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Civilian Supercomputer Shatters Nuke Simulator's Speed Record

Posted November 17, 2009 8:43 AM

From Wired Discoveries:

Jaguar, a Department of Energy machine devoted to civilian research, jumps to the top of the world's most powerful supercomputer list. It's more than 69 percent faster than the second computer on the list, the IBM Roadrunner. Unlike previous DOE list-toppers, Jaguar will be devoted to climate and energy science, not nuclear weapons modeling.

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Join Date: Sep 2006
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Re: Civilian Supercomputer Shatters Nuke Simulator's Speed Record

11/17/2009 11:28 PM

In 1963 Edward Lorenz discovered that the mathematics governing climate and weather are fundamentally chaotic and extremely sensitive to initial conditions. So sensitive, in fact, that the mere flap of a butterfly's wings somewhere in the world can alter weather patterns months later somewhere else in the world. This is what climatologists mean when they speak of the "Butterfly Effect." Basically, the Butterfly Effect places a fundamental upper limit on the accuracy of weather forecasting, and you can read all about it in his paper, Deterministic Nonperiodic Flow.

What the Butterfly Effect means for you is that, if you sneeze without covering your mouth and three days later your town gets flooded by torrential rains and your neighbor's dog drowns, you have only yourself to blame.

Most climatologists are aware that people sneeze, belch, fart, and cough on occasion, and so have largely abandoned their attempts to forecast weather patterns beyond a few weeks out. This is not to say that climatologists cannot follow the path of cause-and-effect backward, into the past. They can. But what climatologists can determine, with the help of this new machine is who, exactly, sneezed. The rest they'll leave to the courts.

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