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Quake Chokes Demand for Platinum Group Metals (PGM)

Posted March 18, 2011 8:30 AM by Steve Melito

The earthquake in Japan has caused global demand for platinum group metals (PGM) to plunge, largely because of decreased demand from the Japanese auto industry. PGMs are used in autocatalysts and catalytic converters, important parts of a car's emissions control system.

Autocatalysts are ceramic or metallic cylinders that are formed into a fine honeycomb and then coated with a solution of platinum group metals (PGM) and chemicals. As anti-pollution devices, autocatalysts are used in both gasoline-powered and diesel cars to convert carbon monoxide and hydrocarbons into carbon dioxide and water vapor.

Autocatalysts are mounted inside a stainless steel cylinder within a car's catalytic converter, and installed in the vehicle's exhaust line between the engine and the muffler. Catalytic converters are also produced with platinum group metals (PGM), typically palladium or platinum.

Long before the Japanese earthquake, governments around the world began to adopt stricter vehicle emissions requirements to improve air quality. Automotive suppliers followed suit, developing autocatalysts and catalytic converters that required even more platinum, palladium, and rhodium.

In 2010, Japan consumed 20% of the world's platinum and 15% of its palladium production. In 2011, the country's totals may look quite different. How will the Japanese earthquake affect global demand for other metals?

Sources: Platinum Today and Reuters Africa

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#1

Re: Quake Chokes Demand for Platinum Group Metals (PGM)

03/18/2011 6:16 PM

Japan's demand for silver (mostly industrial) was about 9% of world demand last year. The demand is not expected to be lowered by the temporary industrial setbacks, since there will be increased demand to rebuild/replace what was lost. The silver demand in Japan is largely for electronics, and when you consider that consumer electronic items have become as integral to our lifestyle as running water, my guess is that these personal and business items will be in demand of replacement right away. So the global demand will probably increase overall in 2011, especially once power is restored for the industries that were not destroyed. I doubt that gold prices or demand will be much affected by the disaster, compared with the PGM which were fluctuating anyway and quickly lost all the value gained since January.

Japan's demand for platinum itself (as opposed to the PGM) is mostly for jewelry and only around 15% of the demand goes to industrial uses. This is an expensive luxury, not a priority when facing the economic setback of rebuilding, so demand should be down overall in 2011 due to lower demand in Japan.

I see that the price of copper has already spiked on the speculation that demand will increase, due to the need for copper to rebuild in Japan. Whereas the effect on iron and steel is the opposite. Iron ore shipments turned away in Japan have raised the supply, and since Japan is a major steel maker, it is expected to meet its own demands for steel to rebuild.

I see some speculation that the demand for vanadium will increase, for higher strength steel to rebuild in quake-prone areas.

I wonder what the plan will be for rebuilding or replacing the damaged power plants, and for strengthening that infrastructure against future events.

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Re: Quake Chokes Demand for Platinum Group Metals (PGM)

03/18/2011 8:25 PM

Nice post!

milo

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#3

Re: Quake Chokes Demand for Platinum Group Metals (PGM)

03/20/2011 7:06 AM

Not sure if this is off-topic or not (and the link may be a bit OTT compared to other's I've read); Semiconductors.

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Re: Quake Chokes Demand for Platinum Group Metals (PGM)

03/20/2011 8:16 AM

I see the industry is out 20% of global silicon wafer production with the shutdown of one plant in Fukushima.

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Re: Quake Chokes Demand for Platinum Group Metals (PGM)

03/23/2011 7:20 AM

Looks like Moose is trying to see what members know;

http://cr4.globalspec.com/blogentry/16368/Japanese-Earthquake-Slices-World-s-Supply-of-Silicon-Wafers

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