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The Y Files

The Y Files is the place for conversation and discussion about how technology shapes individuals and their communities. Steve Melito (Moose), the blog's owner, is an experienced technical writer who once read Aldous Huxley's Brave New World while killing time as a temp at GM Truck and Bus.

"All our science is just a cookery book, with an orthodox theory of cooking that nobody's allowed to question, and a list of recipes that mustn't be added to except by special permission from the head cook." - World Controller Mustapha Mond, Chapter 16, pg. 225

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High Gasoline Prices and the Three Little Pigs - Part 1

Posted May 09, 2007 1:39 PM by Moose
Pathfinder Tags: EPA ethanol gasoline summer blends

"Spring," according to an ancient Chinese proverb, "is sooner recognized by plants than by men". Here in the U.S., the seasonal demand for gasoline grows like crabgrass while the blame for high gas prices blooms like an ugly weed. So who's to blame? Is it the oil companies? Washington politicians? Your next-door neighbor with the petroleum-based lawn fertilizer and the new SUV?

There are plenty of places to rant and rave on the Web, but this isn't one of them. So let's look at some facts. In particular, let's focus on three factors that we'll call the "three little pigs", a reference to that childhood tale about three young pigs who built houses made of straw, sticks and bricks. Then, like the wolf in the story, we'll try to knock each of these houses down. Here's the first one . . .

EPA Regulations

Trilby Lundeberg, head of a fuel-market research company called the Lundberg Survey, attributes the springtime spike in gasoline prices to a variety of factors, including U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) regulations. "Ever since 1989, the first year that federal EPA regulations set caps on vapor pressure in gasoline, the tendency has been for gasoline prices to rise in the spring rather than in the summer," she claims. Warm-weather fuels may reduce smog, but they're also more expensive to make than winter blends, adding an extra 3 to 15 cents to the cost of a gallon of gas. Summer blends also drive up prices because refinery production drops while plants prepare for the switchover.

In addition, notes Matt Routt, a senior consultant for Energy Security Analysis, Inc., "everyone jams the exits at the same time." In short, gas station owners have about a week to switch from winter fuels to summer blends. Distributors and truckers who capitalize on this demand can add another 8 to 12 cents to the cost of a gallon of gas. The EPA's mandatory ethanol requirement doesn't help either. Because ethanol has a higher vapor pressure, it's even more expensive for refineries to meet the EPA's summertime regulations. When California adopted its own ethanol mandate, Lundberg notes, gasoline prices rose by 10 cents per gallon.

Is the house of Lundeberg and Routt made of straw, sticks, or bricks? You decide.

Editor's Note: Part 2 of this story is now on CR4.

Resources:

http://www.quotegarden.com/spring.html

http://www.shol.com/agita/pigs.htm

http://www.reason.com/news/show/119300.html

Steve Melito - The Y Files


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Guru
Popular Science - Weaponology - New Member

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#1

Re: High Gasoline Prices and the Three Little Pigs - Part 1

05/09/2007 2:55 PM

Question how do the petroleum products differ and what is vapour pressure requirement? We bits just use the same fuel all year. How does the fuel affect the cars engine? When is the change over supposed to take place and does any one check up on this. Suppose you fill up a few days prior to the change then have to fly off for a while what happens to the old fuel you haven't used? I know just too many things to deal with. Sorry for my asking but I would like to know.

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#2
In reply to #1

Re: High Gasoline Prices and the Three Little Pigs - Part 1

05/09/2007 4:40 PM

Gasoline with a higher vapor-pressure is better for starting your car on cold winter mornings. These winter blends evaporate more quickly on hot days, however, and (according to the EPA) serve to increase smog levels in major cities. The change-over from winter to summer fuels takes place at different times across the U.S. For example, because spring comes earlier to Georgia than to New York, drivers in Atlanta begin to use summer blends before motorists in Manhattan do. I'm not sure of the exact switch-over dates, but I think that the U.S. is divided into zones. As for the matter of enforcement, there's probably paperwork that service stations and distributors need to file with regulatory agencies. Hope this helps.

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#3
In reply to #2

Re: High Gasoline Prices and the Three Little Pigs - Part 1

05/09/2007 8:32 PM

I expect some one will come forward with more info, thank you Moose.

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Join Date: Dec 2005
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#5
In reply to #2

Re: High Gasoline Prices and the Three Little Pigs - Part 1

05/11/2007 2:28 AM

Moose,

E10 is still voluntary here and I notice it is much easier to fill the tank with E10 than normal 91 unleaded because of less kickback (11dec C is a cold day though, temps are more often 20 to 35). That indicates to me a lower vapour pressure for ethanol. How do you manage with winter / summer blends for diesel? Summer blends here can make winter starting impossible due to gelling at around 10 deg C (it comes good at around 9.00am).

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#6
In reply to #5

Re: High Gasoline Prices and the Three Little Pigs - Part 1

05/14/2007 8:45 AM

Hello Emjay4119,

In North America, refineries also supply seasonally-adjusted diesel fuels during the winter months. Gelling remains a risk, however, especially when there are colder-than-predicted temperatures. Some drivers add an antigel or anti-gelling agent. In the case of truck stops and wholesale fuel suppliers, a common practice is to blend a lighter diesel stock (No. 1) into the regular No. 2 fuel.

Hope this helps.

Moose

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#9
In reply to #6

Re: High Gasoline Prices and the Three Little Pigs - Part 1

05/17/2007 11:59 PM

Steve,

Thanks for the info, it sounds rather involved with your low temperatures. In 2000 we had a longer than usual wet season, which meant the sugar industry used less diesel ,so some summer stock was left over (especially at Mobil) then the winter was cool (Minimums down to frost foint for a few hours around daylight) and this was enough to create merry hell.

Do any American diesel vehicles have fuel preheaters to compensate for cold conditions?

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#10
In reply to #9

Re: High Gasoline Prices and the Three Little Pigs - Part 1

05/18/2007 8:38 AM

They sure do, Emjay4119. Here's a link to a description of a diesel-fuel preheater that wraps around the filter housing. I haven't purchased anything like this myself, but I'm toying with the idea of buying a Volkswagen Diesel four-wheel drive before the snow flies again. (The gas mileage is great.) If I take the diesel route, I'll either have to build a garage to keep my car warm or install a preheater. The preheater would be cheaper!

Guest
#4

Re: High Gasoline Prices and the Three Little Pigs - Part 1

05/10/2007 3:49 PM

So the problem with this guy Routt's argument is that he makes it sound like everyone has to changeover at the same time. If Moose is right, then there would be competition for gas (and higher prices) in a specific zone, but not across the country all at the same time.

Guest
#7

Re: High Gasoline Prices and the Three Little Pigs - Part 1

05/16/2007 4:36 PM

The shortage of refineries is a HOAX ...they use this tired old excuse every time and sell and sell and repeat and repeat it every time they multiply the monoply they have on the gas.... it's a lie pass it on ... they all sit on each other's boards and tell the same old story ...and also they burn the refineries intentionaly ...the old ones... check out the news stories over the past few years ...do the research.. they get the insurance... keep the refineries down to a below adequate value and then HOAX it to the stupid gullible public .... expose them please ...pass it on

Truth

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#8
In reply to #7

Re: High Gasoline Prices and the Three Little Pigs - Part 1

05/16/2007 4:54 PM

C'mon back to CR4 and check out Part 2 of this story, Guest. There's a section called "America's Refinery Capacity" that you'll find to be of interest.

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