new product development

Hello yashar2500

It is all about: Risk Management, Project Success, and Technological Uncertainty

To read the full articles you need to purchase them.

Refer: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=309402

The Pearson Uncertainty Map may be used to endeavour to predict a course of events, many of the variables being unknown.

Refer also: History of Risk Analysis - 40thAnnual DoDCAS14 February 2007

The 9 page .pdf document for the above is here:

http://www.ra.pae.osd.mil/adodcas/DoDCAS2007presentations/Track4/Session%201.0%20DoDCAS%20History%20of%20Risk%2011Feb07%20Final.pdf

Advise if that assists you, with

Kind Regards....