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Guru
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 2969
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Programming Jobs in Decline?

06/20/2005 2:15 PM

According to a story from the Associated Press, "the research firm Gartner Inc. predicts that up to 15 percent of tech workers will drop out of the profession by 2010, not including those who retire or die. Most will leave because they can't get jobs or can get more money or job satisfaction elsewhere. Within the same period, worldwide demand for technology developers — a job category ranging from programmers people who maintain everything from mainframes to employee laptops — is forecast to shrink by 30 percent."

This seems a bit extreme. What do others think?

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The Feature Creep

Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Boston, MA
Posts: 990
#1

Productivity

06/20/2005 3:36 PM

As with manufacturing the better the tools the less people are needed in any process. If our tools make people 30% more productive we should expect a 30% decline in positions.

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