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Last week at the start of the Russia 2018 FIFA World Cup, the national team defeated Saudi Arabia 5 to 0 in Moscow, setting in motion the next 30 days of the most exhilarating games in the world. On July 15, one of the 32 best selections of the planet will raise the cup in the engineering marvel called Luzhniki Stadium.
The big question is who this champion will be. Mathematicians and statisticians in several countries have – apparently – the answer. They can’t, however, agree in their predictions. According to several of these experts, the champion of this year will be Brazil, reaching its sixth World Cup win since the start of the championship in 1930.
Academics from the University of Innsbruck, Austria estimate that the probability of Brazil's victory is 16.6%. Similar results from other universities postulate that Brazil will win with a 16.81% probability, followed by Germany with 15.80%. Of course, these numbers will begin to increase as the championship progresses. However, not everyone reached the same conclusion. Several studies have shown at least two other selections as candidates to reach the first place in the world: Germany and France.
With the help of different mathematical models, scientists from the Cornell University, in New York, postulate Spain as a winner, only taking into account the clashes in the group stage, so these experts believe that Spain, Germany, Brazil, and France have a chance to be the champion. On the other hand, the company behind the video game "FIFA 18," EA Sports, determined that France will be World Cup champion after using the statistics of all the players involved in the World Cup and the previous results of each team.
Who do you think will win?
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Re: Which country will raise the coveted Soccer Cup at the end of the most important and biggest sport event in the world? Statisticians have an answer: Brazil, Germany or France!
