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Are You Up for the Upturn?

Posted September 06, 2009 8:13 AM

There are definite signs of an upturn or at least statements of confidence from major organizations in the industry that the economy will now start to pick up. But if manufacturing companies were taken by surprise by the downturn last year are they now in the right shape to take advantage of an upturn? What about your company? If the orders start to come back, do you still have the people to operate your machines — or were staff laid off when things got bad? What about suppliers? Are the firms that were the sources for your components and materials, say 18 months ago, still in business themselves?

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Guru

Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 1790
Good Answers: 87
#1

Re: Are You Up for the Upturn?

09/08/2009 12:53 AM

I think that most companies are behind the curve and are still madly cutting costs (and people) and will be sick to their stomachs a few months from now as they find they can't meet the demand.

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Guru

Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: "Dancing over the abyss."
Posts: 4884
Good Answers: 243
#2

Re: Are You Up for the Upturn?

09/23/2009 10:02 AM

Most of my clients cut second tier and not journeymen.

A small percentage of companies in our industry have in fact closed.

Where small = low two digit percentage.

Steel inventories are at record lows and melting and rolling mills are shut down, meaning months of lead time to refill pipeline on nonstandard items.

We believe that we will no longer see domestically produced BOF bar steel in the US. I don't think they will bring the blast furnaces back to feed the BOF's.

No longer assurance of long campaigns needed to cover High fixed and operating costs. Scrap fed electric furnace shops are much closer to variable economics of high variable demand.

You might like my take on the actions of our industry's customer base:

Arrogantcustomers

milo

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