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Editor's Note: CR4 would like to thank Bruce Martin of GEA Consulting
for contributing this blog entry.
For residential non-ducted split units, PTACS and similar HVAC
products, imports have significantly replaced made-in-U.S. products sold in the
U.S. market. In the case of residential non-ducted split units, there was not
even much of a market in the U.S. (perhaps in Puerto Rico) before the imported
products were available. For other HVAC products, there has been little
substitution. So then made-in-China products may have replaced your made-in-U.S.
exports (to China) or other markets, but haven't dented your sales in the U.S.
(Whether your U.S. competitors' sourcing components from
China has affected your sales in the U.S. is a topic for another blog!)
Initially, if your company opened a factory in China the
output from that China factory was sold domestically. My experience is that
increased sales to the non-import local market serve to increase a company's
imports, not decrease them.
New, small companies or developing countries have typically
been accused of competing unfairly against older, larger companies or developed
countries. Hey, what did the British think about the low-priced textiles from
the American colonies who paid no attention to OSHA or environmental damage,
paid little or no (local) tax, had no pensions, had no holidays off and even
used slave labor? How could the Manchester spinning mills compete? The answer
is history.
Disruptive events in ostensibly free markets require new
strategies and tactics from players in those markets - not complaints.
Complaints, retaliation, even war may delay effects but seldom, if ever,
reverse the disruptive events.
Beyond such historical inevitabilities, what are the reasons
a made-in-China product would replace your own sales in markets outside of the
U.S.?
Lower price due to cheap labor in China is the usual or
perhaps unanimous answer to the question.
Price is never the only consideration. It is always
weighed against other product benefits (or lack of). Customers or salespersons
or anyone else who states that "it is only price" should then just be invited
to provide a bag of air for a price somewhat lower than competitors' price for the
desired product.
A general observation, until now, is that middle to high end
customers will pay 15-20% more for a made-in-U.S. product compared to a
made-in-China (or some other developing countries) product. Stated another way;
for customers to prefer made-in-China products, they require a 20% or greater
price discount. Even within China this is true. Interestingly, the discount
demanded increases as the level of the country's development decreases.
Note that U.S. producers should be concerned that if China's
production reputation improves over time (ala Taiwan, Korea, Japan) then the
price discount demanded will decrease. This is a moving target!!
We can usually assume that (so far) product features,
quality, service, application information, installation references and
performance data are not reasons why customers have switched from your
made-in-U.S. products to made-in-China products!
Then the only reason remaining for customers to prefer
China-made products is those products' low price, which you assume is due to low
wages leading to low costs. Right? And those low wages are just an unfair,
disruptive event in history that must be accepted. Right?
Are you sure your product has a cost disadvantage? Or
are you overlooking some non-product cost issues which can affect your
product's selling price much more?
Stay tuned for a
discussion on the non-product cost issues that may have far more importance to
the final product then the labor side.
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