Engineering News Blog

Engineering News

Latest news of interest to engineers. Sourced from GlobalSpec's Engineering News

Previous in Blog: LG Announces Steam Dishwashers, Dryers   Next in Blog: The Grand Challenges Ahead
Close
Close
Close
Rate Comments: Nested

Why Predicting The Next Influenza Pandemic Is So Difficult - And How Scientists Can Prepare

Posted May 09, 2007 10:00 AM

From ScienceDaily Headlines:

In planning for a future influenza pandemic, most experts agree that two things are known for certain--there will be another pandemic someday, and nobody can predict when. In a commentary in the May 9, 2007 issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association, scientists at the National Institutes of Health discuss why predicting the next pandemic is so difficult and outline steps that can be taken to better understand the behavior of the virus.

Read the whole article

Reply

Interested in this topic? By joining CR4 you can "subscribe" to
this discussion and receive notification when new comments are added.
Anonymous Poster
#1

Re: Why Predicting The Next Influenza Pandemic Is So Difficult - And How Scientists Can Prepare

05/11/2007 12:45 PM

Hmm this seems to imply that virus vectors pose a serious threat to the survival of humanity. How do we normally control the risk to human health from some animal vector of a serious disease, like malaria or bubonic plague. Maybe we should be consistent in our process and control the primary carriers of influenza if it really poses this large a threat to humanity. I watched a investigation on the 1920s pandemic, and they traced it back to the British camp in in WWI. Three components were needed allow a breeding ground for such an infectious strain of influenza: a high population density of birds in proximity to a high population density of pigs in close proximity to a high population density of at risk humans. This camp had them all including a war field hospital. So alternately, maybe a better control of the pathways for exposure could be assessed also, or isolation of those areas where control of these pathways for exposure is not instituted. If a person has a potential disease we isolate them until we know they are clear. Maybe we should consider this, break the chain as it were, since a pandemic is really brought about through a chain of events linked back to only 1 human, pig or bird carrier (it functions like a chain letter amongst a group of crazy people).

Reply
Reply to Blog Entry

Previous in Blog: LG Announces Steam Dishwashers, Dryers   Next in Blog: The Grand Challenges Ahead

Advertisement