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One of this month's articles describes the explosion of computational requirements for achieving 22 nm geometries. By some industry estimates, fabs to produce tomorrow's parts will cost $12-15 billion (with a "b") dollars instead of the "mere" $3 billion of today's version. Considering that customers still expect prices to fall with each design cycle, how will you maintain your profitability? Will you outsource manufacturing and go fabless? If you do, how will the manufacturing company keep its costs down? The ultimate question, of course, is will Moore's Law finally fall because of cost considerations rather than the laws of physics?
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Re: Shrinking Always Increases Costs
