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Co2 What?

10/24/2018 1:17 AM

How much energy does it take to make solar pv pannels, and how much power do they put out?

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#1

Re: Co2what

10/24/2018 2:34 AM

It depends on how deeply you wish to dig.

Do you take into account the obtaining of the silicon, transportation to the manufacturing facility, smelting and subsequent manufacture of the aluminium frame (if it has one), re-crystallising and then wafering the silicon, fitting to the glass substrate, manufacturing the wire and other connections, transport costs for the workers involved in manufacture and then transportation and installation to site?

Most cells are made from reconstituted poor grade electronics silicon that must be purified before use, this requires a fair bit of energy, and I haven't seen any costings that considers both the original manufacture and then re-manufacture of the silicon to give a more accurate indication of true energy expenditure.

You then need to consider the type of PV - is it poly or mono crystalline, Amorphous, thin film etc? as they all require differing energy inputs to produce.

Forgetting for a moment the Aluminium frame, a general consensus is that to manufacture each m² of PV takes roughly 600kWh for Mono, 400kWh for Poly and 150kWh for Amorphous and thin film.

The Aluminium frame for a 2m² panel adds around 200kWh to the estimates.

At existing conversion efficiency and average insolation rates, one square metre of PV (lets assume Poly or Multi as Amorphous has less conversion efficiency and is not as common in large solar arrays) will produce 200 - 250 kWh per year.

Therefore a 2m² framed Poly-crystalline PV would consume roughly 1400kWh to produce and would recoup that in about 6 years, existing thin film technology using Poly cells would replace consumed energy in about 18 months.

Current printed cells provide an even shorter time frame but they also have a very much shorter lifespan - some only 2 years or so.

With a generally warranted life of 25 years then, a framed Poly panel would recoup its energy costs at least four times over.

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#3
In reply to #1

Re: Co2what

10/24/2018 10:09 AM

I agree that this is a GA.

I am surprised that one would bother to reuse electronics to obtain the silicon. Silicon is so abundant in the Earth's crust and there is so much glass available today with a much higher silicon content percentage than any PC board or IC package.

The original question reminds me of Douglas Adams quote that Arthur Dent couldn't build a toaster from scratch. He was right but somebody did try.

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#4
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Re: Co2what

10/24/2018 11:02 AM

Great answer, now add in the batterys and inverters and lifespan.

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#2

Re: Co2what

10/24/2018 4:06 AM

Spades has given you a very good estimate.
Just note that the question of power output needs some refining.

It all depends where you are, what solar insolation is present, weather, maintenance effort and so on.

And as Spades says the assumed operating time and life expectation of the panel has also to be taken into account.

If you set up solar systems in higher latitudes the power output will be less and less, but be aware more sunshine could warrant a higher latitude setting if the weather and annual cloud cover is more favorable.

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#6
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Re: Co2what

10/24/2018 11:22 AM

I guess it does get down to power output. How many panels to put on roof. Where to put the batterys and inverters.

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#22
In reply to #6

Re: Co2what

10/28/2018 11:17 PM

The battery system does not change how much power the solar system creates, only how much is usable for yourself.

The inverter has a high chance of affecting your output.

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#5

Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 11:11 AM

Energy can be converted to monetary units...

..."As of January 2018, the average cost of solar in the U.S. is $3.14 per watt ($31,400 for a 10 kilowatt system)."...

Figuring my average electric bill and assuming that a 10kw solar pv system would be break even with my energy usage needs, that gives a 24 year payback time period....so it would be like paying my electric bill for 285 months in advance.... If I invested the $30k I would only need about a 5% annual return to actually pay my electric bill in total....at the end of 24 years I would still have the $30k, and would have paid electric cost for the last 24 years.......If I had installed the solar pv system, I would be looking at another $30k to replace the now aging system that was now only producing 8kw....plus repairs and maintenance costs....So after installing the new system I am now -$60k in the hole, and if I had not installed the system and instead had invested the money I am now +$60k ....

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#7
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Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 11:51 AM

Yes, but I believe you overlook the overall advantages of solar. If you go all in solar when you build (passive, active hot water, P V, and steam electric generation) add tax credits you get for building a truly energy efficient home (which means a home that "pays attention" to the sun, the energy the house "makes" as opposed to how much it "needs" from the grid is a BIG selling point. For me, not enough attention is put to all the advantages of solar. (Wind power adds just a small amount of overall power output) .Making steam for making electricity is proven over and over again. Power stations should switch to natural gas and be augmented by steam generation.

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#8
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Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 12:08 PM

You guys are amazing, if I add my 2 good answers to all yours, that's 2153 . I think we're on to something.

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#9
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Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 12:15 PM

Yes I believe you overlook the cost of backup systems that are needed with intermittent energy sources...and the availability of qualified builders that are building these houses you speak of.. You are citing anecdotal evidence as if it's mainstream widespread availability....just not so....Most residential developments now are restricted by HOA's as to what your house looks like, what changes you can make to your property, and other restrictions...any new technology that is incorporated into a house must meet building codes, this alone can hamstring any attempt at deviating from the norm....change takes time....

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#10
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Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 12:58 PM

You hit the nail on the head. Residential developements have been very restrictive, because of the different planning divisions of citys and towns. They have been controlled by the real estate loby which restricts passive solar homes for their own reasons. I have worked on some solar subdivisions here in Colorado some with 4 plexes using a communal greenhouse as an entrance. But they are rare. I don't think that the "planning" departments will change unless "buyers" become eduacted, and demand that homes pay attention to the sun.

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#20
In reply to #10

Re: Co2 What?

10/25/2018 10:11 AM

Too True Craig. Possibly the driver for Solar City to attempt the Solar roof angle. That removes 90% of the arbitrary building code restrictions. The question remaining, are they able to produce enough solar shingles. The most promising thing about this is that it's an outside the current box approach which to me means we are finally seeing some quality investment in R&D and new ideas and tech being deployed.

The same thing is now happening in electric cars. More and more new ideas and technologies are being developed and experimented with. The more electric cars and solar installs that get sold, the more grid size battery installs, the bigger the incentive to invest in research and suddenly you have an industry.

That was Musks plan all along, if you look back on his founding statements. He was not trying to be "The next big car company" or solar company. His goal was to push the issue and get others out of their comfort zones and into the game. That is how real progress gets made.

And good saying from my therapist days.

A comfort zone is a wonderful place, but nothing ever grows there.

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#21
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Re: Co2 What?

10/25/2018 11:00 AM

Yes, but the battery problem still exists. When you store that much energy in that little space, it's like cramming 2 quarts of s..t into a one quart container. To remodel an existing home to install solar roofs , pipes, wires, shortage tanks, battery packs, maintenance men/woman, etc, is a daunting task, and very expensive. The complexity of these systems also must be taken into account. If every new home had to meet "better" standards, I mean "pay attention to the earth and the sun", in passive ways, and solar steam powered generating stations, to add to the existing grid, the advantage is....It's tried and proven old school stuff , which people can understand. There are many parts of the country that are well suited for solar developement, but the homes still don't meet "solar" standards.

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#14
In reply to #9

Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 10:59 PM

These homes that I'm talking about are built by "very qualified builders" , hired by progressive open-minded owners, who deviate from your "norm", and know about "buyer beware" . It's 2018 not 1950. Change has happened.

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#11
In reply to #5

Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 9:12 PM

Your calculations were very good, but I wasn't able to find where you calculated the dollar value of feeling good . . . .

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#12
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Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 10:04 PM

You would probably be feeling pretty good when you realized you weren't duped by the do-gooders into wasting your money.... I wouldn't put a dollar value on that...but there is that $60k in the bank...

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#13
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Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 10:37 PM

Did you say how you were +60k in the bank by not doing something? You are still stuck with higher and higher utility costs, and no tax credits. Being duped by "do gooders" might mean just narrowmindenness, and most houses are stuck in the 50's.

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#16
In reply to #5

Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 11:20 PM

A lot depends on the incentives offered.

I installed a 2.5kW grid tie system on my house back in mid 2010.

The total installed cost at the time was $11400.

The government subsidy that applied to that installation was based on 167 renewable energy certificates @$37 each which totalled $6197, which left me with a cost of just $5221.

At the time the government guaranteed a payment of 68 cents for every kWh that the system produced up until December 31 2016, this was later reduced slightly to 60 cents.

At the time we were paying roughly 22 cents/kWh for power, which meant that for the next five and a half years my credits were greater than my debits and so the energy retailers paid me.

My average send out to the grid was around 600 - 700kWh ($360-$420 credit) per 3 monthly bill. At that rate the cost of the system was amortised in less than 2.5 years.

As of January 2017 the solar input credits dropped to 6c/kWH and have since grown a bit to 11c/kWh.

At that time I altered my metering so that whereas all that I had previously generated went out through the meter and then back in as needed now is used as needed before going out to the grid.

I now send less than 200kWh out for a credit of only $22. However, with energy costs now at 29c/kWh, the 400 -500kWh solar generation that I use internally equates to a saving of around $116 - $145 for 3 months.

The introduction of the solar rebate scheme here created a nightmare for distributors as they have had a difficult job trying to handle the mass input of so much outlying generation, often at times when it was not required, and often in areas where there was not the demand for it - much of the generation was in more affluent suburbs or regional areas where industry, which uses the bulk of the power, does not exist.

Batteries, such as the Tesla one in South Australia, do serve a purpose in being able to very rapidly respond to outages of other systems in order to maintain frequency control, but for a very short period. The disadvantage is that this requires a lot of cycling which is the ultimate killer for this technology.

The SA battery makes a bit of cash from charging at cheap off peak rates and selling at more expensive high demand periods, but whether it ever recoups it 96 million dollar price tag before needing replacement remains a moot point.

Many of the fuzzy brigade here believe that we can go 100% renewables with no loss of amenity, they quote batteries as being able to supply all of out needs but fail to see that batteries generate absolutely no power, they simply store that which is generated from other sources.

An excerpt from a post by our trusty national broadcaster ABC (the underlining is mine for emphasis) "The battery has a total generation capacity of 100 megawatts, and 129 megawatt-hours of energy storage".

The 129 MWh of storage could power 30,000 local homes for roughly 3 hours with load shedding, or an Aluminium smelter for about 8 minutes before the battery shuts down on low voltage. That's a long way short of 100% reliability on 100% renewables.

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#19
In reply to #16

Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 11:49 PM

Let's face it, we are stuck with the grid. Some of the newer solar steam powered generating plants use salt as sort of a battery. It's tried and proven . And they are built by "do gooders"

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#23
In reply to #16

Re: Co2 What?

10/30/2018 11:27 PM

Where do you think those incentives come from? I'll tell you, they come from taxes, you think you are avoiding the cost, but all you are doing is raising the price of electricity for everybody....Renewable energy is expensive, in Germany the country is going broke trying to subsidize solar and wind power, and the result has been more and more expensive electric costs...

In short the more wind and solar power you have installed, the higher the electric prices go...All you are doing is robbing Peter to pay Paul...In the end you are stuck with the cost one way or the other...Where do you think the money comes from to pay for these outrageously expensive systems?? It comes from you....

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#24
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Re: Co2 What?

10/31/2018 12:12 AM

Wind is my renewable energy, I'd rather be sailing. I feel lucky to be "stuck" in S. W. Colorado, with the Ancients.

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#25
In reply to #23

Re: Co2 What?

11/01/2018 1:01 AM

You are absolutely correct, but as a self funded retiree who gets none of the free hand outs like pensioners and dole recipients do from the government, I am happy to take a bit when I can.

Had I taken the high ground and refused to take advantage of the offered subsidies, I would still have the high power bills without the benefits so, yes, I have likely contributed to higher taxes and power bills, but considerably less so than those pensioners and dole recipients who contribute not a brass razoo - and the return on my investment is way higher than the cost to me for having done so.

I think you're mad to not take advantage of opportunities when they arise, and this was one that was too good to pass up.

It's no different than utilising negative gearing or any other of a number of subsidies on offer, they all come out of the public purse and, depending on their circumstances, only a select few can take advantage of each of them - this was one that I could use and I make no apologies for that.

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#15

Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 11:00 PM

A point to ponder is why we still have to convert DC output of PV panels into AC by means of inverter and then use it on home appliances that have inverter technology.

Home appliances with inverter technology is converting AC to DC.

Is it not redundancy?

DC -> AC -> DC

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#17
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Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 11:25 PM

I have never been in favor of spending allot of money on photo v, to get so little in return, besides the battery technology is still not good, and where do you put them? Adding "solar" to an existing house is just too expensive. If you can put a sun space on the south side of the house, it kills two birds with one stone, plus you can grow a little. In some places solar hot water systems work pretty well.

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#18
In reply to #15

Re: Co2 What?

10/24/2018 11:42 PM

Not quite right. Inverter technology as in say an air conditioner or fridge etc. changes AC to DC and then back to a different frequency AC for speed control

So it's AC -> DC -> AC

With DC in you would still need to invert to AC for the final stage.

Many of the larger PV and windfarm installations do not change their output from DC to AC but instead transmit in HVDC form as it has far lower line losses (skin effect, capacitance, etc), it only requires 2 wires of smaller size for the same capacity and is more readily able to be integrated with other supply systems.

The present truth is that it is cheaper to produce AC generators and motors, and cheaper to increase or reduce voltages as needed using simple transformers, but this is gradually changing with advancing electronics.

Add to that the fact that, due to arcing, any reasonable load on DC requires a far more substantial switch than is required for the same load on AC, thus installation costs would be higher for a DC powered home.

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