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Speaking of Precision

Speaking of Precision is a knowledge preservation and thought leadership blog covering the precision machining industry, its materials and services. With over 36 years of hands on experience in steelmaking, manufacturing, quality, and management, Miles Free (Milo) Director of Industry Research and Technology at PMPA helps answer "How?" "With what?" and occasionally "Really?"

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Four Baseline Measures to Improve Your Problem Solving

Posted June 14, 2011 9:17 AM by Milo

Trying to solve a problem without baseline data is a fool's errand.

It is the contrast between the data of the process, and the baseline data, that makes it possible to identify that a problem exists and to analyze it for root cause.

Most problems are identified because the output departs from the expected.

Brainstorms do not solve problems. They usually just waste resources in a process of aggrandized groupthink.

How's the power production there, team?

I call this "the Diff" when I am working with continuous improvement teams. It is the difference between expected and actual.

You cannot have a difference without having an expected or baseline measure of the characteristic to be improved.

Four Measures that I have used in my continuous improvement work include

  • Frequency of Occurrence
  • Cost
  • Duration
  • Location of Occurrence

Frequency of Occurrence

The difference between expected (or under statistical control) frequency and the rate of occurrence in the current state gives insights into what may be occurring. If it is a small fraction of a percent, it is unlikely that a global change of process is needed. If the rate is in the double-digit percentages, it is likely that there is a major change in the process (or needed!)

Simple ratios can also be powerful clues. Defects arriving in 20, 25 or 33 percent of the production point to areas within the greater process where there may be 5, 4, or 3 sub processes - like dies, cavities, or molds. Similarly, a rate of 12.5% on an 8 spindle screw machine tells me not to look at a single tool (it hits all 8 spindles), but instead to look for one of the 8 spindles (12.5% of the machine's total production) that might be out-of-line compared to the others.

Costs

My cell phone costs spiked almost 100% in July of 2010. In August, I brought my Dad back home to a nearby assisted living facility. The cell phone cost data was a pretty clear "cost" signal that something had changed compared to prior (baseline) bills- Dad need assistance. ( BTW- Dad's doing fine!)

Duration

Comparison of time to complete 100-ton orders on my mill grew by a significant figure, and follow-up indicated a problem at an intermediate shear. Without baseline data, how would I have known that my production time had increased?

Location of occurrence

This is another piece of data that, when tallied against the baseline of "no occurrences", always leads your thinking. If it only occurs in the threaded area, but not on the original bar surface, what does that mean?

Looking for deltas or "Diffs" between your baseline and current process data is a far better way to inform your Problem solving than Brainstorming.

Interested? The Delta is the Difference

Editor's Note: CR4 would like to thank Milo for sharing this blog entry, which originally appeared here.

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#1

Re: Four Baseline Measures to Improve Your Problem Solving

06/14/2011 2:22 PM

Milo, you had me at:

"Brainstorms... usually just waste resources in a process of aggrandized groupthink."

This has already been printed, framed, and hung on my wall! For each member of the staff that asks for a copy, I will send you a dollar, so get ready for a big night on the town (however far 6 bucks will get you)! You see, there are eight staff that attend a weekly meeting; I suspect the boss will not ask for a copy .

On a serious note, I have seen my share of the shotgun solution technique (Change EVERYTHING), and it NEVER worked... not even once. And I have had the same owner use the technique over and over again on the same problem, despite the resistance and appeal from me to apply at least a few of the techniques you line out for us here.

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#2
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Re: Four Baseline Measures to Improve Your Problem Solving

06/14/2011 3:48 PM

It was interesting because just today I had a shop send me a photo of some spotting on some brass parts they were cleaning with citric. The spots were only in the threads and recesses. they were round, not smears. They had a vendor "brainstorm" that they needed DI water to prevent the spotting.

I asked the vendor " How will the DI water work to prevent the spotting on the threads and recesses, when regular water doesn't spot on any of the other machined surfaces that aren't threads or recesses? Why doesn't regular water spot on major exposed features?"

When we looked at baseline regular water has worked for last 7 years and "no spots on major diameters and features" vs "spots only in threads and recesses," we were able to look at some OTHER potential mechanisms like surface tension, failure to dry, failure to completely rinse and possible contamination of rinse and or cleaner. We are grabbing samples of cleaner and rinse, increasing temp of rinse and dryer, and probably going to add a wetting agent.

Or we could have bought a DI unit...

Milo

And then to the question why they thought citric acid would be an effective cleaner vs oil... (oil is usedto protect metals against acid attacks) Hmmmm.

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#5
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Re: Four Baseline Measures to Improve Your Problem Solving

06/15/2011 6:54 AM

Hi Milo - PM me the name of the shop, so I don't have a chance to do business with them...

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Re: Four Baseline Measures to Improve Your Problem Solving

06/14/2011 4:39 PM

Problem is, when people feel issues need to be brain stormed, these same people doing the brain stoming are using limited resources.

As far as Milo, another good article.

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#4

Re: Four Baseline Measures to Improve Your Problem Solving

06/15/2011 3:31 AM

Now that's something the school doesn't teach but it should.

Thanks for sharing

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#6

Re: Four Baseline Measures to Improve Your Problem Solving

06/15/2011 11:36 AM

Another great article Milo. I loved the picture, too. I wonder how much money was wasted on that solar array and stationary wind turbine?

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#7

Re: Four Baseline Measures to Improve Your Problem Solving

06/16/2011 12:45 PM

Thanks everyone for the positive comments.

The photo was in Dublin of the headquarters of one of their environmental Non profits. Now we know why they are non profit.

Milo

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