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Futurism ~ The Limits To Growth

04/04/2012 3:15 PM

I have an aversion to people who forecast the future, especially scientists but forty years ago The Club of Rome published the work of some MIT researchers under the title of "Limits to Growth". After forty years it looks pretty close.

Smithsonian Magazine

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Guru

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#1

Re: Futurism ~ The Limits To Growth

04/04/2012 4:20 PM

Yep.

Doesn't surprise me at all. This ball of rock has limits.

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#2

Re: Futurism ~ The Limits To Growth

04/05/2012 11:40 AM

Seems to be pretty good for a prediction based on historical evidence. That can be risky because conditions change constantly.

The problem with predictions in knowing everything about the interactions and continuation of the "norm". If we really have serious global warming to the extent of melting all of the ice, all bets are off. I don't think that was taken into consideration in 1972. The consequence of an increase in sea level of 20+ feet would blow the predictions off the charts. Perhaps some re-evaluations are in order.

Economists have had the worst case of trying to make predictions because the rules seem to be too fluid. Just when you think you know how something works, a few new factors come along and mess up all of the models. Still it seems like trouble is on the horizon any way you slice it.

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#3

Re: Futurism ~ The Limits To Growth

04/05/2012 3:47 PM

as a young man attending high school during the earily 1970's, world "population explosion" was a a subject commonly discussed. since then i have'nt heard this term used as it pertains to increased use of natural resourses, that, of coarse, leads to more polulion. think crude oill for example. as more countries "advance?" from agrarian socities to industrial socitities, the need for natural resoures has grown exponentically, dramatically increasing world polution

this planet is doomed, at least as we now know it, as corporations continue there quest for the almighty dollar and people demand a higher standard of living.

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