find someone interested, would it not be easier to convince that person with computer simulation results?

I am aware that contemporary programs are far from perfect, but some may be closer to reality than others, no?

THAT is information I need, as someone has to invest in such program first.

All I can show right now is something like this:

I could nicely explain all principles used and give example of such principle in work, but would not investors be more interested if I can say how big it would be, how much materials would cost and instalation, beside planned production capacity of 1 MW at speed of wind 3m/sec. Well, I could say that roughly size of opening for catching the wind would be 40x40m, but maybe half less would be enough, maybe it could be higher than wide and still catch fastest wind automaticaly, but would it be stable enough when wind start pushing it from side?

I could explain my ideas how could such construction be safe from strongest wind and why, but surely I would be more convincing if I can show it in all details, and perhaps also they can see how it is turning in the wind without need for use of electricity, and that it do not need to be started using it either, that there is no need to stop it in strong wind as it is self regulating and that wind protect it from its own strenght.....

Maybe it would be enough to convince investors, what do You think?

Unfortunately I cannot get contact with Mr. T. Boone Pickens, who should be interested at last in much smaller price and use of slower wind, beside fact of not spending electricity and not causing problems with Grid like contemporary models do.

I got only automatic reply that at moment they are too preocupied with present plans and cannot find time for things I am offering. There was rumor on WEB that Mr. Pickens would give up on plans for his last Windfarm for lack of financing support from Banks. If I could contact him, I can explain how those new Windpower stations can finance their own building, and how there could be 100 times more units in same area, using whole range of wind speeds, as long as there is at least minimal wind speed available.

I can explain how I turned faults and problems of contemporary Windpower stations into new source of energy.........

Actually, this is just one of my constructions, and I have improved on design of both active and pasive Windpower stations, where later even protect land and make it more valuable for food production even on totaly infertile ground.........

I just wish that Mr. Pickens or someone who knows him would read this, then all my problems with finding Investors would be over.

Regards from Croatia, homeland of great inventor, Engineer Nikola Tesla!

Marijan Pollak, IT SA/SE 1st. Class, Instructor and Team Leader (retired)

P.S. Sorry for spelling mistakes, I again wrote too big text for spelingchecker to process.........

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#15
In reply to #14

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/15/2009 8:26 PM

You touch off on alot of pints.....points..

I have wondered how things were done in the past as compared to how its done now. Take for example of Buckmister Fuller with the Geodesic Dome and such. You can walk away but never give up and try again.

Nikola Tesla was underrated and taked avantage of.

I again wrote too big text for spelingchecker to process.........

So thats the reason I was having with spellchecker.

Good day,

p911

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#16

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/16/2009 11:48 AM

I still haven't figured out how I can drive my real vehicle through a virtual tunnel in a real mountain!

Some times you just have to take an educated guess and dare to pick up the real tools you have available and start using sweat, tears and imagination.

Our brains are still the best computers and virtual simulators ever created. Plus they have the optional imagination and real time update and analysis functions as well!

Granted sadly too many never got even a basic reality based life applications programing package installed though. They are all theory no reality No computer system or software package will ever equal that knowledge and experience of having just stood there and screamed at a mountain in frustration!

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#17
In reply to #16

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/16/2009 1:51 PM

ga

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#18
In reply to #16

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/16/2009 2:01 PM

Well, according to your own advice, You should have used imagination, or picke some tools and hack this tunel trough living rock...:-((

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#19
In reply to #18

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/16/2009 3:21 PM

What makes you think that in my real life while the 'experts' are debating on what simulation software and parameters should be used I am not already out there building what needs to be done and not worrying about 'what if' until it actually happens?

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#21
In reply to #19

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/16/2009 4:24 PM

You say that You would go and build the house and don't worry if it would collapse by itself or because of earthquake, until it happen?

In such case I would rather that even imperfect program >>shake<< my >>Virtual<< house first to see if i did not overlooked some detail and take something for granted, which may not be granted in that particular case.

So, what do You do if near the end of work You find a flaw in Your design, or if in the end Your prototype do not work, or is very inefficient?

I can guess: You scrap it and build another differently!

But, it is OK if You have enough money and time, and are spending YOUR money.

I have read about projects that were worked on for 7 or 9 years, and they at end find out that parts developed separately are not compatible and cannot be connected.......

That comes out of such system: do it first and worry later......

Well, that is just my opinion, don't shoot me for it!

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#22
In reply to #21

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/16/2009 5:25 PM

A person who has worked in the field directly has a solid understanding of whats likely needed already. When something new comes along the whole event is not entirely 100% new to them but rather just a complex variation on what they already have experienced in the past.

When you travel some place do you need to run a lengthy simulation of the route and include all possible scenarios in that simulation or do you just get going and deal with the events as they unfold based on your confidence and experience gained from previous travels?

For me to build a house myself without simulations before hand would be no big concern. I have built many things in my life and have enough experience to know that my design will be adequately built for the realistic conditions relative to the location its being built in.

Around here earth quake proofing a house would be a stupid waste of time. We don't have any recorded history of earthquakes here that would possibly justify the added expense in construction. But we do have a strong history of regular high winds so building that house with a reinforced roof and wall structures designed towards additional wind load protection would be a normal and acceptable thing to do and would automatically be included in my design efforts!

So how did the great architects and builders of old design so many great structures without computers and simulation programs? I will put my money on that they probably had very good life experience first and just knew what would work and what should be designed for by knowledge collected over a life time.

All the simulation software in the world still wont replace they guy with the knowledge and experience with his tools who actually knows how to swing the hammer and actualy build it!

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#23
In reply to #22

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/16/2009 6:07 PM

I agree with You, all depends on how close past experience is to problem at hand...

How has engineers solved problems in past, good example is Dome of St. Peter's Cathedral in Rome, that was built 7 times in 110 years until they got it right.

But this is also earthquake prone area as Italy have two active volcanoes: Etna and Vesuf, so maybe those domes that collapsed were just not earthquake tested.....

North Dakota, is it far from Yellowstone Park? I have read recently that there is super-volcano underneath Yellowstone Park, and that it is about to explode, and compared to this eruption, one from St. Helen's, few years ago, would be looking like firecracker...

In my city, it is obligatory that buildings are protected up to 6th level of earthquake, as one such has already occurred in my lifetime, and nearly 30% of houses were broken beyond repair, so they have had to be torn down as unsafe for living.

I remember that just year before some architect has projected new hotel, and he made it earthquake proof, so investors put him on Court for reasons of oversized expenditures for no valid reason. Court was in session over this when earthquake has striked, and after dust has settled, hotel was untouched.....

After this architect sued investors for besmirching his name, and they had to pay exorbitant sum, by far greater than cost of this hotel :-))

So, YES, one must know what one is doing..........

But in my case, regardless that I know what I am doing and I know there is no reason that my inventions would not work, therefore if there would be money and it would be required, I am sure that prototype built would work on first try.

But, I have no money to build prototype, so how can I get money from Investor to finalize my ideas and make engineering plans?

Now, that area sound ideal for my Windpower stations, are You interested in some cooperation?

Investors ask for >>Proof of Concept<<, so what would You do in my place?

Regards from Zagreb, the Capitol of Croatia, Europe!

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#24
In reply to #23

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/16/2009 8:26 PM

I am about a 6 hour drive from Yellowstone. For us dust fall out would be our bigger concerns being we have far more farm land than large structures and urban development.

Around here there are no real earthquake design requirements. Its just not something considered relevant in our construction techniques simply due to location and natural geological conditions. We have no real bedrock for thousands of down in much of our region which makes our ground naturally very absorbent to earthquake energy.

As far as wind power my state is putting up massive systems as fast as they can get them built!

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#25
In reply to #24

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/17/2009 12:01 AM

Hi, tcmtech!

I had a hunch that You are close to Yellowstone, but I do not know geography of US and I tought I saw North Dakota on that volcano map... But, how can You drive there in just 6 hours trough all those mountains? At which speed?

That report say that Caldera at Yellowstone has risen 13 meters in last 10 years, and one half of Yellowstone lake is gone, and that most of trails are closed because ground is at 200+ degrees of Celsius.

Try to search >>Yellowstone supervolcano<< ... Some scientist say government don't want to plan evacuation because in first hour all in area of 600km diameter would be under lava and volcanic ash would cover area all the way to San Francisco. Check for yourself. 1/3 of US would be under volcanic ash, if that happen.... But, if 100 cubic KILOMETERS of ash got into atmosphere, there would be no sunlight for 15 years....

http://www.solcomhouse.com/yellowstone.htm

I would either make bunch of geothermal power stations and cool thing off with lot of water (but for this a sea of water would be needed), or make >>controlled volcano<< of smaller dimensions to went some of that pressure out. That should be less catastrophic for sure, and if it would be expected, so then people can go away in time and save themselves.......

In regard to Windpower stations, my are much better than contemporary models and work as long as there is wind without need to stop. They don't need any electricity for work either. For small sum of 50 000 Euro I could finalize it to point of engineering drawings, and then installation can begin. They need much less wind to work and automatically use strongest wind in case there is laminar flow.

If You would be interested to invest money, I shall give You 10% from fixed Production License price, and 20% from each License You would sell.

If You get me Investor, You get 5% also.

I tried to contact Mr. T. Boone Pickens, but cannot bypass program that reply automatically. One friend have contacted him in January, and Mr. Pickens was interested, but asked for >>Proof of Concept<<.

I guess engineering plans would be enough for this.

If made from good materials (for instance, stainless steel or UV stabilized Nylon plastic, maybe carbon fibers enhanced), my Windpower stations could last very long time as there is no moving parts that could wear out, save for generator, and turbine is also indestructible.

No need for big cranes, access roads, no bird kill nor infrasonics created, all the best there can be!

I could explain it all, if You would be interested, but after signing some Agreement about cooperation or representation of my company....

I have also new kind of Solarpower stations also that need no heliostats to work, and my passive windpower stations could be combined with Solar concentrators also.

Land footprint is near zero, and even unfertile land could be used as part of construction can be used as greenhouse.

Regards, Marijan Pollak

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#31
In reply to #25

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/17/2009 12:21 PM

Sorry my misprint on the drive time. Its 12 hours away. I was thinking it was 12 hours round trip for some reason. (I was a teenager about 20 years ago when I was last in that area) Still thats far enough away for me to have far less earthquake concerns than ash concerns.

No mountains for most of the trip though just relatively flat prairie and interstate roads all the way there. There is some mountainous terrain for the last 100 miles but still it has 4 lane road according to the maps.

Thanks for the investment offer but no. I have my own wind power systems to build And they too use no power when not in operation. As far as harvesting low speed wind the low available power and high cost of design for a machine that can do it just doesn't work out in most applications. Plus a system that does work well with very little wind becomes severely limited in what it can efficiently capture and convert in high winds.

What I have worked on for most of my life has shown that for cost VS design and operation forgetting about the < 8 MPH winds and focusing on catching as much energy as possible from the > 20MPH winds we regularly have around here I can easily produce more usable energy in a day than in a week of low winds.

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#32
In reply to #31

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/17/2009 12:45 PM

I wrote that my PS can be tailored to prevailing wind at location, but be able to use whole available range of wind speeds.

Same way, You are at exceptional location, but slower winds could be found nearly everywhere:

Then there is cheaper cost and simpler installation, practically no maintenance and no breakdowns, save for generator, but since it is on the ground then it is easily maintained and repaired or replaced.

My PS do not use electricity at all, only produce it.

But, it is Your choice to limit Yourself on one area and spend life in maintenance and costly repairs.....

Regards, Marijan Pollak

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#33
In reply to #32

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/17/2009 2:36 PM

So how is a complex web of tubing thats going to be quite heavy and time consuming possibly get fabricated and installed for less that the current single tower three blade systems that are basically a big gearbox, synchronous generator, and some smart switchgear?

And what power are the current systems using thats so great when they are idle? I've been in them before. The systems monitoring the whole machine are basically a small computer that at most draws a few hundred watts. Thats a pretty small standby load in comparison to the 1.2 megawatts they put out while running. In my location they do have to use gearbox heaters in the winter if the units are sitting idle for a lenghty period of time. Still that power usage is very small when compaired to what they produce when running.

You may really like and believe in your design but apparently the people who make money off of stuff like this are very sceptical. I don't blame them myself.

From an engineering stand point simple to build, ruggedly built,and low parts costs are why the big units look and function the way they do. They may give up some power on the low end but they more than make up for it on the top end where they are designed to run most efficiently at.

Same with what I have designed and built. Mine are just scaled down home built versions of the big systems but with a different generator and line connection system that does allow them to produce power right down to the stall speed of the blades themselves. Or about 4 MPH. Below that the power in the wind is so low it just doesn't justify the added expense of trying to go after it. Tackling the top end extreme high outputs levels produced from the normally too windy type conditions generates far more overall power on a time VS output measurement for much much less design and fabrication costs. Plus building a system to purposely work in very high winds means it can take a tremendous amount of abuse without problems.

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#34
In reply to #33

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/17/2009 10:05 PM

Hi tcmtech,

You keep missing my point about spending electricity in contemporary WPSs, as I do not talk about spending it while they are NOT working as this is small, I am talking about time when they should start when they have to turn into wind by use of motors, they must use generator as motor to get started and they use motors to regulate pitch of turbine blades in attempt to keep rotational speed approximately same.

That is the reason of Grid breakdowns (or so I have read) when farms with hundreds of WPS want to start, and this cannot happen in use of my models.

My WPSs don't work this way, and tubes can have just skeleton with sailcloth spanned over this to get air flow in right direction.

Weight is no problem as whole construction sit on the ground, specially in case of >>Windtraps<< that are passive and do not turn. So even several tons of pipes are not critical, compared to 50 tons that is usually on top of that big pipe or tower in contemporary models.

Gearbox is not needed at all, so there is less cost, less possible need for repairs, no need for maintenance and less loss of energy in transmission.

I cannot agree that it is easier to produce contemporary turbine blades from fiberglass, with complicated system of cooling since their edges went hot in full speed, and using accessways and platforms for that special heavy duty cranes that has to be used to install them and repair them is far from >>simple<<.

Heck, I could make parts for my WPS using hammer and anvil and electrical drill with a stand that has wise to hold that pipe when it is being bored trough.....

All parts are simple and could be connected with nuts and bolts, that is all it takes..

Simple scaffolds are enough for installing it all by hand, there is no problem with transport to the site and so on.

In regard to other points You raised, my WPSs are able to withstand anything and use all available wind without problem, but this I would explain to investor who sign NDA at least with me.

Strong wind are impossible to use like You describe, even if You are producing DC and feeding batteries, as those can start boiling if charged too fast, while centrifugal force may tear such turbine apart. That is reason why big models has to stop in strong wind, which still cannot completely save them from being damaged.

Since my WPSs capture wind, intermittent blowing is not problem like it is with contemporary models, nor laminar flow is source of damage for blades and axle bearings, but is exactly what is used for greatest possible energy production.

Therefore, my models are MUCH cheaper to produce and install, require NO maintenance and NO repair, save for generator unit which sit on the ground and is therefore easily accessible.

They can be built on top of existing buildings without need for special reinforcement for their base, specially on flat roofs, they make no noises, specially no infrasonic that is harmful for people and animals, they do not kill the birds, and they use available wind power MUCH more effectively while not making turbulences, and turbulent wind can be used as well without problems. Size is no problem, therefore capacity is greater by far, and they can be (passive models that do not turn) built in one group of 7 units where each can have one to six turbines, each at least 1 MW capacity, thus giving installations of 7, 21 or 42 MW easily that would use whole range of wind speeds in best possible way. Elements are modular so size is increased by simply puting more of them side by side. If good materals are used that can withstand elements and weather, their life expectancy is near infinite, and one ecological problem can be solved as well, together with producing savings as there is much less need for recycling plastic bottles if my design is used.......

They have ZERO land footprint, because lower parts can be used as greenhouses which protect vegetables or crops or fruits from bad weather and strong wind that cannot blow it away, therefore even previously infertile or stony ground can be turned into good agricultural land or they can be used for any other useful purpose as a warehouse, factory hall, office space, hospitals, cinemas and so on, you name it!

In addition, they can be used as advertisement space if situated by the roads, where they can protect road from strong wind by using it :-))

Of course, smaller models are not so useful as they have to have same height, unless there is strong wind available not so high from the ground......

But then, it is possible to install more small turbines inside one construction as well and get big greenhouse beneath it.

Same way, if big pipe with periscope ending is used for taping into high speed wind, then You can get best of both systems, but this periscope has to be able to turn with wind and would not be so protected from high wind speeds, except that >>Sail effect<< would be far less pronounced, and I have at once envisioned additional protecting system for it also........

So, I have covered every problem contemporary WPS have and turned most of them to good use.

I am sure that with my systems You can produce Megawatts where You are producing Kilowatts at present, with additional benefits as described......

As You know, all surplus electricity can be sold to the Grid company, even if at half market price, so why not use wind that is available and free?

Regards, Marijan Pollak

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#35
In reply to #34

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/17/2009 11:36 PM

Not missing your point. I just prefer my designs more. Mine have been built and have proven themselves to be easy and simple to construct and install.

My stuff is also designed with passive furling and governing systems and will automatically protect themselves from over spin loaded or not. Its not new technology either but basically the same tried and true mechanical centrifugal type of blade pitching system thats has been used since the 1920's.

The only difference for me is that I build the units rather robustly and with oversized parts so that it can handle the higher winds where similar sized factory units cant. There is an upper limit of course but its above what the normal higher winds typically are. By using an oversized generator I can keep the blade speeds under control just by shear load alone. Should the load suddenly drop off the centrifugal furling keeps the unit from over speed just by changing the blade pitch to a less effective angle.

I do not use batteries but instead have my own grid tie inverter system I have designed and built myself. Being that a permanent magnet generator puts out power as long as its spinning its just a matter of setting the loading stages on the grid tie system to match it. Thats how I am able to pick up the lowest possible wind the blades can catch while still being able to put such a heavy load on the unit during high winds as well.

For me and my location I am happy with my work and what I have done so far. I believe my designs are solid and reliable enough now that I am building a system with a 21 foot rotor and 20+ Kw peak safe working capacity. There will be times when it will still be too windy to run without the governing system having to limit the input power but not often.

I have no plans to try and market or sell it to anyone though. My family and a few close friends will get ones of various sizes for free just because I want to give them one to help cut their electrical bills down. But I wont be trying to push them on anyone or be begging for financial investors either. I could care less about selling them right now. Its my design and I am content with what I have created and how they have worked so far plus I already have the money to actually continue to build and work on further developing them should I feel like it.

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#36
In reply to #35

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/18/2009 1:26 AM

Very good!

Except, World need green electricity and anything useful and which is proven to work should be utilized to replace electricity produced by burning fossil fuels or gas, so if You don't have ambitions to produce and sell those good units by yourself, and if You don't need money, then make Your design Public property and publish instructions so people can build such for themselves and others. At least, there are companies that manufacture similar products for farms, and You can sell them Your design if it is better than their, just as long as Your models would be mass produced.

Or, maybe You are one that do not believe in Global Warming process?

Did You think about poor countries that need electricity also?

I do not aim to get rich from selling Production Licenses for my WPSs, I want to give people cheap electricity from reliable installation that would require as little maintenance as possible and which could be produced and installed anywhere.....

What money I earn would be invested in other inventions I have, so people would get water and be free from dependence on natural precipitation for food production.

Lot of cheap electricity would make it all cheaper, from electricity itself, fuels, factory products and food, and with people having more money they would at least be able to pay their mortgages and credits and would not become homeless, nor would Banks and Insurance companies collapse and take people's life savings down the drain.......

That is why I am doing this.....

I wish You all the best, and I would not bother You any more with my Windtraps, but You could have saved me and You lot of time if You have simply wrote this in first place.......

Regards,

Marijan Pollak

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#37
In reply to #36

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/18/2009 9:08 AM

I could care less about what others want. My needs and wants come first. If others really want it as bad as I did they will figure it out themselves. I managed to do it by myself and so can they.

Global warmings more a scam at this point than a provable fact. Or at least too inconclusive to hold up to any real scientific scruteny. Its more of a false belief driven by political, big business, and clueless uneducated or missinformed eco tards because it creates cash flow and makes people feel good about themselves for doing next to nothing.

My country became what it is because we got off our ass's, got educations, and then worked smarter and harder to get what we wanted.

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#38
In reply to #37

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/18/2009 10:02 AM

I wholeheartedly agree that some people are collecting money for themselwes under pretense of saving the World, and that is really bad and unethical.

Unfortunately You are wrong, as measurement in India show that sea level is rising 3 and 1/2 inches per year and salty water threaten to enter their rice fields, most of which are situated in valley of Ganges, so if that happen at least 30% of Indians would starve to death......

Evidence of Global warming is everywhere, and once sea level rise 6 to 22 meters, even US harbours would be under water, including Hawai islands and many other places...

My country as well as half of Europe would be under water when old Panonian sea would be formed again, France and Spain as well as big parts of Africa would be drowned as well as other low level ground near the sea in US like Louisiana, Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, San Francisco Valley.........

Just look on geographic map where low level lands are near the sea, and even North Dakota is not so far from Hudson Bay and lakes of Canada which would all rise and flood surrounding flat ground......

I would rather try to stop it then to be able to say: Told You so!

But if it is not Your concern, then forgive me for mentioning this......

Regards, Marijan Pollak

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#39
In reply to #38

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/18/2009 2:53 PM

One aspect of sea rise that every eco nutter seems to ignore is that if the ocean rises in one area it has to rise in all areas world wide. India is in a higher than average geologically active region of the planet. The Himalayan mountain range is one of the fastest changing crustal areas on the world. There is a far more plausible chance what caused the perceived 3.5 inch rise is really that area the measurement was taken at actually dropped 3.5 inches due to that particular section of tectonic plate having been pushed up at its other end. Around here we are experiencing crustal rebound from glaciation that happened around 10,00 years ago that is causing our region to still rise slowly at a rate around .5 inch's per year in some areas. From our reference point the oceans are dropping in level! So without taking into account things that happened thousands of years ago plus local influences a simple measurement can be in fact incorrect.

If the world oceans rose 3.5 inches I would assume that the millions of people and business who own water front property world wide would be saying far more about it. But they seem to be not saying anything at all about their front yards and concrete docks disappearing.

Where I live is actually about 1500 - 1700 feet above sea level. My deck is at 1640 feet according to GPS measurements. No inland sea flooding will take place here.

So if that ancient Panonian sea your talking about comes back what exactly caused it to have been there before and then dry up? Where the cavemen back then causing global warming too and almost wiped themselves out when they flooded the earth? Or is it more likely that the earth follows a very long cycle of warmer and cooler periods with many little sudden bumps and dips along the way with ocean levels generally following those cycles as well?

You may want to study the other natural sciences before screaming global warming. There are many many more variables and natural effects that are at play in how the world climate and environments interact and without accounting for them any short term measurements, a century or less, are not valid or at least are very limited in general.

We humans and our actions are still a very small pail of water in a very large swimming pool and unfortunately when all the natural processes are measured scientifically there still has to be a small marine of error included. What we do as humans is measurable but unfortunately on the grand scale of things the majority of our actions still get lost in that error value.

I have to take a unbiased scientific view of life. If the numbers don't add up and the margins of calculable error are bigger than the measured effect I just have to wait until better measurements can be taken. Thats my stand on global warming. Right now the real numbers don't add up. There are too many variables at this time.

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#40
In reply to #39

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/18/2009 8:04 PM

You are right that there is many variables that has to be taken in consideration, and You did not take all of them into consideration and You got some upside down.

For instance, as You say, Himalayas are highest mountains floating on Earth crust, and relatively (geologically speaking) new, so perhaps still rising, but then relatively to this Sea level should be dropping. Since this is produced by continental crash between India and Asia, then if Indian plate is going under Asia in that place, other part of same plate would rise, and to me geographic configuration suggest rising of rim of Asian continent.

Then, quite contrary to Your statement, AND because just like Icebergs, mountains show just their tips while having big hidden part underneath, India is most STABLE part of Earth crust, save for tectonic processes out in Indian Ocean near Indonesia, where tectonic plates are being pushed apart by same process that have pushed Australia away from Pangaea continent.

At same time, San Andrean fault is caused by tectonic plates going apart, so there is no reason for North American continent to rise, unless it is composed of smaller plates that collide or go apart.

As far as Croatia is concerned, our seashore is sinking at rate of 2m per 1000 years, so ancient cities from time of old Roman Empire are ruins under 4 m of sea. Panonian Sea dried up after rising of Alps, and we can find shells fossils at 1000m oversea level, but present flat ground is at sea level or lower. Just recently we have had highest tides measured in last 150 years, by 1.2 meters over maximum.

Therefore, we noticed changes also.

Moreover in last 10 years temperature has risen by 4 degrees and tropical algae started growing there, unfortunately of poisonous kind that kill our sea flora.

Next, our planet is not perfect ball but ellipsoid bulging at Equator due to centrifugal forces of Earth rotation, and for same reason more sea water is situated there, so since South India is much closer to Equator than Europe or North America, it is natural that sea level would be rising faster there then on continents situated on higher geographic height, where Equator is 0 (zero)...

You can check easily if measurement of sear level rising are correct by calculating weight of so much additional water, and what would effects of this weight be on tectonic plates of the World situated underneath sea. Surely more earthquakes would be registered and new volcanoes would appear while old ones would be reactivated, and that all has been registered.

Rising of sea temperature would cause more evaporation of water and faster rising of air that causes hurricanes to be formed, and that all would be stronger that before, and causing more damage, as is already noticed in US also.....

It is true that everything is in equilibrium, specially because continents are actually floating on thick layer of melted lava underneath, but exactly for this reason it is easier unbalanced by even relatively short time push on either side.

It is also true that we know but little, but assuming that we measure what we can and make conclusions about what is going on, can we just ignore some conclusions and wait until they would be confirmed by great loss of land or disproved in future?

Is it not better to act on things we can change, if that may have influence on cataclysmic effects that would follow if theories are correct about what is going on and what is causing it, regardless if this is some natural cyclic process or is caused by burning billions of tons of fossil fuels during industrial history of mankind?

But to be concerned, one must care about other people, which according to Your own statements, is not the case in least, save for few of Your relatives excluded.....

So, keep sitting on Your own mountain and watch World going under, but don't think You would be spared of consequences when this happen, as survivors would also come seeking higher ground.......

I would try to ignore CR4 threads for a while, because I did not have find help nor much understanding from undoubtedly inteligent people who gather there to discuss theories and philosophy......

Regards, Marijan Pollak

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#41
In reply to #40

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/19/2009 1:24 AM

I just used the time honored tactics of politicians, business executives and typical environmentalists and just made up technical sounding and unsubstantiated explanations that I have no clue as to if they are even remotely plausible or not! Sort of like you have done also.

To be honest I haven't really cared about any of this stuff all that much. Its just been a fun and albeit childish game for the most part. What can I say, I don't believe crap about global warming issues or care all that much about what others want or don't have, let alone if they drowned. I have my reasons for what I believe and think and I don't need to explain them to anyone. If its proven that global warming is real well I have a whole stack of tires and plastics I am going to burn because well... Its dam cold around here in the winter and I like having 50 degree F weather in January!

Granted I do my part to recycle and conserve energy but mainly because recycling pays me cash and dumping everything in the trash costs me money. Same with producing my own power. I like having all of my wasteful junk running all the time. I just don't like paying the electric bill for it.

Good, bad, whatever. My wastefulness is what gives people jobs in other countries! So should I be more conservative and let some third world people starve because I didn't leave all my useless stuff turned on and the windows open while the heat is turned up while I was gone?

P.S. I am just messing with you. I bet you got a bit angry reading this though!

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#42
In reply to #41

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/19/2009 6:59 AM

Not angry but sad......

I really need help and I wasted so much time writing posts which all comes to nothing since it is all fun and games to You.

Well, as people in Croatia say: >>Every school costs<<........

At least I know there is nobody serious here on CR4.

Bye!

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#43
In reply to #42

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/19/2009 12:24 PM

If your really looking for an honest opinion from someone who does regular fabrication I can at least give you that much without games.

1: Your wire frame model represents a manufacturing, installation and maintenance nightmare. Its simply a complex and time consuming form to build in comparison to what function it serves. Even with mass production fabrication equipment, which costs even more up front money to make in the first place, its still a complex and time consuming structure to produce and install regardless of what materials its made out of.

2: Alternative energy has to be cost effective to compete. Thats the proverbial bottom line that investors look at. The person with the money doesn't look at the concept of how much good it will do the world. They look at how hard did I have to work in order to get what I am spending now and will this investment pay me back in a reasonable time frame.

3: What I see if I was considering on investing in your design is this. A complex time consuming design that will cost much much more to manufacture per unit than a simple propeller on a stick design. Every dollar spent on additional fabrication materials and time means that the unit must run that much longer to pay for itself. Plus the more mechanically complex the deign the more likely it is to fail sooner.

4: Right now the three blade wind generators represent the best working design for the least amount of initial cost, materials, and effort. (lowest invested cost with best financial turn around time) Plus the current blade designs are already pushing the limits of aerodynamic efficiency for the effective range of wind they work in. You simply cant get all that much more power out of a given area and speed of wind without greatly limiting or changing the systems operational parameters and design costs.

5: The real life issue when collecting free energy its not about how efficiently you do it but how simply and cheaply can you create a reliable device that does it. When I built my first wind generator systems I didn't care how efficient my 6 foot blades made from hand carved 2 x6's where. When I needed more power than I was getting from them just put on bigger blades and covered more swept aria. That approach was far simpler, faster and cheaper than creating a more efficient airfoil than what I was using.

6: Why I think investors are sceptical about your system. It may in fact work well in low winds and have slightly more efficiency but highest average power, lowest production cost, longest life span with the least operational costs, and what does it cost to put one in place Vs the return time on that investment is what sells. Efficiency and hugging trees are not in the equation.

If you can prove that you can in fact build and install (in the United States) a fully functional system that produces 1.2 megawatts per hour, has an effective service life of 50 years, takes up a foot print of less than 40 feet in diameter of ground usage, all for less than $2.2 million, with a pay back time of around 15 years or sooner you will likely get someone who will invest.

Good Luck!

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#44
In reply to #43

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/19/2009 4:36 PM

Hi tcmtech,

This is school example how different people look in same thing differently!

Where You see complexity, I see simple repeating pattern of parts that are easy to make, even from Bamboo sticks.....

Since all connections are same, all it takes is to have system enabling three pipes or sticks to be connected.

I could do it from pipes using hammer and anwil to beat ends of pipes flat and drilling a hole and then connect three pipe ends with one nut and bolt together.

It is that easy.

It does not require sophisticated roll bearing to turn on, so one can use even simple pipe segments put side by side radially with some grease applied.

Simple scaffolds would be enough to build it on site, without any crane.

Severall segments could be preassembled in factory if practical or just as easy put together on site.

If bigger size is required, simply more elements can be put together.

For start, half of construction become roof and walls (geodome shape) of big greenhouse, so land print is minimal. I land is infertile, it could be improved by composted earth, or it could simply be added in half meter layer.

If one dont need a greenhouse, it could be used for barn, store, a bar, You name it (even for a house)....

Since little workmanship is required, production price roughly equals to that of materials.

My passive systems are still better as they dont turn, and one construction can hold one, three or six or seven turbines , which means as many MW can be produced, and more systems are in one construction, less it cost averaged per MW of capacity installed. Most expensive part is generator as even my turbines are cheap to build, need no bearings and could last forever, if made of good materials, same as construction.

Since generator is on the ground and is not burdened by turbine, it needs just regular greasing, if at all, depending on bearing type.... Surely in such conditions it would last longer than usuall, specially since it is vertically positioned so there is no burden on bearings from axle in usuall way.

I could continue describing, but I think this is just enough to prove that my instalations are exactly having characteristics YOU described as required.

Production cost of 1MW unit should be not higher than 1 million US $, but 3 MW unit would cost just 2 millions total. If Wind on location is strong, 3 MW generators could be used, where construction remains to be same, so cost difference is from generators only. With mass production of generators, that would be made possible by mass use in my Power Stations, their price would fall at least in half, thus making cost of installing such PS still less by at least 1/3 to 1/2........

If market price in US is 200$ per MWh and it has to be sold at half market price to Grid like it is in my country, it would be 100$ per MWh earned. The rest depend how much wind there is to be used. With average 10 hours of wind per day in say 200 days per year, that would be 2 000 MWh produced per year and 200 000$ earned.

That means that if total cost would be 2 million $, instalation would pay itself back in 10 years. With life cycle of 50 years, it would earn 8 million $ to owner in pure profit.

But, if same instalation is captive plant for a factory, then savings are 200$ per MWh, therefore instalation pays back itself in just 5 years, and saves 18 millions more to owner in its lifetime........

Fortunately for owner, it could last easily twice as much or more, and I allready calculated with good durable materials at start.

This is calculation for most expensive variant of 1 generator per construction, others are even cheaper on per MW capacity installed, and would produce that much more electricity per instalation.

Beside this, use of >>greenhouse<< surely brings additional profit without added investment for building it. There are other benefits as side effect of my turbine use such as lack of infrasonics, no birds kill, automatic use of strongest layer of wind in laminar flow, which means 3 MW generator could be used from start, WPSs could be put together in groups of 7 and much closer can those groups be to each other, resulting in much greater capacity >>Wind Farm<< on much less land, and without accessways necesary, crane site fundations and much shorter High Voltage cables, total cost is much less that with classic models of 1MW capacity or more, and those additional expenses You have forgot to take into consideration........

So everything in all, who would NOT want invest in such Power Stations?

My ONLY problem with investors is LACK of investors within my reach.

As I mentioned before, I have factories interested in production allready, since they are producing generators and they recognized the oportunity to sell more generators and motors if they sell complete PSs.........

They are ready to start at once when I supply engineering blueprints, that is why I am looking for investors that would have to invest relatively little money to enable me to buy appropriate software and computer hardware, and they stand to gain at least 10 times more from just ONE Production License sold.

I got buyers interested just from descriptions of benefits I sent them, but I dont have anything to sell as yet..........

This is just a start, as my Solars would cost still less per MW of capacity and would have same benefits as my WPSs, or can be combined in same construction and thus use still less ground. Not to mention that there is much more sunny days per year, and those would be able to work 24 hours per day or >>On Demand<<, when price of electricity is much higher in peak demand periods, so Solars would pay themself back even faster and earn more profit to owner...........

With cheap electricity I know how to remove CO2 from air permanently, producing usefull and marketable products at still greater profit, as same process is right now expensive because of expensive electricity.........

Oh, sorry, I forgot You dont care for reality of Global Warming, but perhaps investors would be interested because of profit, if for nothing else like >>Carbon Credits<<, lessening of air polution and possible mending of Ozone Layer holes.......

But there are additional benefits of cheap electricity, if factories use captive plants, then because of great savings on energy cost, they can lower prices of their products and so products would be more compettitive or affordable while bringing greater profits then before, and more sales would boost production because of which unit cost would be still less and there would be more jobs for people.

My water condensation devices of agricultural capacity would be ecconomic to use so agricultural production would not depend on quantity of rain for crops, but same goes for orchards and vineyards, or in least more grass can grow for cattle to graze.

Since in hot countries there is enough sunshine and not enough rain, that would enable people to grow their own food instead be dependent on charity or be chronically hungry and periodically starwing to death....

I have much more projects that need funding, all usefull for most of humankind, and it all depend on this initiall 50 000$ I need to start.

But, You know what happen? Investors realize how big profit there is in starting such production of electricity, and they got greedy, wanting to grab it all for themself.

Unfortunately for Croatian and investors from nearby countries it is not possible right now, as everybody has lost great deal of money in crash of prices of company shares they invested in, and they know that if they start pulling money out there would be panic and they would lost all, si they sit and dont move, waiting for financiall crisis to past.

Too late for those whose Banks collapsed and took their money down the drain.

If that did not happen to my company and if same Bank did not destroy 60 000+ companies, among which was my biggest clients that were about to pay bills for goods and services, I would finance it all myself, even start production also.

There was one American in springtime carrying 21 million Euro and looking for investment opportunity, and finding none, he went back home.

Unfortunately I got information 4 days too late.

After this, I wrote to Rockefeller Foundation who swears to exterminate hunger and powerty in the World and they deleted my emails without even reading them, and worse still, this was done by certain Mrs. Gomez who by this act deleted help that people of Mexico could have got to produce more food and perhaps export electricity to US also, thus lessening need for emigration to US, and so on.......

Same happened with Mr. Gates Fundation Mr. Obama's Fundation, Mr. Al Gore and severall other Fundations that did not even reply that they are not interested.......

I contacted Mr. T. Boone Pickens, but got answer from his company that they are preocupied with present Windfarm project and cannot devote time for new things....

If I could just contact someone who should understand what I write about, I am sure I would suceed to get support with explanations like this or even more detailed, as there are additional benefits I did not mention here...

So far, nothing.

Well, I am kind of mule headed man and I would be stubbornly persistent in trying to find someone interested, even if it would take calling Newspapers and giving interwiews on TV........

One man negotiate financing for over 9 months in Switzerland, and is right now in London finalizing this, but since he his own axe to grind, this all go too slowly and I think ge want get money cheap and take rest of profit for himself......

On the other hand, I heard that profit over 10% is suspicious to Investors and they refrain to invest in such ventures, so maybe he just dont want to scare them off......

I cant stand greedy people! :-((

Since as we say in Croatia: >>It is not finished untill it is finished<<, I still look for investors on my own, and if he finaly bring more, I have reserve to pay them also and speed up whole process of starting production.

But, I concluded that CR4 is not right place to search any more........

Sorry for spelling errors, I wrote again too much for spelling checker to handle....

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#45
In reply to #44

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/19/2009 5:31 PM

Wow...

Been watching this unfold; very interesting this.

Henrik14, in your #42 you tell us you feel you have wasted a lot of time here. As an aside, I see you have written 4,751 words in just three posts (#20 - 1,469 words: #29 - 1,501 words: #44 - 1,781 words). I agree, that represents a fair amount of time. I regret you feel it was all a waste. Just because an investor does not appear from the mist should not condemn this effort to waste.

The original question of the Blog, "...In pursuing your quality goals, what do you find is the right balance between virtual and real prototypes of new products?" seems to have disappeared around #20 or so. With that in mind, perhaps you are correct in your assesment of wasted effort.

At least twice (#25, and #28), you tell us you have had investors are on the hook, but there is a reluctance to proceed without Proof of Concept. Is there nothing you can give them?

I doubt construction from bamboo sticks would last for your claimed life of installation. I further doubt construction of pipes with flattened ends bolted together with one nut and bolt would survive a whole lot longer than the bamboo.

I believe tcmtech in #43 (I think it is #43) is offering helpful, supportive input. I do believe it is a critical review of your concepts, but not demeaning or deriding them. (I also believe tcmtech can speak for himself, this paragraph is simply my opinion)

"If one dont need a greenhouse, it could be used for barn, store, a bar, You name it (even for a house)...." Now, there may be a useful improvement on your concept!

"Production cost of 1MW unit should be not higher than 1 million US $, but 3 MW unit would cost just 2 millions total. If Wind on location is strong, 3 MW generators could be used... " From your description of concept, I understand that strong wind is undesireable, harvesting low wind better than other designs... I cannot recall, have you told us the maximum sustained wind tolerated by this? How about gusts? How about sudden shifts in wind direction? Anticipated tolerance to temperature extremes? Rain / Snow? If posted somewhere here, please forgive me. I will read again anyway.

"There are other benefits as side effect of my turbine use such as lack of infrasonics, no birds kill... " These claims are valid, but no Proof of Concept?

I will close with an interest in your project (not as an investor, though), and with the hope you do not interpret my comments as derisive. My comments and observations are intended to be constructive, please accept them in the spirit intended.

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#46
In reply to #45

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/19/2009 7:56 PM

I made the assumption that by us keeping the rating and non relevant the actual thread is not demeaned in any way more than when many other threads get a number of back and forth bantering between two or more people.

I have no actual ill will against Henrik14 in any way. I was giving him a real life hands on experience with dealing with someone who does take alternative energy systems seriously but also keeps an open but critical mind towards other systems. And a very cautious eye out for starry eyed environmentalists with far more dreams than realistic real life experience and knowledge in what the rest of the world thinks and sees in regards to said environmental issues. I played the Devils advocate to the better part of my ability on this basically.

In order to get anyone who makes money by investing in others peoples ideas to bite you need to take a very critical look at the realistic application, materials, manufacturing costs, set up costs, maintenance costs, life expectancy, and what other systems that are doing what you propose your system to be able to do also. And after all of that be able to back it all up with real numbers taken from real experience gained by actually having built and ran real large scale prototype devices for several years in a wide range of documented weather, operating conditions and locations. Guesses and eco preaching will drive away an investor faster than you apparently see or understand. My posts are an example of that. Sorry but I felt you needed to see what happens when the potential investor starts seeing you as a nut and not a knowledgeable level headed business person.

I meant no harm or ill will but to show what can happen if you get too far off topic with thoughts and information not relative to the item at hand. Especially when you start eco preaching about someones home land and proposing rather nuts sounding disaster theories that flat out show you to have little real knowledge of the region or the actual conditions of the location your speaking of. Plus you clearly don't get that some of us have educations in areas that do relate to the environment and from our perspective the global warming concept is more scam theory than a fact. Its plausible but until more real provable facts are presented in clear and non biased ways we will never take sides with those who 'just know its true'. To us your opinion is not much different than that of suicide bombers and terrorists who 'Know they are right' also.

I hope you see now that this site in fact does have people who take others ideas seriously but also have educations and practical life experience in areas that you clearly don't. Just because all of the people here didn't jump on your enviro nut dooms day preaching band wagon doesn't mean no one here cares about the environment or about making new things to help it out. By nature people of engineering and business backgrounds need real numbers that they can see and real proof of concepts before they will ever follow. Their just not that dumb or gullible. They leave that area to the experts like politicians and tree hugging fools.

When and if you ever do get the process figured out as to what it takes to get a new system or device like yours into the market you will see that it will take you many years of work and millions of dollars before the first production units ever get into the first stages of manufacturing. Until then its just an interesting dream with some rather weak numbers and theories holding it up.

Trust me from my personal experience. Theres a reason I have no interest in putting my designs into production. They may be better than whats out there in many provable ways but still its a battle I don't want to pursue. I am a realist, and by that I realize I am further ahead for my efforts if I just give them to family and friends and completely forget about getting rich off of them. Appreciation by a precious few is worth far more to me than false adulation from countless strangers.

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#48
In reply to #46

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/19/2009 10:20 PM

I am sorry that You see me as >>doomsday theorist<<, and if it were not for Al Gore, former US Vice President, perhaps I would not know about >>Global Warming<< at all, since I live in informational backwaters, diluted only recently by appearance of Internet with knowledge available for asking.

As for thread, it is still open to others to discuss original theme, I would say...

In this regard I asked questions that were not answered, and I would still like to know those answers, from people with experience in use of such software.

Why would one idea take years and millions to come to production stage, if it should work and is at least partly proven by computer calculations, that I do not understand, sorry. Unless we are sure it would be success, we would not be so foolish to even think of starting to build it, simply because our resources are limited and we cannot afford to squander them. I cannot recall one single project that flopped, as far as I am informed.

For instance, my father who was gunsmith and toolmaker engineer copied machines like Pantograph he used in factory by measuring everything, making wooden models of parts in 1/2 size, having it poured in sand mold out of steel, worked it over, finished and put together at home. It has had to work on first try, as he invested all his life savings in this, so he could not have just throw it all and start from scratch.

Of course, it worked. Same as two other machines he built according to his own drawings. Being a gunsmith, he made revolver for 27 bullets, also on first try. But to have arms was forbidden, so he disassembled it after showing me how it worked.

Here, all is planned and calculated precisely in advance, and if calculations was not correct man would lose job, and in older time, just after WW2, would be shot as saboteur. So it did not happen that someone calculate something wrong, because there were teams of 3 persons doing same calculations and cross checking every now and then to see if results match.

Beside, Croatians were long under rule of German Kings or rulers, and Germans are known for their discipline and exactness. Moreover, we were defenders of Europe for 1300 years, assigned to task but without much material support, so we got used to depend only on ourself and each other. Therefore, each plan has to be perfect and working, in battles or in technology producing arms as it was question of life and death most of the time. That is long tradition, and still alive when I was younger, and this is how we got war for our freedom even we were disarmed first and forbidden to import arms by UN, but we made our own. In Vukovar, 150 warriors destroyed 53 tank brigades and 37 war aeroplanes defending it with hands arms and their ingenuity.

There was no chance for second try or trying new model. I am sure they did not just blindly improvise hoping it would work.

Same way, I would not even speak about something if I would not be 100% sure it would work, as all we have here is our good name and our honour, and that is more valuable than life itself, so we would never compromise this.

Well, perhaps I am just old fashioned. Most certainly, nobody is here that could say I did something that did not work, and was not best solution to some problem.

They used to bring me problems that everybody else has proclaimed unsolvable ( and they were betting on me behind my back ), presenting this as ordinary assignment that anybody can do, just that now it was my turn to work on it.......

What to say, some people built houses from money they earned on my expertise by betting on me, as I never failed to solve problem. I also usually gave so original and theretofore unheard of solutions, that they at first moment failed to understand my solution, and thought about money they would lost, thinking that finally I failed. They would take hours of my explanations and still don't understand, until I showed them proof... Even then they sometimes refused to believe that this particular solution could work. One time whole team was formed to study, and prove or disprove me, since (i have found this years later) great deal of money was to change hands.......

Took them three weeks to get same results as mine, both sides independently, against my 2 hours of work :-))

Once I saved 82 millions US $ in penalties to one company working as subcontractor to Westinghouse while building Nuclear Power plant in Krsko.

There was 7 or 9 engineers working on same problem for almost half year, where it took me half minute to solve it, and better part of it was spent on recounting facts they told me. I was 26 years old, and not engineer by trade, so they were so ashamed that I found solution instead that they did not called me to a party Westinghouse organized to celebrate their finishing work before deadline.

Maybe they also pictured themselves as originators of idea, who knows...

But, that was other time and all we do was >>For the People<<, so I did not really cared about celebrations.

Same was on Institute Rudjer Boskovic, as I offhandedly solved hard problems scientists were baffled for months or even years, and they refused to believe that I also don't have couple of Diplomas in Science just like them :-))

That went that far they they investigated in Personnel Department about my qualifications :-))

But, everything is a system, and I am Systems Analyst and Systems Engineer, even if I am retired and poor.......

Well, here I am, but this time I want to do so many things that I really need money to realise this.

So help me if You can, or prove me wrong, if You can.........

Regards from Zagreb, the Capitol of Croatia, Europe!

Marijan Pollak

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#49
In reply to #48

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/20/2009 12:35 AM

It maybe different where your from but here in order to bring an item such as this to mass production you will need licencing on many aspects of the design. Multiple patents on the design, legal backing because someone will eventually argue with you about it being your design in hopes that you pay them off to leave you alone, research and development in order to make them mass producible costs a lot of money, all the people, organizations, companies, and officials involved will cost you money as well.

A good example of a total waste of money is a basic UL listing. That means that you volunteered your design to be independently tested and then certified as safe. Heres the catch. Its completely voluntary however without that certification you cant sell your product. And the voluntary testing costs around $100K or more. And every model you make and every revision to every model needs to be re certified. 10 models with ten revisions each could run you well over $10 million and about 2 -5 years of delays before they could go into production.

For an interesting and eye opening read read up on the history and change in direction of the underwriters laboratory from when and why they where founded and then take a close look at what happened when they went form non profit to high profit and could then buy their way into politics. It explains a lot about why a voluntary test costs $100K and up and you cant sell your product without it even though its supposedly not required in the first place.

Basically if you want to build them one at a time by yourself there is little overhead cost involved. However if you want to mass produce them a pile of money is going to need to be spent before you even start. Its how legitimate business work here.

As far as believing Al Gore, he is a politician. The global warming stink he made netted him and his friends millions of dollars and loads of political power for his efforts. However now there are countless scientists and researchers in our country and in other countries too, finding far too much questionable information that relates to the global warming issues in general. That reviewing and questioning of information has had a very large and influential part in why its now not being called global warming but rather global climate change. Just calling it a change is rather meaningless because the global climate is dynamic and is constantly changing any way.

By just referring to it as global climate change that allows for some places to get colder and others to get warmer just like its been doing since the beginning of time. For the clueless and misinformed it sounds drastic and bad. For anyone that did their homework and listened to both sides of the story plus have studied up on the worlds environmental history its just a fancy name for nothing out of the ordinary happening. Its just got a new fancy and foreboding spin on it now thats all.

It comes down to being just more dirty politics and shady reasoning for forcing change through scare tactics in order to further control and limit peoples freedoms in some ways. I am not a conspiracy believer by any means but to me when the numbers just don't add up and you tell me they do and I should believe you or else, I do sort of think that just maybe there is another reason behind what your trying to that is not in my best interests.

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#50
In reply to #49

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/20/2009 1:25 AM

Yes, You are right about Mr. Gore, I tried to reach him, but got only donation requests.

Curiously, Rockefeller foundation that turned my inventions down as >>not what they are doing at the moment<< sent me to look their page, and they are preparing Africans how to survive >>Global Warming<<......

But, I at least hope there is connection between CO2 content and temperature rise, because in Ireland they use what they call >>Artificial trees<< to chemically bind CO2 and then dump it underground.

That is waste of money since this chemical has to be manufactured, which process spend energy produced by burning fossil fuels which produce (I think more) CO2....

What You describe is real nightmare, so I hope our politicians did not find this yet.

Here only home appliances need to be attested, but so is all that is imported, measuring instruments have to be calibrated, and if they do not have expert for calibration then importer has to send their men to factory for 6 months or more so they can learn how to calibrate it properly, and when they come back, then they would calibrate it and You would be allowed to pay for it........

Anyhow, I would leave production to others and keep rights to market it Worldwide, in some cases, or I would withdraw to work on other inventions.

Whoever buy Production License would be interested to protect his production, therefore it would be natural to fill for patent in such country also, in my name.

But I must sell it to Chinese first else they would copy it first. That way at least I can limit their export to other countries, and they would have hands full with their own market for next 20 years :-))

So, everything in all, You did not use any computer program for >>Virtual construction<<?

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#53
In reply to #50

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/20/2009 1:07 PM

Hello again, Henrik.

Word count is going up fast! Another 2,990 words in your last three posts!

Your comment about Chinese copying your idea illustrates a thought I have... are any parts of your turbine patented? Are these patents enforceable on the international market?

For an example, an automobile. The auto itself is seldom patented, but is made of MANY parts that are. Your ideas about very low maintenance bearings intrigue me, perhaps that need a little more description. Perhaps patent royalties from the myriad components could finance the entire turbine you are so passionate about? If you have solved many of the engineering difficulties with improvement of existing components or techniques, there would be (I believe, anyway) a worldwide demand for them.

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#55
In reply to #53

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/20/2009 3:50 PM

Dear Doorman,

I have applied for Patent of my turbines in all possible variations, and I am reasonably sure that SUCH turbine is NOT invented yet, since I spent months searching trough Patent Databases, at least those that are free to access, since I have no money nor Credit Cards.

Yes, patents are enforceable, but it has to be patented in each country separately, even inside European Union........

China is special case, there piracy is government approved as they don't recognize Patent rights from other countries :-((

My turbine need no bearings since it creates its own >>Air cushion<< on which it levitates. That at same time make it appear weightless to generator axle, while having extremely good system for torque transmission from turbine to generator axle.

It has very few parts that are welded together, so parts by itself cannot be patented. What is new are ways of converting kinetic energy of air twofold, and internal compressing and speed up of air flow.

Yes, THAT is EXACTLY point I am trying to convey all the time: THERE WOULD BE WORLDWIDE DEMAND for my Windpower Stations, whose central part is my new kind of turbine, for which I hope that it has great efficiency in energy conversion.

Since turbine cannot regulate airflow to make it constant, that is task for remainder of construction, which, unlike any before it, also protect itself from too strong wind by using power of that same wind......... Therefore, countermeasures are always proportional to strength of wind as it itself activates them.

Therefore, I have to patent also constructions as integral part without which my turbines cannot optimally work....

If You would be interested in cooperation, we can have Agreement about it and then I shall reveal You all details..........

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#56
In reply to #55

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/20/2009 4:37 PM

I cant make heads or tails of how either of your designs actually work let alone convert wind power into electrical power based on your discriptions or models at this point.

Would you care to start a new thread so we can discus the physics of what it is your supposedly doing?

You don't have to give up any highly specific details but rather just a reasonable theory of design and operation that can be confirmed or debunked by standard aerodynamics and physics principals.

If your claims don't add up then there is no point in your pursuing anything. Physics will determine the true value of your creations rather quickly and easily. Plus having a world wide resource of engineers, some specializing with air flow and aerodynamics principals, to check your work over for free is a good idea that should never be refused!

If everything checks out its a great reference point for when your talking to investors!

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#58
In reply to #56

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/20/2009 5:09 PM

If I say anything more, I would reveal it all, because exactly those principles employed together are what make my turbine work.

Enter Agreement for cooperation with me and then I shall tell You all.

I guarantee You that thing works, because I have made small prototype to test it, and it works as I expected, if not better, in spite of its crudeness.......

If I start new thread, then I would have to reveal all principles involved, as there is nothing else to discuss about, right?

But it is not about new principles but old and proven ones, and only their synergy is what gives result greater than simple sum of their effects by themselves......

Just study toy turbine I posted and try to find how effective it is and why.

It is closest thing to my turbine, as same principles are at work (+ some more).

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#47
In reply to #45

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/19/2009 8:42 PM

Wow! Somebody's counting my words!

Yes, original theme got lost in contest of experience and perspiration versus inexperience helped by intelligent tool......

I originally asked which tool is best, but this also got lost in discussion.

In regard to Proof of Concept that could be different thing for different people, but usually means prototype or pilot construction. To build scaled down prototype would require smaller generator that cost money which I don't have, and amount of work would be about same as in >>real sized<< prototype, just with little less perspiration used.

Therefore I concluded that >>Virtual<< Prototype should be it.

Prototype of turbine by itself don't show much other than it would turn nicely, but it should be of proper dimensions that produce 2500 Rpm with enough air flow.

In regard to bamboo sticks, hardened on surface by fire and covered in lakh, I would say they would last indefinitely, specially since they are to be encased into plastic, but You could not have known this from picture. Same thing is with pipes if made from stainless steel, there would be nothing to rust, and each joint would be protected within plastic cover........

So I can safely count it would last until some volcano don't throw lava on it.......

In regard to tcmtech, I welcome any criticism if it is constructive, as I could answer questions like Yours about Bamboo (which is cheap, so even replacement from time to time would be inexpensive, but I think not really necessary).

So, he has his own view and I have mine. I can only hope to make him see things as I do, and then we would agree about this, but in case he see something that I don't, it would be helpful to me also, as I always consider what other people see, searching for something I assumed and is not there....

In regard to a bar, I wrote what first come to my mind, and in most >>Western<< movies I saw, there was always at least one..... It could have been school, hospital, barn.... Still I think Greenhouse is best use as then loss of agricultural land is negligent.....

In regard to strong wind, I supposed I wrote that installation could be >>Tailor made<< for location, that is main capacity adjusted to strongest and most frequent wind speed at location.

Now, it is question of economy: cost versus actual use frequency. If for instance there is almost always 3-5m/sec wind with just few stronger gales, then installation would use weaker wind normally, and strong when it appear, but only in same MW output as surplus wind strength would be unused.

In case where strong wind appear regularly and frequently enough to be economically used, then there could be three turbines or one big and three smaller, or any combination that would allow use of weak wind on small turbines and strong on all of them, or small turbines would work first one, then all three in strong wind.

So, depending on ranges and frequency of available wind, installation can be composed and even 3, 4 or seven grouped together.

If weak wind appear on location rarely, then it would not warrant installation of small capacity turbines and generators, and it would be ignored as economically useless. In that particular case, only big turbines and 3MW generators would be used, even in groups of 3, 4, 6 or 7 in same installation, and even groups of 3, 4 or 7 installations could be put together side by side, to use as much wind as possible. Same is true in case wind is weak, of course, just turbines would be smaller.

Point is that weaker winds could be found nearly everywhere in contrast to strong ones.

This You can nicely see on this map.........

My WPSs would be made to withstand any wind strength, if this is not something hurled by wind at construction, specially in case of passive models or >>Windtraps<< that do not turn at all. Reaction to changes in wind direction would be immediate, since even active models are turned into wind by the wind itself, so wind keeps entrance aimed directly in direction it blows, using tail and eccentric shape as lever. I could guarantee You that gusts are not problem either, just like intermittent blowing, but then it depend on frequency of periods without wind and their length. My construction capture wind and turn it into internal pressure by use of another invention that I have to submit for registration yet. Basically, those are doors that open to inside only, so when wind stops and internal pressure become greater than this from outside, doors are pushed from inside and become closed. Then this pressure is used and renewed continuously when there is wind available. If pressure becomes too strong, there are mechanisms to vent it out at side in the wind-shade where usually is under-pressure formed by wind bypassing installation from outside. That way, construction become >>transparent<< for wind of any force and cannot be damaged by it.

In regard to tolerance to extreme weather conditions, I aim to make it able to withstand anything and continue to work. Actually this is one of reasons I look for good simulation program that could simulate any weather or combinations possible anywhere in the world......

Passive models would not be problem, and I think they would be used mostly, except where few Bamboo sticks and sailcloth can be used to make active and self regulated WPS, but only problem would be snow and ice or sand carried by wind, and while mostly Bamboo don't grow in such areas, in case of metal or plastic constructions in cold climates or deserts it could become problem, but mainly because of big roll bearing situated on the ground. Solution is of course to lift point of rotation higher off the ground, and I have also models like this.

This blue torus is here rotating platform instead of geodome base like on before shown model. It is disproportionately big, or it would be bigger but thinner, that is something I need calculations for........

If there would be need, I would add the tail, and here air outlet system is not shown as this would be too much for Patent office to unravel.......

Bird kill can be prevented by simply putting net on outside of main opening, and there is nothing moving outside of construction that can hack the bird in passing.

Therefore, at worst case bird would be blown over net and slide to one or other side, and when wind is not blowing, there is no danger except by night, unless some birds sleep while they fly :-))

Lack of infrasonic comes from requested turbine speed of 2500 Rpm, at which speed generator works optimally (at least this that I intend to use). That rules out ultrasonics also, I would say........

Now, see what I face: I need 2500 Rpm at turbine so there need not be any gearbox for speed multiplication, and I must know which exactly size should be and which volume and speed of air would produce this. I could calculate roughly even by hand how big diameter pipe should be and what speed of air should be to produce 1 ton of pressure on turbine wings so 1 MW electricity can be generated.

With standard turbine, it is known, but my turbines are different, as different as this

is different from standard turbines, so there is problem, how to model and simulate this (my turbine uses same principles as this >>toy<< turbine, which I studied, so this is good example), how would it change efficiency of WPS in >>standard models<<, if put instead of usual blades?

It has one big fault: no way to regulate speed, therefore my constructions are supposed to regulate it before it reach turbine. But, if speed need not be constant, like in case of water pump, it would be doing fine, even if I have find way to improve on this ancient design, to be more effective and not hack birds in passing.........

But then also, it present big obstacle to strong wind, so only way to make it less would be to put it sideways to wind, which then again collide with its self directing mechanism (a tail, which is not present here). So, it is not perfect for all uses nor for any strength of wind, but for some countries with passat winds that have constant speed, it would be good.

As You can see, it is far different from usual airfoil blades, so how to calculate kinetic energy extraction here? I had some ideas like sliding of weight down slope, but here gravity component does not make much sense, right?

Unfortunately nobody has have something like this in mind when writing fluid flow simulations, or at least I did not have found any program that could handle this......

Maybe solution is trivial for experienced mechanical engineer, so, can anybody help?

My turbine has another complication: ring of nozzles that blow air tangentially in same direction, opposite to direction of rotation, of course.

I would have to study reaction force created and resulting torque produced with various sizes of nozzles and different air speed, to be able to find optimal size and diameter for my turbine, as with bigger diameter angle distance grows, so there is weaker force necessary to turn the wheel rim, if I am not wrong :-))

But, must be I am right since my small handcrafted prototype works as expected by me or even better :-))

Still, I would appreciate any advice on this, with applicable formulas, if at all possible.........

So, not as an investor You say?

If I can get 50 persons understanding what I write, and if each can supply just 1000$, that would be enough. I would be ready to sign contract to return this loan 100 times greater, from first Production License sold!

Anybody want to gamble on me? :-))

Seriously?

Regards, Marijan Pollak

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#51
In reply to #42

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/20/2009 12:28 PM

Its not all fun and games.

Have you considered using a different approach to securing an investor? You seem to be lock into a presentation you can not offer.

Then makeup for it with a reason that becomes so wordy people lose interest.

Remember nothing in life comes easy and when things aren't working to your satisfaction, or have responses that you don't want to hear. Stop blaming other people for it. Your in control.

Sure I did say earlier you need sweat and tears for things to work, but I should add that one also have to work smarter, not harder.

p911

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#52
In reply to #51

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/20/2009 1:00 PM

So.

Then, what EXACTLY would YOU do in my place?

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#54
In reply to #52

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/20/2009 2:03 PM

Then, what EXACTLY would YOU do in my place?

Every situaton is different, I'll try.

First look at you situation and assess it. Try to do it without bias.

1.) What did you do in the past presentation?

A.) what was good about it? Then expand upon it.

B.) What was bad or negative about it? Avoid this area when possible, but be prepared to control the situation if conversation goes that way. Address issues and concerns. DO IT BREIFLY, and directly. Do not try to side step it.

2.) Look for other alternatives.

A.) Look for a partner that is willing to share the risk. Separate the people that are only looking at the end without committing themselves to the project, stay away from these, and only go for the more serious. This is difficult, but you have to establish a network, Explained later.

3.) Establish a network, get your name out there, there is no stronger reinforcement is when people hear from other people about you. This can be powerful so BE CAREFUL when trust is involved and if you break that, you bring yourself as well as the integrity of the people around you down..

As far as word count look upon it if not criticism at least as opinions. I had a post where a member counted my words (no where near your word count) and then proclaimed I said nothing. And then went on to reiterate in his words what I just said. I felt he was an idiot, but I thanked him and I learn from it. Because it was wordy. I have a habit of telling experiences that become stories, and I try to avoid it because I understand it.

OK here's a short story; When I started my business, I made a business plan, and pick out (3) financial institutions where I planned on getting backing. What I did, I picked other places and practiced, I took their criticism and polished my presentation as well as my business plan, they pointed out my weaknesses. It took (2) years (it was a lot of money), but when I was ready, I presented to 2 of the 3 places I had planned. Both where very impressed, I had the backing before the month was up. I didn't even bother with the third.

IMHO, you lost me on your posts because it was wordy. When you are trying to sell something, try looking at yourself as an entertainer, try to keep these peoples attention. Keep in mind, once you have their attention, don't bomb.

p911

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#57
In reply to #54

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/20/2009 4:53 PM

Well, I would say I do all this exactly.

Sometimes I am very brief, as for instance when I wrote to Rockefeller Foundation, telling them that I have inventions that could help provide food for one to three billion people.

I tried FIVE times in five ways, long and short......

Result? They deleted all without being read at all........

So, 1st. I cannot get investors because I cannot really get in contact with them.

2.nd. Investors want to invest big money AND that I provide 20% of my money.

While it is easy to employ big money by starting production, I cannot get

required 20%, specially when it is 100 millions loans range.

3rd. People are greedy. As I explain what I have, they realize how big profit can

be earned for really modest investment, unless one want to start production

which bring still much more profit. Then they want all profit there is, and

when it become clear that they cannot get financial support from Banks

since Banks ask for collaterals and guarantees for their money, they give up.

So even those that can help by providing services or cooperation or just

software and hardware, do not want to do it for % of my earnings later as

whoever they consult tell them it wold take years to realization, which is

NOT so.

4th. I have factories interested in production, based just on my description of

benefits my PSs would bring owner. They ask that I patent it first, or if I

have applied for Patent, to produce Engineering drawings/blueprints.

I understand that they do not want to invest money and take loans to find

later that someone invented that before me and can sue them for patent

infringement. For same reason, they don't want to invest into development.

5th. I contacted factories that already produce contemporary models of the

Windpower stations, and they invested lot into production so they want to

amortize those investments first. If they start producing my models, then

they can scrap their projects and would have to retrain people, stop 80%

of previous operations and therefore jobs would be obsolete as well.

Not much less, they are ashamed that their institutes for turbines which 30+

years work on improvements of their turbines did not, among multitude of

their PhD scientists did not have even single one to think up something as

revolutionary........

I heard unofficially that one such company scrapped their whole scientists team

of 70+ members after my presentation to company CEOs :-((

Still, they don't want to give support, at least until they return credits taken for

organizing present production, and that would take at least 10 next years.....

6th. Engineers I contact for cooperation are used to just do drawings of somebody

else's ideas and according to already made calculations, and are terrified when I

tell that I need help with calculations also, or they see it as huuuuge pile of

work with uncertain pay in unforeseeable future, and they simply give up.......

So, those are my problems. I tried every way and have no more ideas how to

find support or cooperation. Those that can do it ask for money in advance, and

those that can supply bare minimum of 30 000 Euro, want to get ALL rights on

ALL my patents, because they see I am in bad situation so they think they can

rob me, and even make me work for them for free.........

Let me tell You, I would rather die!

I am ready to take obligation to return 100 times more money, but it is not

enough for some people..........

Therefore, I need:

1st. Industrial Engineer that could help me with calculations or simulations if he

has software, else I can make program by myself if I have all formulas.

2nd. Way to make engineering blueprints.

3rd. Investor to help me get rid of mortgage loan remainder and providing

financing for Patenting of at least Windpower Stations, as from money

earned I can finance everything else.

That is all.........

Regards,

Marijan Pollak

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#59
In reply to #57

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/21/2009 12:48 PM

Marijan Pollak

Sometimes I am very brief, as for instance when I wrote to Rockefeller Foundation, telling them that I have inventions that could help provide food for one to three billion people.

When you make a claim like that. Yes you do need proof, For one, from your posts the only thing that would back that up are your words. So I'll give it a try with words

If I was a potential investor, I would walk out.

3rd. People are greedy. As I explain what I have, they realize how big profit can be earned for really modest investment, unless one want to start production which bring still much more profit.

No, they are only protecting their wealth especially when you make statements thats nothing more than an unsubstantiated opinion. IMO, It sounds more like a free energy machine, you do need proof, how did you come up with it, with out this proof yourself. It has to be more than a feeling.

Don't go for the big kill go for financing a pilot plant, and if the costs are still in the hundreds of millions. You have no chance. because the risks are too high no matter what proof or facts you have.

So even those that can help by providing services or cooperation or just software and hardware, do not want to do it for % of my earnings later aswhoever they consult tell them it wold take years to realization,

Of all the words you stated I have no faith in your project, even 100% of nothing is still nothing,

And your statement

which is NOT so.

That is only an opinion, Now look at all of these posts in this thread, and take the criticism and work on your weakness. Your weakness is not that you don't have the money, Your weakness is you can not present a convincing argument to gain a backing.

Now I will say this again because you are not listening, look at your situation, start networking, align yourself with people that can help you, I don't give a $#it if the financial backer believes you, hell they are not technical, they are only protecting their money, But if those potential fiscal backers hear leaders and experts in the area of energy production, and refer your name, if these experts believe in you, then and only then you may have a chance.

They ask that I patent it first, or if I have applied for Patent, to produce Engineering drawings/blueprints.

They are looking for a commitment from you, they also realize that having a patent does not mean it will work or perform. Hell it sounds like you give up on yourself before they do. You do not give a single ray of confidence. and it sounds like thats all you have to show. You are looking for someone else to pick up 100% of the risk of just on your unsubstantiated opinion

Frankly, you have nothing, but you are asking for millions.

Those that can do it ask for money in advance, and those that can supply bare minimum of 30 000 Euro, want to get ALL rights on ALL my patents, because they see I am in bad situation so they think they can rob me,

Bad ituation you have nothing now, except an opinion.

and even make me work for them for free.........

Consultant for free, you have a very weak base then.

Let me tell You, I would rather die!

You'll leave this world with what you come in with...nothing.

I am ready to take obligation to return 100 times more money, but it is not enough for some people..........

That still is only an opinion. And if it does not work. You have no proof that it will work to have that kind of returns with the exception of your unsubstantiated opinion.

Marijan Pollak, you intentions may be good, but you do not have a grasp of the world of finance.

I wish you good luck,

p911

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#60
In reply to #59

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/21/2009 3:42 PM

Dear P911,

If I give all details of my inventions beforehand in order to convince investors or engineers, what is to stop them to steal whole idea and did not say even >>Thank You!<<?

Therefore, I cannot reveal this unless someone at least sign NDA, right?

Once details are explained, everyone see how simple and understandable it is, and since it is all based on old and proven principles, it is nothing unexplained that need proof in theory and practice.

But what is new is that I have combined several of those principles or effects to work un unison, supporting each other and giving result that is greater because of synergy.

I wrote what happened in that factory with 40+ years old institute for turbines after they signed NDA and I explained how my turbine works in front of their best experts, who had to admit that it must be working, specially since I brought that handmade and scaled down prototype that was working in front of them.

So, it may seem to You that I have nothing but words, and it is because You again don't read all, pull things out of context and jump to wrong conclusions, or make it look like this to provoke me to reveal it all...........

How can You say to experienced economist with 30+ years of experience in giving organizational and financial advices to companies that he do not >>have a grasp of the world of finance<<?

I was just working in different social setup and I do not know how things are done in US, that is all.......

I keep explaining that I need modest amount of money to be able to make at least >>Virtual<< proof of concept or better made scaled down prototype, and You insist that I am asking for millions, which is not so.

Anyhow, even if You sign an NDA and I convince You that thing work as I claim, You would still not be interested to do anything about it, would You?

Therefore, all my attempts to make You understand are futile waste of time......

Tell me:

Do I need to prove that >>Venturi Effect<< and >>Venturi pipe<< are real and that they can be used?

Do I need to prove that >>Coanda Effect<< exist and can be utilized?

Do I need to prove that there are Centrifugal and Centripetal Forces?

Do I need to prove principle of >>Action and Reaction<< or >>Reactive Principle<< used in Jet aeroplanes?

Do I need to prove >>Rotational Inertia<< used in gyroscopes?

Do I need to demonstrate principles used in turbine air compressors that they work?

Do I need to prove existence of >>Sail Effect<<?

Do I need to build another >>Hovercraft<< to prove that >>Air cushion<< can be used to levitate even heavy objects?

Do I? I would not say I do!

That is all OLD and PROVEN, so any single one cannot fail to work, is that not so?

So, tell me, IF You agree with me that nothing from above can fail, how could fail something that use those principles all TOGETHER, and in a way that each enhance results of others, and all is put together so that anybody can see that it cannot fail, specially in presence of prototype that demonstrably work, even in all its crudeness and imperfection?

Anyone understand that once turbine is made in factory or at least as result of 3D printing process, it would work still better.

So don't tell me I have just an opinion and nothing else, that is what You have in this case as You don't know what I have actually invented.........

In any case, You don't take me seriously, and You a priori make conclusions which are actually wrong.

So, assume for the moment that all I say is true and my invention would work perfectly, how can I convince anybody to help or invest just 30 thousand Euro I am asking for to be able to make engineering blueprints which factory requires of me?

It would be easy if everybody want to sign NDA before getting explanations in detail, but for some reason or other, nobody want to sign this, even if this do not COST even 1 cent, just putting signature on paper.

Unfortunately I must conclude that such persons want to steal my ideas, as I don't see any other reason to refuse it........

No, I did not give up on myself at all :-((

That is one of Your wrong conclusions or impressions.

But in a situation where I don't know if I would be thrown out on the street by Bank in the middle of the winter, and failing to get help from anyone, I am not in a best mood........

Regards, Marijan Pollak

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#26
In reply to #22

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/17/2009 4:07 AM

For me to build a house myself without simulations before hand would be no big concern. I have built many things in my life and have enough experience to know that my design will be adequately built for the realistic conditions relative to the location its being built in.

Well put, I have to agree with that. Having been in OEM for over 20 years. every project has an uncertainty involved, and waiting to be 100% certain before you start something nothing would be produced.....or perform for that matter.

Hell, turn it around, and lets sy, I have this simulation software in mind, but I need a simulation software to show that this simulation software works......So I can get investors some proof so I can get funding to develop it....now tell me....can anyone tell me where I am going with this.....

And the ones that can are the ones that are self sufficient and are capable, and have been around long enough to know, you can not wait around till the conditions are correct and perfect........because that only happens in textbooks....(because they may have the answers in the back of the book )

Now ask the question how are they able? Well I tell you..... they improvise. Anyone that has been on a start-up and commissioning on a new process line 1500-2000 miles away from home know this. And yes just because you are installing a new process line and integrating it with an existing one (and still keep the line in production) there will be problems. And less if all the valuable time is spend on productive progress which is not all simulation.

And the point being..... Life is full of compromises and trade-offs. Its the experienced ones that know when to decide to say when and move on.

p911

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#28
In reply to #26

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/17/2009 8:48 AM

It seems to me that we all think alike but we still don't understand each other.

So, I have grown up among machines, my father was making them, I used many and I am reasonably sure that I know how they function. Therefore, I have no doubt that my inventions would work, and I even made little prototype that work.

If that would be enough to get someone interested (I have 3D drawings made, nice and rendered) to invest money in finalizing design, that would be super!

This is one of my constructions (active) that catch the wind, and this is first one I draw, so there should be some additional supports and changes.

However, I am sure it would work and be cheap, specially if built from processed Bamboo sticks and sailcloth in countries where Bamboo grows naturally.

But, potential Investors want detailed engineering drawings OR >>Proof of Concept<< which is I suppose a prototype that work.

If I have money, I would be able to do it, as at least I would be able to hire Mechanical Engineer to make all necessary calculations so it would work like I know it would and is supposed to.

Since I have no money, I need proof for someone who would agree that it is doable and invest money.

Here is one of first passive models I call >>Windtraps<<. Here supporting construction has been removed as it is jungle of pipes anyhow, but you can imagine similar geo-dome that sit on the ground.

I even invented new kind of plastic bottles from which could be built this what could be used for DIY windmill projects, for pontoons, rafts and many other things, and among them, special kind of doors I use on my Windpower stations to capture wind.

If You two bright guys have the money, can we cooperate and start production?

I would not mind if You would build prototypes first or not, as long as it would not take lot of time and preclude us to start selling working models in time.......

But as soon as I get engineering blueprints, I am sure that Croatian factories would go for it.

I am using some old programs from time when my company was good standing and could afford to buy software, and I am sure that it would be much better, or even that I could get calculations done by program and have engineering blueprints made if I have proper tool.

But since my Business bank perished, taking all my liquid assets, as well as three biggest clients that perished also leaving big bills for goods and materials unpaid, I fight day by day to return remaining debt in spite of frozen Bank accounts, therefore I have no money nor much time to do it myself. Somebody suggested I should have filled bankruptcy and opened new company, but I am from family which would rather die of hunger than not pay debts made, so even if there is no Law by which even Bank account of my new company would be frozen also if I am owner, I want to pay my debts and save my 16 years old company which survived trough war time and many problems because of which 100 thousand other companies perished. Beside, I invested over 800 thousand Euro in it from profit I made instead of spending it, so when it would start earning money again, I could finance my other inventions that would also greatly help the World.........

So, seeing this examples, even if they are not perfect nor finalized, would You be interested to invest money in production?

If You help me right now with 30 000 Euro which I need to save my mortgaged birth house, I shall give You free Production License for US, on condition that You submit patenting papers in US in my name and give me 10% from selling price of units produced........

We can make Business Cooperation Agreement, and I would explain all details how it is all supposed to work and what it could do.

Interested? I hope You are!

After all, Production License price would be 5 million Euro, and You can sell it if You would not want start production, even several of them (but in this case I would ask half price also and my royalty I could split with You in half also)........

I have also new ideas for Solarpower Stations, Water condensation devices of agricultural capacity that spend much less electricity, or no electricity if idea how to make it work using just heat from Sun would prove correct.........

But let us start with Windpower Stations, if You are interested, of course!

Regards from Croatia, homeland of one of greatest inventors, Engineer Nikola Tesla!

Marijan Pollak, IT SA/SE 1st. Class, Instructor and Team Leader (retired)

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#20
In reply to #16

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/16/2009 4:10 PM

My computer decided that one sentence is enough and it was sent!

How did it bypass >>Preview<< is a mistery...

Well, unfortunately, some have imagination , some have experience, some has none and some has both, so probability of right idea coming to right person is 0.25, but then there is question whether idea and experience are on same domain, so one getting it could understand it first of all. Next problem is sinhronicity, question is, has this idea come too early, in right time or too late? Therefore probability is still 0.3333% less, and if idea is on right timing, question is whether technology exist to materialize such idea or not.....

But then, even imagination have many kinds, so if idea come to a painter, it could be painted, provided painter have mastery of his tools, but still painter would not be able to make prototype, generally speaking, if there is lack of experience in engineering, but what would a musician do if he got idea of machine?

So problem is: how could people with imagination and without much experience connected to idea make it real? How could that musician describe machine to engineer when they in principle don't speak same language? Musician can enjoy the ride in a car made by engineer, and engineer can enjoy music made by musician, but neither would engineer be able to write music professionally nor could musicians generally construct the cars.........

That is why there are >>Expert Knowledge Databases<< where Expert in some field borrow his experience to a computer, in order that somebody else use his expertise to solve problem he know nothing about.

So if we take imagined case of painter who has painted idea of machine, if he can get Knowledge Database of Engineering, in interaction with such program who would ask questions, painter can succeed to build machine virtually, from which could be printed engineering plans and from which plans experienced engineers can build this machine.

Things have not come to this stage, so we have situation that there is partial match: one have idea and some practical knowledge about how machines works and what parts are necessary, so with tools for >>Virtual construction<< one can try to build that machine in computer first, and if computer confirm that such machine could work and is reasonably efficient, then real prototype can be built by experienced engineers, provided they have at least little useful imagination, to be able to understand novel idea and add to it from their experience, making it better or just more practical, or can suggest what to do to make it safer, cheaper and so on....

One of basic computer Laws is GI-GO. Meaning, if You put garbage in, You get most certainly garbage out also, while in real life if You put garbage into some machine or installation for processing it, You may get useful things as result.

I know and appreciate difference...

Now imagine program that would be able to help one to construct such machine or installation, checking along the way if it could work and adjusting its work by adding knowledge from Chemistry, Physic, Engineering and any other relevant field, and that it could be done by garbage man who happen to have right idea.....

That is future, and also way to immortality for expert knowledge that was paid by lot of perspiring and persistence, trials and errors.

Once formed from knowledge of best experts in the field, it can only grow and become more detailed while forking out to other fields that are directly or indirectly connected, and many such databases should in time merge into one database, that of Knowledge of Mankind. Using such Knowledge based expert system, anybody would be able to post a problem, and knowledge of best experts in field would find solution, and even explain how it is arrived at, if problem poster would be interested in explanations.

So, only problem is that Expert tend to keep their knowledge to themselves, or even are not able to explain how they arrive to solution of some problem.

Would not it be practical that each engineer have chance to add his experience and expertise to one such database, so all mistakes he have done that were costing him time and money could be avoided in the future by someone else who has no experience? If properly made, such database can teach and explain, giving examples to student, who would be free to ask questions: >>What IF....<< and get answer and explanation.

Similarly, good program for building >>Virtual<< devices, machines or anything else, has to have expert knowledge, or at least common knowledge of the field built in.

Then, based on practical experience, it can recommend or warn against doing something that would preclude object built to function, or be safe for use and so on.

Alternatively, program can even gather its own >>experience<< by remembering successful designs that was built using it, and that knowledge can assist someone else who has idea and no knowledge how to go about it to make it work.

All that require lot of thinking, planning and persistence, together with energy to overcome inertia in thinking of people who tend to become set in their ways and do not want to change anything.

Given funding and access to experts, I could make such Knowledge interactive Expert system, just as I have idea for perfect program for >>Virtual Construction and testing<< of any imaginable device, that can also be >>evolved<< to be adapted to any condition and constraint set by reality and special requirements.....

For almost two years I was searching for at least usable program, but I have find that they lack even common base of describing 3D bodies as parts and subsystems of machines or installations, and that they separate tests because each test require different description of problem.

Maybe those programs that I could not get for trial are good, but seeing so many >>bells and whistles<< advertised that turned to be inadequate or totally unusable in practice, probability is small that such program really exist.

Whenever I discussed my ideas how such program should work to be practical, it turned out that basic premises of programs in questions would have to be rebuilt, and everything else they made in decades would not fit and would have to be reprogrammed, so faced with enormity of task, they gave up and continued to do small improvements to be able to sell new version each year......

But, you did not answer my question: do You have experience of some program that is at least half usable, which is not intended for use by experts in field ONLY?

One company advertised their challenge for engineers to post their hardest problems for design and testing promising reward to one who post hardest problem, and when I asked them to model this: they completely ignored my request, and when I insisted on answer why they chose something trivial and just made up design of some >>machine<< for which I was 100% sure that have no function, they admitted that what I asked was IMPOSSIBLE for them to model.

Now my dear colleagues, do any of you know about program that would be able to simulate and test something like this? Just for sake of argument, imagine this mounted on Wind Power stations instead of classic turbine with three blades.

I talked with engineers from factory that is building contemporary WPS, and they admitted that they do calculations of turbine blades by hand, and have no specialized program at all.. Tragicomically, that same factory has informatics department for over 50 years, and they did not develop anything!

Based on principles I discovered in that which is considered to be a toy only, I made entirely new kind of air turbine, and made little prototype so I can show it is working.

Only, due to constraints of materials and tools at hand, it has less resembleance to >>real<< turbine I want to build, and I have to know how would more massive turbine work in proportionally weaker airflow, and most important, since I am not engineer for machines but that of systems, I dont know how to calculate proper size so that I can get 2500 Rpm on generator unit, and what would speed of air be necesary to turn this turbine at such speed together with volume of air at that speer that would give enough kinetic energy.........

So, that is requirements I have: program that can simulate Fluid dynamic and things like Venturi Pipe with spiral flow and flow of air over so complicated turbine as one above, to be able to determine turbine size and amount of air and speed of air that would produce 2500 Rpm on generator unit.........

Well, if it could be done by calculations, then please explain them to me, as I could make program with proper formulas and methodology of their use......

Regards, Marijan Pollak, IT SA SE 1st. Class, Instructor and Team Leader (retired)

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#27
In reply to #20

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/17/2009 4:18 AM

One of basic computer Laws is GI-GO. Meaning, if You put garbage in, You get most certainly garbage out also, while in real life if You put garbage into some machine or installation for processing it, You may get useful things as result.

your, too dependant on softwarem that underlined is not true and is nothing more than a guess. just look at you replys.......I skim through you post I did'nt read all of it because thats the the best place to hide something.

This is experienc talking .........again. O knew of an engineer that waited to make sure he was 100% certain a piece of equipment worked, he calculated everything. He spend 4 months on the 6 mnths alotted to him to design it by calculating everthing....guess what, the project turned out to be an abortion. Everything you can think of failed.

How do I know this, I was hired to replace the vacancy of this engineer. I read his calculations and documentations. I got lost in his facts......and so did he. Matter of interest, your post reminds me of that.

p911

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#29
In reply to #27

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/17/2009 11:15 AM

I worked in Institute for Nuclear, Biological and Chemical Research, and I have seen many things there, so I know it is possible. In Italy they have factories for garbage processing for at least 30 years, and they recycle metals, plastic and turn organic waste into fertilizer.

If You do not read all I wrote, it is easy to pull things out of context and misunderstand everything.

In any job that is supposed to create something, one must plan from start, first rough outline, then divide this into functional parts, have clear idea how those parts would work together, and then plan each part in details same way. Such refining should go until one part under study cannot be divided further, and then this part should be designed and all calculations made. Since parts are interdependent, each should be parametrized, so that any change in functioning of preceding part that would change characteristics of input for next functional part or subsystem and would influence calculations in that parts that follow would automatically be set up for new calculations for that part.

That way one cannot get lost in forest of calculations, and result should always be correct, regardless of changes made.

Also, even most complicated system could so be analysed and constructed safely.

Planing is everything that matter. Who fails to plan, plans to fail.........

I am sure that whatever You have done, at least You have had rough plan, if not on paper, then in Your head.

Perhaps trough years such Plan has formed and You habitually use it, because it provenly work for You, even if You may think You are improvising.

If You would NOT know anything about thing You were told to build, except perhaps theoretically, would You still go about it same way as You do?

I don't think so.

Reading what one should read superficially may lead to failure and great loss of money.

Some 5 years ago, I was approached by company producing water condensation devices to become representative and sell those devices. I asked all technical informations and then requested to be representative for several countries, including India, since my wife is Indian and so I have lot of relatives there.

Company replied that I could become representative of just ONE country, so I choose biggest one: India!

They replied that it is not possible since I am one man and it is Subcontinent. I made my plans that have convinced them that in just 4 years I can cover 1440 Indian cities with distribution centers, and therefore they agreed that they would grant me exclusive representativeship for whole India, if I buy 36 000 units as initial contingent at factory price of 520$ EXW. I argued that this is too great number, but they had their own calculations and would not make it less.

Perhaps in time I would persuade them that even half is enough, but there was much more important problem that I found in technical documentation, and this was that their devices do NOT work on temperature of 40 degrees of Celsius or higher, and in India it is every second day or even more often.

I got idea how to solve this at once and offered to solve this problem for this company, but not for free. They acknowledged problem but refused to pay for solution, perhaps thinking that if their Engineers have constructed devices, they would be able to solve problem also.

That was wrong thinking, as problem was in cooling system and its refrigeration gas, and no amount of tinkering can change its physical characteristics. Even multi stage cooling would not help, as always last stage should be cooled by surrounding air, which was too warm.

In the meantime, friends of my Indian business partner have become greedy and perhaps together with him decided to bypass me and so one went to factory directly. Since that man bought required contingent, he got representativeship also.

Factory has given him same technical informations as they gave me, but he did not think that it is necessary to read it, or he read it the way You read my posts.

Result? Man lost 36 million US$ and scrapped all units after disgruntled buyers brought them back and asked money and refund of all their expenses......

Factory of course pointed out that such informations were provided to him, so it is not their fault that he disregarded it, and did not wanted to accept devices back.

So You see, that factory engineers were also sure that there is no need to think beforehand about where such devices are needed most and whether they would work in local conditions, and that would be first thing that I would think about: user requirements for normal use........

When it was finished, they found out its limitations, but since that team was from Canada, surely they did not assign importance to temperatures as high as 40° C.

So, specialistic knowledge is good, until it becomes habitual and is unquestionably used, no matter what, since people tend to look on new problem as on simple variation of problems they solved in the past.

I am relatively unspecialized because I am Systems Engineer and I deal mostly in abstractions like function that has to be performed, but I must know at least something about everything, as I must always take into consideration all factors that can influence function performed, or at least I must know where to find required informations or who is specialized in which area, so I can ask what I need to know.

Of course, since each system is different, I have to collect some knowledge about it or study how similar systems, if they exist, work, to find what problems exist and if such problems can be avoided in new system.

Most of the time problems in existing systems were discovered during testing of prototypes, but if they stem from some basic function that was included from start and that cannot be changed without remaking everything, then people think that such problems should be tolerated as remaking it all would be too costly and require time, and neither additional costs nor putting product on the market much later would not make Investors happy, so user get problems together with function required.

I had have negotiations with factory that make contemporary models of Wind power stations, and they were researching for 30+ years how to make better their turbine blades, never thinking to invent completely new turbine, because it was too far from what they were doing for years.... Beside this, they would have to scrap all their tools, molds or whatever they use in production of contemporary models, and those tools did not yet pay themselves, so they would produce inefficient and break prone units rather than to switch to production of something else.

That would in consequence destroy their company when other young companies start producing better and cheaper models.

There is for instance one factory that produce new and better kind of electricity generators and motors. They at once understood that they would sell much more generators (and motors also) if they have whole product where their generators would be included, and since my Windpower Stations are uncomplicated to produce and installation is simple, they are ready to start production as soon as I submit engineering blueprints.

So, this is my position: I need help to make those blueprints by program or by industrial engineer, but either way, it cost money, and money I don't have, so I need investor, or industrial engineer to cooperate with me.

If You would like to cooperate with me, that would be all help I need, provided You would make this engineering blueprints before You start building prototypes, and they should be precise enough for everyone to be able to build installation that would work as expected :-))

Would You help me and cooperate on this project?

Alternatively, if You think You can do it all without making Engineering blueprints, i could sell You one Production License very cheaply, for just 10% of ordinary price, provided I also get 10% of Royalty on every unit selling price in future.

Then You can go and build prototypes as many as You would want and experiment as long as You want...... I could even grant You exclusive License on all units of capacity equal or less than 2/3 MW, if You think smaller models have bigger market, and such licence would be valid for whole World!

You don't even need to pay me full amount (that would be 500 000 Euro) at once, but just 10% of this, 50 000 Euro!

What do You say? This is billion dollar per year business in pure profit, if You can produce enough units to satisfy demand...

Alternatively, You would be able to sell Production Licenses in all other countries, but in this case I would ask 30% of each PL sold and 5% of royalty for me.......

Interested?

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#30
In reply to #29

Re: Nothing Like the Real Thing

11/17/2009 11:39 AM

If You do not read all I wrote, it is easy to pull things out of context and misunderstand everything.

Back in the 70's the US had a think tank to come up with ideas for a security plan. One of the ideas is to release all information and not hide anything. And I mean all. The thought was bury the USSR with data, spending resources to have them drudge through it to verify and organize it.

As you can seem, it works.

p911

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