Almost three weeks ago, myself and a group of approximately twenty Albany, New York area engineers, including a colleague from GlobalSpec, had the privilege of enjoying an after work tribute dinner-talk by Ray Misiewicz, retired Knolls Atomic Power Laboratory (KAPL) nuclear designer.
Ray - inspired by the sacrifice of ninety-nine men who died on a submarine like those he helped the U.S. to design during the Cold War - was gracious enough to speak to our group - the Hudson-Mohawk section of ASME - for a second year in a row. He spoke last year on the topic of the USS Parche - a submarine that had spied on the Russian Pacific Fleet back in the 1970's (click here for last year's blog entry).
As Ray pointed out in his presentation, in the entire history of the U.S. nuclear Navy, there have been only two submarines lost at sea with their entire crews: the USS Thresher and the USS Scorpion. The Scorpion sank in 11,000 feet of water, 400 miles southwest from the Portuguese Azores Islands, in 1968.
The two-hour presentation focused on multiple theories that might explain the horrible mishap, since an official most-probable cause was never given by multiple government investigations. The investigations took place since the initial late-sixties tragedy through one that took place during the Clinton Administration.
Unfortunately for the families of the sailors involved, the majority of the media's attention - often a catalyst for expediting and prioritizing work in Washington - was likely diverted by two additional tragedies happening at approximately the same time. The USS Scorpion's loss happened somewhere immediately after midnight on May 21st, 1968, sandwiched time-wise between the assassinations of Dr. Martin Luther King - April 4th, 1968 - and Robert F. Kennedy - June 6th, 1968.
During the initial public investigation that located the wreckage, a mathematics expert, Dr. John Craven, chief scientist with the U.S. Navy's Special Projects Division, was consulted. Craven's team employed Bayesian Search Theory, a statistical method for locating the most probable location for lost objects. There are multiple applications - computer science, sports betting, etc. - for Bayesian Theory, as Ray Misiewicz's Las Vegas "Blackjack Table / Chivas Regal" PowerPoint slide image humorously pointed out.
Over the years, Ray has had the opportunity to speak one-on-one with family members who lost loved ones in the Scorpion tragedy, and to visit important ship-yard memorials.
Resources:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Scorpion_(SSN-589)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Bayes
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_search_theory
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Titanic#Rediscovery_of_the_Titanic
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