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Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/13/2015 6:56 AM

Everyone is trying to create the best self-driving car but which company will actually be successful? Google has been working on it since 2008, Tesla has released a feature for self-driving and now ford is testing their self-driving technology in a fake city. You can check out the article below to see this fake city in Michigan.

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#1

Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/13/2015 7:22 AM

I don't think it will be the customers.

I believe this will not be widely accepted in the market. It will be accepted as a niche market and for some that want bragging rights.

The problem is going to be cost. Like EVs, these are going to be expensive, at least for a while.

Then, manufactures will need to sell the idea to potential buyers. By that time the majority of drivers might be so fed up with these things clogging the road that there could be a backlash.

My thinking is that autonomous vehicles (AVs) will strictly obey the laws and speed limits. Most drivers speed at least a little and as the number of these AVs increase, so will the perception that they are a PITA to have on the road.

Unless there is a shift in driving consciousness, I think that existing drivers and certainly police departs will see these as a form of scourge once the novelty wears off and city revenues declines.

Where AVs might see a real potential is the commercial market. Short and long haul delivery vehicles would be a revenue boon because the only limits to the length of time they can drive is fuel capacity. But refusing puts them back on the road and there isn't a problem with drowsy driving.

Truly autonomous vehicles, without the need for a human at the ready, could be a labor saving device. I am sure there are some unions that will fight that tooth and nail.

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#2
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Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/13/2015 9:19 AM

Every self driving truck will require a union driver to be present in case something goes wrong....lol

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#8
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Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/13/2015 3:57 PM
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#3

Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/13/2015 10:30 AM

Everyone? Rubbish. I'm certainly not.

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#4

Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/13/2015 11:44 AM
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#5

Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/13/2015 1:19 PM

The lawyers!! The whole idea will be road-kill once an AV gets into an accident that involves more variables than it was programmed for, or some hacker figures out how to hijack it and turn it into a weapon. The ICE will be dead long before that type of litigation works its way through the courts.

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#6
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Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/13/2015 1:30 PM

Yes.

lawyers and insurance companies will reap the biggest profits.

Fleet operators might embrace the technology, but whoever can produce the cheapest, nominally safe vehicle will win market share.

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#7

Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/13/2015 2:23 PM

The missing part of any auto drive system, is the regulatory component. Just like the FAA, the DOT needs to create standards and specifications. To me the only way I can see this system working is for the moving machines to communicate with each other. There will be no heavy traffic density as the only safe thing to do is slow down to maintain safe spacing distances. You can't allow non automated operations mixed in. All it takes is a damn lane changer to screw the flow up.

I don't see the DOT stepping up to this task. Until this happens, auto drive will be a manual operator trying to keep themselves from dying.

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#9

Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/13/2015 5:17 PM

This spells doom for hitchhikers.

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#10

Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/14/2015 3:51 AM

It will only work properly if all the vehicles sharing the road are automated.

Once the human factor is removed it will be faster too.

What limits vehicle speed in most cases is allowance for the unpredicted event that encroaches on stopping and reaction distances.

Remove the unpredictable element and it's alot faster to get around.

Less chaos, more speed.

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#11
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Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/14/2015 7:18 AM

I doubt you will ever get rid of manually driven vehicles and you will always have to deal with animals, bicycles, and pedestrians.

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#13
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Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/15/2015 4:18 AM

.....animals, cyclists and pedestrians could be chipped too....

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#14
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Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/15/2015 10:20 PM

Good luck with that!

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#12

Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/14/2015 3:13 PM

The natural follow-up question is: Who will be the first to lose?

It may be whoever is first to have a fatal accident, especially if preventable by human intervention.

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#15

Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/16/2015 1:06 AM

I just wonder who will win the race through the inner cities once we have these cars established.

I guess one will be able to download and app, flash the software of the car and start unlawful (is to come) street races testing who can go fastest through New York or other city during peak hours. Car will be driver less in case something bad happens (and it will) nobody will be charged.

I can foresee lots of fun our societies will be having with this sport.

Will we be prepared?

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#16
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Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/16/2015 6:51 AM

Probably, yes. I am sure there will be an OnStar-like kill switch for the police.

The registered owner of the car will most likely assume (be held) responsible, unless they can prove theft.

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#17
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Re: Self-Driving Cars, Who Will Be The First To Win?

11/16/2015 8:36 PM

This will be hard to judge.

"Sorry officer its a driver less car it just took off by itself!"

"I did not know the kill switch was tempered with"

We are heading for interesting times!

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