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The Animal Science Blog is the place for conversation and discussion about scientific and technological topics related to pets, livestock, and other animals. See how cutting-edge advances help – or hinder – species around the world. The blog's owner, Laura Sicley, is a lifelong animal enthusiast who received an AS in Equine Studies before switching to a "more practical" college major. She currently has two beagles, two horses, a cat, and a tank full of tropical fish.

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Use Physics to Place Your Bet

Posted August 05, 2009 12:01 AM by SavvyExacta

When deciding how to bet at the racetrack, you could look at a horse's past performance and lineage, or by observing the jockey's position and applying simple physics. With the opening of the summer meet at Saratoga Racecourse in upstate N.Y., now is a good time to brush up on another handicapping technique!

Center of Balance

Why does the jockey ride with his knees up to his nose while perching over the horse's neck? One reason has to do with the horse's center of balance. The less the rider interferes, the faster the horse can go.

The location of the equine center of balance can vary depending on several factors:

  • Speed – Slower speeds place the center of balance further back behind the withers (bump at the base of the neck). Increased speeds, like a racing gallop, move the center of balance forward toward.
  • Collection – Some equine sports require the horse to "collect". In plain English, the horse is coiling its energy like a spring and in advanced movements, almost going up and down like a merry-go-round horse. Collected movements place the center of balance further back than extended movements, like the gallop.
  • Saddle – There are different types of saddles for different types of riding disciplines. A dressage saddle for "dancing on horseback" places the rider further back for collected movements. A jumping or racing saddle moves the rider further up.

The Racing Crouch – How Effective is It?

Jockeys have it tough enough between having to keep their weight down to the absolute minimum and riding up to 10 or more horses per day, some that they've never seen before. But the job also entails spending one-to-three minutes per race (not counting the rides to the post and from the finish line) in a relatively uncomfortable position, while a thousand-pound animal pulls their arms with many pounds of pressure.

The crouched position may not look so bad to someone who hasn't tried it, but I've talked to friends who say they couldn't make one lap around the track. I personally use a similar technique (with a longer stirrup length) to strengthen my legs and train them to stay in the proper position. It's tough to do and you certainly feel it the next day!

So why do jockeys use it? According to a study conducted using GPS units in jockeys' helmets along with inertia sensors on the riders as well as on the horses, the following discoveries were made:

  • The horse does most of the moving – push off to accelerate, move up and down, repeat
  • Jockey's legs act like a spring to help move rhythmically with the horse
  • This movement helps the jockey stay at a constant speed

Sometimes (especially right out of the gate or after the completion of a race) a jockey will seem to be standing straight up. This is to slow the horse and gain control. It does show that this way would not help the horse to go faster!

What do you think? Have you ever bet on a horse race? What technique works for you?

Resources:

http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2009/07/jockeys_using_physics_to_make.html

http://www.timesunion.com/AspStories/story.asp?storyID=821334&category=NATIONAL

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Center_of_balance_(horse)


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#1

Re: Use Physics to Place Your Bet

08/05/2009 7:39 AM

Yeah, you can lose money scientifically.
Del

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#2

Re: Use Physics to Place Your Bet

08/05/2009 12:02 PM

Wow. I have never bet on horses and even though you do provide some good points, I don't think that I have enough background or riding intelligence to even begin to pinpoint a faster horse (before they start running). I do like how you brought the aspect of physics to creating an educated guess when betting and emphasis that it isn't all about the history. I prefer to just watch these majestic creatures without losing anything in my wallet!

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#3

Re: Use Physics to Place Your Bet

08/05/2009 4:07 PM

This Blog Entry is weird for I had a memorable dream about three days ago wherein I was a jockey in a race.

I haven't ridden a horse 28 years.

It's been 43 years since I got my Horsemanship Merit Badge.

It's been 39 years since I was taken to the Arlington Race Track and taught how to bet the horses.

In my dream I was busting ground on a strong horse, but knew I was heavy.

This Blog entry has really cheered me up for I am caused to remember that for a poor boy, I sure have had some great fun.

I've had horses to ride, girls in the stalls, motorcycle trips of great challenge and beauty, rides in Learjets, and gotten to fly a DC 6, not to mention trained to drive in a Sunbeam Tiger.

However when betting on the horses I would still go mostly by how I was taught.

I'd read the Racing Form, and bet on the horse according to its record for placing in its last three races.

Certainly you may factor the jockey into your bet, but I figure a fast horse is a fast horse, and if you want to hedge considering the jockey, bet to win, or to place.

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#4
In reply to #3

Re: Use Physics to Place Your Bet

08/05/2009 10:49 PM

True story: a recently departed friend of mine went to a Houston medical center for cancer therapy. He became good friends with the staff. One of his nurses mentioned she was driving up to a big Kentucky horse race via my friend's home town in Tennessee. My friend advised the nurse to to only put money on a horse which had most recently had a bowel movement. On her way back home to Houston, the nurse visited my friend and his family. While there she held up a hand full of money won at the racetrack after following my friend's advice.

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#5

Re: Use Physics to Place Your Bet

08/06/2009 1:46 PM

Nice blog. I'm now officially ready for the track!

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#6
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Re: Use Physics to Place Your Bet

08/06/2009 1:57 PM

There's a lot more to it! My factors of choice are:

  1. Past performance - look for a horse that's about to "peak" or that is moving down in class
  2. Surface - if it's on the turf (grass), look for a horse with big feet
  3. Distance - typically smaller horses do well in sprints (shorter races)
  4. Weather - if the weather is a factor, look at the past performance for horses who have done well on the current track condition, not just overall
  5. Trainer/jockey combinations - find out who the leading trainers and jockeys are at the track and bet them when they come up together

I usually hold handicapping seminars at the GS track outing so feel free to ask questions then. Results not guaranteed.

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#7

Re: Use Physics to Place Your Bet

08/07/2009 12:56 PM

Its mentioned how uncomfortanble the jockey is, its also dam dangerous........

I'll take beetlebum in the 7th

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#8
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Re: Use Physics to Place Your Bet

08/07/2009 1:09 PM

That's right, it is dangerous. I wrote a series and found research that indicates per number of participants, it's actually the most dangerous sport in terms of injuries and deaths. It's arguable whether 10% of the earnings (some of which goes to the agent, some of which goes to the valet) is worth it for a jockey. In the upper levels, it probably is. The better part of 10% of 65% of $5 million in the Breeder's Cup Classic sounds nice to me! In the lower levels, it may not be worth it with purses of $10,000 and below.

The requirement of approved helmets and padded vests helps avoid some injuries. But when an animal that weighs 1,000+ pounds lands on you, tramples you, or slams you into the rail or gate - you're probably going to get hurt. Jockeys realize this is part of the job and most of them return to racing as soon as they are able.

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#9
In reply to #8

Re: Use Physics to Place Your Bet

08/07/2009 1:22 PM

knowing how to fall does help.........if you can control the fall to statistical limit the injuries. Its all risk......

Interesting posts.........

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#10
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Re: Use Physics to Place Your Bet

08/07/2009 1:30 PM

True. When I learned to ride one of the first lessons was how to fall. There is such a thing as an "emergency dismount" and it has several varieties - landing on your feet vs. tucking and rolling and holding onto the horse vs. letting go. One time a horse I was riding started to take off over a jump but changed its mind. I wound up standing on the other side of the fence staring into the horse's eyes, holding its bridle in my hand! That was an interesting afternoon.

While jockeys sometimes get to make a decision about how to fall, that does not happen in every case. In the course of the average two minute race a lot can happen quickly. Often a fall occurs because a horse breaks down and falls. The jockey on that horse is thrown and potentially pinned or trampled by oncoming traffic. The horse that broke down can cause a chain reaction of other falls if it goes down in front of other horses that must swerve (or instinctively jump) to avoid it. These jockeys have more of a chance to decide where and how to bail out.

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#11
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Re: Use Physics to Place Your Bet

08/07/2009 1:37 PM

Same here, .....it was to a point of knowing when to stop tring to recover while you still have some type of control, and go with the flow. (to control your fall) (kinda like organized chaos)

Those lessons also help with other sports such as Skiing.......plus being lucky helps.

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