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Training Watson to Take on Jeopardy Champions

Posted February 28, 2011 1:30 PM by Sharkles
Pathfinder Tags: IBM Watson Jeopardy Watson

Earlier this month, an IBM supercomputer named Watson won over Americans by competing on and winning the popular game show, Jeopardy. Watson took on Jeopardy's two top champions and won the 3-day contest and a million dollars that was later donated to a children's charity.

Before Watson could make its debut, IBM researchers worked to understand the nuances of "natural language" within the system. They used the company's open-source framework, "Unstructured Information Management Architecture (UIMA), which analyzes natural language text, speech, image, and videos. Watson also employs "DeepQA" technology that IBM describes as a quest for a system that operates more effectively in "human terms."

Putting Watson to the Test
According to the IBM research blog, it took two years before the computer could analyze a Jeopardy clue and provide a response in less than three seconds. To test Watson, the research team devised 55 "sparring matches" against former Jeopardy Tournament of Champions contestants.

By using learned algorithms, Watson uses information given in the category and clue to map probabilistic estimates in the accuracy of responses. At the same time, Watson relies on getting the clues correct to verify that it's interpreting a category correctly. The early sparring matches showed significant learning and in-game adjustments as Watson gained a clearer understanding of the categories.

Deep QA technology also helps Watson produce answers with an associated confidence before ringing in. Watson will typically ring-in an answer when there is a confidence threshold of approximately 50%; this threshold may change towards the end of the game if it provides a higher change of winning.

Did you watch Watson on Jeopardy?

Sources: IBM Research News Blog

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#1

Re: Training Watson to Take on Jeopardy Champions

02/28/2011 4:27 PM

I was not able to watch Jeopardy during the Watson Challenge episodes.

While the accomplishment (Watson beating the pants off the Jeopardy's two biggest champions) seems impressive at first glance, I don't think it compares with Deep Blue finally emerging victorious against Chess Champion Garry Kasparov. While Jeopardy requires knowledge spanning a wide variety of topics the basic strategy is not so difficult relative to the game of Chess.

Computers have advanced to enormous processing capabilities in terms of bits/second relative to humans, the competition was more like pitting an adult player against two 5th graders.

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#2
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Re: Training Watson to Take on Jeopardy Champions

03/01/2011 12:01 PM

They have pitted an adult against fifth graders. That show is called Are you Smarter Than a Fifth Grader.

I think winning at Jeopardy is a huge leap past winning at chess. Chess is just an extremely large math puzzle and of course requires a very deep understanding programing of the strategy of the game. All in all though chess is just number crunching. Jeopardy on the other hand introduces the nuances of languages with their use of puns and such. The risk assessment of how much to wager and the question do I ring in when not 100% sure my answer is correct?

Chess may be a larger straight computing challenge but Jeopardy has more of the human subtleties attached to it. These I think are the stumbling blocks for AI programmers today.

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Re: Training Watson to Take on Jeopardy Champions

03/01/2011 12:42 PM

That's one reason I chose fifth graders in my example. However, 'Are You Smarter than a Fifth Grader' (AYSTAFG) is not really pitting one adult against two 5th graders in the same way that Jeopardy competitors are arranged. And the topics on AYSTAFG, while seeming simple, are filled with questions that may be common knowledge to a fifth grader having just covered the material, but is much less common to the average adult having not ever thought about some of those tidbits for 30-40 years.

For instance, a fifth grader might have recently covered 'mixed numbers' in math, and a 35 year old may not have heard the term used since 5th grade or may have been taught using the phrase 'improper fraction'. So a question with the phrase 'mixed numbers' in it may throw a nervous adult off enough to look stupid.

I'll reply to the rest of your comment a bit later as I'm getting a bit busy.

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Re: Training Watson to Take on Jeopardy Champions

03/02/2011 8:14 AM

I believe in both cases (chess and jeopardy) it's just a a large math puzzle. I think where the unfairness comes is that in chess while the moves are timed, the human player does have the option to ponder his/her move. In Jeopardy, the computer can buzz in quite quickly (immediately) and process the answer super quickly beyond the physiological capabilities of the human.

Don't get me wrong, I think the ability of Watson to discern the meaning of a sequence of words is quite impressive.

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