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Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

Posted December 27, 2008 8:32 AM

The real trouble with America's automakers comes not from a lack of "bailout," but Congress' fuel-economy mandates. These require car manufacturers to spend billions on developing hybrids they know the public won't buy if gas prices stay low. But Congress won't repeal the CAFE (Corporate Average Fuel Economy) because they fear the environmentalists. They won't repeal CAFE's "two-fleets" rule, which requires manufacturers to build cheap cars instead of importing them, because they fear the UAW. And Congress won't increase fuel tax because they fear the voter.

The preceding article is a "sneak peek" from Drives, a newsletter from GlobalSpec. To stay up-to-date and informed on industry trends, products, and technologies, subscribe to Drives today.

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#1

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

12/27/2008 10:18 PM

Gee, some of us were not born yesterday.

I take it that you are one of those guys that the auto manufactures pay to troll the community forums in an effort to up grade their image.

They lobbied against CAFE and got it delayed, while they sold millions of four wheel drive station wagons.

Which of course made the most money and sucked the most gas.

Meanwhile, the Asians were working on high mileage vehicles.

And yet you are here to tell us about the auto manufactures problems.

Get real.

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#2

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

12/28/2008 2:45 AM

The real trouble with America's automakers comes not from a lack of "bailout," but Congress' fuel-economy mandates.

This is utter and total gibberish. CAFE has been in place for many years, and the future changes are monumentally slow. You'd need to supply a lot of data to show that the auto makers have spent billions on developing hybrids and that it is this spending that has put them in their current fix. Honda and Toyota actually have spent billions on developing fuel efficient vehicles and both are in far better shape than the American companies. GM has always been adept at gaming the CAFE rules, and will continue to be adept at doing so, if they stay in business.

Visit some dealerships to see what people are buying. If you find that SUVs are flying off the lots and that the small cars that "they know the public won't buy" are just sitting there gathering dust, then you'd have some support for your contention. Perhaps you should think about opening a Hummer dealership.

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#3

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

12/28/2008 8:06 AM

When I read a blurb like this it makes me cringe and pucker up, which makes me think of J.D. Power's ratings which make me cringe and pucker up anew.

Pure and unadulterated BS.

I just visited the local Pontiac/GMC/Cadillac Dealer looking for a 2nd car (used) and 95% of the new cars were Pickups, SUVs, 4 wheel drives, and those monsterous Cadillacs. Very few small cars were evident.

The evidence of change was definitely lacking.

The salesman should have been on the old US TV show HeeHaw in the Junior Samples and the used car lot skit.

He was definitely desperate to make a sale. And, he did everything he could to discourage me from a used car (the DP requested for a used Honda was greater the one of the new misfits GM has been producing).

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#4

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

12/28/2008 10:44 AM

Funny!Ive always wondered for years why the auto makers didnt make vehicles that got better mpg.and even worse is people keep buying gas hog vehicles as daily transportation.We really dont need hybrids if small cars are built right,toyota yaris(40+mpg)just look at how europe has had diesels in their small cars for years,my station wagon with a diesel gets twice the mpg,thats what forum members in europe tell me.its not some fancy hybrid.Allspar site talked about how chrysler had a diesel powered mini van and decided americans wouldnt be interested!yeah lets blame the government for auto makers poor decisions and heck i think theres plenty of tax on our fuel and dont worry im sure the new administration well tax you more.

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#5

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

12/28/2008 2:21 PM

The preceding article is a "sneak peek" from Drives, a newsletter from GlobalSpec. To stay up-to-date and informed on industry trends, products, and technologies, subscribe to Drives today.

Chris,

I suppose you had no choice but to run this drivel.

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#6

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

12/28/2008 7:26 PM

Friend,

I prefer to see people who use a service to pay for its use. This was the premise of gas taxes, to raise money to pay for improved and maintained roadways. The amout being raised currently is too little to pay the current costs of mainenance. Therefore gas taxes should rise.

Advertising can influence people's preferences and choices. But, regardless of the ads or the purchase, you are stuck with the reality of what you have bought. I used to drive a used Datsun 510 hatchback (early '80's model), which gave very good acceleration, held 4 people comfortably, had gas mileage of 40 mpg or better most of the time, and finally expired with more than 300,000 miles on its clock. All of the advertised cars, with "power" or "performance" or the implied sex-appeal of more recent years never came close to it. I now drive a used Geo Metro, chosen last year specifically for its very good gas mileage (average is 40-45 mpg, with worst being 32 and best 53). Not even being manufactured now, and the current crop of "fuel efficient" cars from all manufacturers barely touch it (except for a few hybrids).

It would have cost Detroit very little to have a fuel-efficient design or two in the wings, ready for production. They have had them in the past! Did they do this???? Did they act with even a small degree of intelligence????

Let me respond to the blog entry, line by line:

The real trouble with America's automakers comes not from a lack of "bailout," but Congress' fuel-economy mandates. It is pretty simplistic to condense 100+ years of automotive history with all its innovation, heartache, successes, failures, etc. into a single conclusion, and then to blame a single entity for the present state of this industry. As others have posted, the CAFE standards have been around for a couple decades and have been watered-down for much of that time.

These require car manufacturers to spend billions on developing hybrids they know the public won't buy if gas prices stay low. Hybrids are only one of the available means of improving fuel economy. Again, its convenient to ignore the many other means (such as fuel choice, engine size, acceleration, add-on equipment, etc.) that have already been around for years. I remember buying gas at 19.9¢ per gallon. The currently "low" gas prices won't stay that way because of the apparently inexorable rise in world-wide consumption/demand in the face of a supply which is stable at best. The same advertising which could increase desire for a particular automotive feature or brand can also increase the appeal of a hybrid even if gas prices were to stay low.

But Congress won't repeal the CAFE (Corporate Average Fuel Economy) because they fear the environmentalists. Afraid of the environmentalists? Not hardly. Consider the number of ways in which the last 8 years of congressional and presidential action has diminished the environmental integrity of this country. Nope. They are reacting to some very strong grass-roots messages from many people and groups which happen to include environmentalists among their ranks but are far from controlled by them.

They won't repeal CAFE's "two-fleets" rule, which requires manufacturers to build cheap cars instead of importing them, because they fear the UAW. Huh? This is the first time I have heard this being mentioned. How about the non Big-3 makers in this country? And fear of the UAW? Perhaps in the 1950's and even the 1960's, you could claim some fear of Walter Reuther and the UAW. Not now! The influence of "big labor" on governmental policy is much smaller. About the only UAW problem you could justify is the legacy costs for retiree's benefits which are claimed to add an estimated $1000 to new car costs from the big-3 today. This could be an area to explore in any "bailout" to the automakers.

And Congress won't increase fuel tax because they fear the voter. The present fuel tax is a much smaller percent of the fuel costs than it was in the past, and is far too small to pay for the road construction or maintenance we probably need. I'd be more inclined to blame the belief that taxes per se are generally bad for the people, the economy, and the country. This has become a mantra among many groups of people. Unfortunately, the same people who say we need lower taxes with a private sector that will cover the needs of people are the people who individually donate the least as private citizens. While those who prefer taxes for the good of the community are most likely to be donating as private citizens also.

Now a comment: To those who are promoting subscription to Drives or other newsletters and blogs---controversial topics can generate interest and subscription. However, promotion using blog postings which are as eccentric as this are more likely to make me say "thanks, but no thanks!"

John Mueller

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#7

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

12/28/2008 9:15 PM

And restaurants are going out of business because the FDA won't let them put crap in our food. Get real already.

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#8

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

12/28/2008 9:58 PM

The CAFE standards do not specify hybrids. They specify MPG fleet averages. CAFE standards, together with all sorts of alternative energy and development of our conventional resources, will help keep oil prices low. This will halt the enrichment of the OPEC nations and Russia. I just bought a cheap GM/Daewoo Aveo. It is new with automatic transmission and air conditioning. $9,250 with discounts. It only gets about 23 mpg in the city and 33 on the highway, but I can spend about $13,000 on gasoline before matching the purchase price of a Prius. We think it is a very comfortable little car, with very sufficient power. Aveos have been available for several years, at the bottom of the price ladder. The original dealers sticker was over $15,000. GM killed the EV1 and made a fortune selling gas guzzlers, as did Ford and Chrysler. Their emphasis on greed allowed the Japanese to assume leadership and possibly put them out of business. At one point congress granted $5,000 tax rebates for trucks. How many pickup trucks do you ever see with anything in them? Hopefully Americans will start looking at the big picture before buying more gas guzzlers.

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#9

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

01/07/2009 12:53 PM

Somewhere, somehow, a village has misplaced it's idiot ...and allowed them access to a computer.

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#10

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

01/07/2009 7:58 PM

Your wish has been fulfilled. Pres. Bush just repealed the CAFE standards. Fortunately Pres. Obama will be able to reinstate them. CAFE standards will help us keep oil prices down while we develop new technologies. You need to think in more than one step. Maybe take up chess. We must keep OPEC and Russia from bleeding us dry financially as they become stronger.

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#11

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

01/08/2009 6:07 PM

Two news reports of non-automotive engineer mechanics tweaking vehicles for extraordinary gas mileage. - http://www.kptv.com/automotive/16768626/detail.html - http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/12/09/eveningnews/main4659069.shtml - If they can do it, what does this say about Detroit's Big Three? And FYI, I made a mechanical physics breakthrough that permits high efficiency transmission, a constant mesh gear tranny that for autos can have about 13 ratios, in a 2/3ds smaller, lighter package. Few parts greatly increases the throughput efficiency, and add that more ratios mean better match of gear to load with weight savings, and mileage/range improvement will be in the range of 15%. Development is at a stage where a real world application will take it to the next level. Anyone with a contact in the auto industry...?

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Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

01/08/2009 8:51 PM

How does it compare to the continuously variable transmission?

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#13

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

01/08/2009 10:14 PM

Yes, Ron, it addresses fuel mandates. Without them oil producing countries would have an even tighter strangle hold on the world economy and air pollution would be worse. Somewhere early in the regulation process, members of congress had enough engineering sense to realize that there were things automakers could do to improve mileage. That heated up the issue, with more and more automotive tweaks coming out of the woodwork promising better mileage, and congress began ramping up the mandates. Certainly there is a limit to how much energy can be wrung out of puff of gasoline vapor, but as long as the advances keep coming there is progress to be made. The environment and our dependence on oil will benefit as well. The automotive industry is like a lot of fat 'n happy US industries; if it's not broke don't fix it; not invented here; no one is going to fool with that on my watch; I'm covering my butt; better to be safe with what we've got than sorry we spent so much on a 2% improvement; the economy is a little shakey, we have to make sure our bottom line is going to hold up our stock price, so fire all the designers and engineers, and kill all un-necessary projects; etc. In the meantime, overseas auto manufacturers saw the niche for smaller, highly economical autos, filled it and thrived. I had a 1984, 318 BMW, that had a 1.8L plant, and got 30-35 mpg, and, though certainly not a muscle car, had enough power to do what needed doing. Between and Aveo and that old Beemer, which one would you want...

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Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

01/09/2009 9:46 AM

The BMW if I didn't have to pay for it and worry about keeping it running. I don't even think they sell BMWs in Decatur IL. Nearest service is 40 miles north in Bloomington. I would want something sexy if I was a bachelor again and not an old married man.

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#15

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

01/28/2009 1:06 AM

The author of this article must be feeling a bit unloved by now.

Even the "free energy" and "magic magnets" posters usually get someone that agrees with them.

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#16

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

01/30/2009 5:05 PM

I just can't understand, the Japanese and Europeans have been building fuel efficient cars for 50 years.

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#17

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

02/13/2009 6:37 AM

There is always a way where there is a will. Auto manufacturers simply have to be more innovative and face the realities of today. The fact is that there is still incredibly wide scope for improvements in there industry right from manufacture processes up to final products themselves, and to be honest this industry is being just a cry baaby as for ages they've been playing essentially a safe game, comapacency one may even say, using only historically the same technologies or processes to make vehicles (i.esame basis designs, functionality, etc). The solution remains only in contemporary innovation that will meet todays newer demands, or at the very least more effort ispent on looking for best efficiency, best technology and optimum practice using the current technologies. To put this in context, consider in the first instance use of existing technology: BMW's efficientdyanmics, Ford's Econetic, Honda/Toyota's Hybrids now becoming mainstream: all these programs are essentially same technology but doing things more efficiently, maximising resources and avoiding waste. One asks then why was this not done before, especially and ironically that it often results in substantial reductions in costs while improving product overall value? You could compare the automobile manufacturer's case to that of other industry streams like Electronics, IT and Constrution - where the level of innovation and pace of improvisation is at such a scale that new products come on-board within a span of months not years.

On a second level (where radical new technology is harnessed under ''duress'') case in point obviously is hybrid cars now becoming common place: 10 years ago most manufacturers didn't care a hoot and simply arroganty ignored said congress/environmentalist/workers concerns relating to fossil fuel vehicles, believing these matters could be rode over rough -shode, and continued to pursue the confortable (proven) technology of the oil-fueled automobile of the last century. This is the 21st century, with brand new needs and expectations , and if manufacturers are to survive, they will need to stop moaning and adjust like all the rest of the world.

Anyway this is just my opinion but I hope the point is made.

JSM in Oxford,UK

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#18

Re: Fuel Mandates Are the Root of Automakers' Problems

07/01/2009 11:44 PM

HAVE YOU LISTENED TO THE NEWS.

OBAMA OWNS GM, GM SOLD THE HUMMER TO CHINESE, FUNNY SINCE THAT IS WHO MAKES OUR ARMY HUMMERS,

CHRISLER IS OWNED BY FOREIGNERS, AND OBAMA.

THEY ARE RAISING GAS TAXES BECAUSE PEOPLE QUIT DRIVING WHEN GAS WAS 4.00 A GALLON, SO NOW THERE ISN'T ENOUGH MONEY FOR ROAD CONSTRUCTION,

REAL CAUSE FOR GM, AND CHRISLER FAILIUR IS UAW GREED, AND THE GOVERNMENT NOT HAVING THE GUTS TO REGULATE UNIONS AND STOP THE GREED, IT IS A SHAME THAT THE ONLY THING WE ACTUALLY HAD THAT WAS AT LEAS 25% AMERICAN IS NOW GONE DOWN THE TUBES.

FORD IS NEXT IF THEY DON'T GET RID OF THE UNION,

THE BIGGES SHAME IS THAT TOYOTA VEHICLES ARE MORE AMERICAN THAT THE BIG THREE.

WHAT HAS THIS USLESS GOVERNMENT, AND BUNCH OF CRIMINALS IN CONGRESS DONE TO US WITH THEIR TREE HUGGING LAWS, AND GREED?.

OH AND HOW ABOUT THE TAX AND CAP BILL THAT REALLY IS GOING TO HELP OUR ECONOMY??? AND MANUFACTURING JOBS.

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