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Technological Progress

06/21/2017 6:10 PM

Technological progress with robotics is wonderful, but not when it means displacing humans. The purpose of using robots is to increase profits for companies and investors at the expense of human workers. I think the use of robots should be confined only to jobs that are impossible to do by humans and jobs that are most unpleasant, cleaning sewers for example. Robots can increase output, but can also be accomplished by an increase in human work force. Japan uses a lot of robots in their assembly lines, but it hasn't really cut the use of humans. When I was in Japan, I would see tiny noodle stands on the railroad platforms with 3 or 4 people working there. A similar scene in the U.S. would have only one person working. Technology could replace that one worker with a vending machine, the loss of another job. The latest presidential agenda is to create more jobs, but that faces cuts due to robotics. A fair compromise would preserve jobs and implement robots only where absolutely necessary. The greed of industry should not replace humans. They need jobs in order to survive in this world. I agree with progress, but not to the extent that humans suffer.

There is a working class in this country. It is the working class that made this country what it is. We cannot all be college educated and do jobs that don't get our hands dirty. There will always be those who work with their hands. Full implementation of robotics will destroy the working class. What will we have as a result?

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#1

Re: Technological progress

06/21/2017 7:44 PM

I have one word for you, Luddite.

You cannot stop progress, but don't worry there will always be uses for human labour. Look at how automated and complex modern manufacturing is, from canning through to motherboard manufacture, and look at how many people are STILL employed as you mention.

Robotics will never fully replace human labour in our lifetimes (mainly due to cost and limited skillset adaptability).

The greed of industry should not replace humans.

Yea, good luck with that. Does third world child labour count?

It is the working class that made this country what it is

Sadly....was. Due to numerous reasons other countries have pulled ahead, and once the skills and passed-down experience and specialty tooling have been lost it is a hard road to rebuild what once was, and even harder to be competitive on the world market with those that are and only continue to get better.

If anything robotics may be a way to help save the working class as it evens out the playing field and offers a chance to be more cost competitive. Will there be less people employed, yes, but some are better than none.

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#2
In reply to #1

Re: Technological progress

06/21/2017 8:41 PM

I've watched a number of episodes of "How It's Made".

"The operator puts the piece on machine A which drills, shapes, grinds, etc. The operator then removes the burrs and puts the piece on machine B ..., and so on "

My first thought was that the human just gets to do the grunt jobs that require no skill, that, at one time, were done by an apprentice to learn the trade. Perhaps another way to look at it is that the human is the boss of the skillful machines (or robots).

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#20
In reply to #2

Re: Technological progress

06/23/2017 9:18 AM

My first thought was that the human just gets to do the grunt jobs that require no skill, that, at one time, were done by an apprentice to learn the trade. Perhaps another way to look at it is that the human is the boss of the skillful machines (or robots).

It trans-placed the Skilled laborer (Machinist) from the actually machine operated, to the maintenance mechanic.

And drops the Skilled laborer (machinist) requirement, to a semi-skilled laborer (Machine Operator) which not only runs the machine, but may do the set-up on different production runs.

Where skilled labor is still required is the small production runs, where its a low run or one of a kind part. Possible on a CNC as well as manual run machines

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#11
In reply to #1

Re: Technological progress

06/22/2017 12:00 PM

"You cannot stop progress..."

True, but isn't it helpful to have at least a few along the sidelines asking "Should we do it?" rather than "Can we do it?" like everyone else? For years Facebook's motto was "Move fast and break stuff." Do you really want technologists with such mottos guiding that progress?

As Marshall McLuhan said: "There is absolutely no inevitability as long as we there is a willingness to contemplate what is happening."

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#3

Re: Technological progress

06/21/2017 9:37 PM

Well let's not rule out the possibility that workers themselves will own the robots....You do your job until you get enough money to buy your replacement, and it then works for you....Your responsibility is to just keep it well maintained and up-to-date....since the robot requires only the basics, the majority share of his pay goes to you the owner operator....Everybody would become sub-contractors....Your smartphone would be in constant contact with your bot, monitoring it's performance...

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#4
In reply to #3

Re: Technological progress

06/21/2017 10:05 PM

Sooooooo, that's like saying the employee will purchase and own their own lathe or drill press. I would think the Unions would have something to say about the cheap-skate employers expecting the employees to buy their own (lets be honest - not inexpensive at all) tools.

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#5
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Re: Technological progress

06/21/2017 10:18 PM

Sub-contractors don't have unions, and don't need them...Remember if someone or in this case, something, is doing your job, you can go and do something else...can your lathe do that? Does it earn a separate paycheck? Sub-contractors work under a negotiated contract with the employer...You both have to adhere to the contract, so you write your own ticket...

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#6
In reply to #5

Re: Technological progress

06/21/2017 11:32 PM

So your thinking of contractors? That's starting to sound like some sort of decentralised manufacturing concept where workers bring there own tools to work to make a product. Quite the paradigm shift for anything more than very simple small scale manufacturing don't you think?

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#7
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Re: Technological progress

06/22/2017 12:03 AM

No, subcontractors....The owner just owns the machine and is in charge of and held responsible for it's performance....You as a subcontractor can sub your tasks out to others....For instance you are setting up a production line, you hire movers to move your robot, you hire programmers to program the task....You never actually are on site, except maybe for a visual inspection...You have electricians wire it up, and an IT guy to set up communication links....or perhaps you take a more hands on approach and do it all yourself to maximize profits....

Now the company merely lists the requirements of robots it needs, and if your machine meets spec then you can bid on the job....or you can have an agent handle all that....

Sort of like long haul truck drivers, there are owner/operators and there are those that lease the truck, and then there are those that drive somebody else's truck by the hour....

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#13
In reply to #3

Re: Technological progress

06/22/2017 2:05 PM

Until that robot becomes sentient, joins a union, and goes out at night drinking lube oil, and smoking varnish.

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#17
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Re: Technological progress

06/23/2017 3:24 AM

Unfortunately, big business thrives off of productivity gains and decreased expenses. Wall St dictates profitability requirements. The C-Suite dictates the big picture on how the cuts will be administered and when. Middle management decides who stays and who goes.

When robots are able to take over your job, you had better have a plan, because the C-Suite guys have determined the optimal time to make you and your job extinct. They won't let you bring in your own robot, which will do your work in place of you. Why pay you, when they can bring in their own robot and then cut you and your pay off completely.

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#8

Re: Technological progress

06/22/2017 5:17 AM

I work in industrial robotics. Sorry that some of my designs will replace a human but that is the way it is. The ARPI (Autonomous Robotic Pipe Inspection) will make 8K measurements in 2.5 minutes. That is impossible for a human.

The only way that America can compete with cheap foreign labor is to automate. There is a huge manufacturing complex that produces electronics in China that is automating as much as possible so they will not have to pay an employee 5$/day.

Its the future and there is no way of going back.

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#9
In reply to #8

Re: Technological progress

06/22/2017 11:35 AM

I agree, so rather than lamenting about the situation, or denying it's going to happen, we should be exploring ways to make it work for us...We're like the ferry boat owner who is being replaced by the bridge, we have an opportunity to set up a toll booth at both ends of that bridge....we should do it...

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#18
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Re: Technological progress

06/23/2017 3:34 AM

We have this belief that we have to compete with China. I don't think we do, nor should we focus on them. Instead, I think we should penalize companies for taking our jobs overseas. I also believe that our government should put a tariff on imported goods. Make the playing field even and put the interest of our great county as the top priority.

Years ago, I had the same belief. Level the playing field and if the others don't like the game, then they can just leave. Protect our jobs and bring as many as we can back to our shores.

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#19
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Re: Technological progress

06/23/2017 8:23 AM

You do not think we should compete with China? I was laid off in the steel industry after 10 years due to China flooding the world market with cheap steel.

When you walk into Wal Mart to buy a t shirt what is your first consideration?

Its not where it was made but what is the price.

America can not compete with cheap foreign labor unless we automate or pay a premium for goods.

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#32
In reply to #19

Re: Technological progress

06/28/2017 5:05 AM

What do you think would've happened if our government had the guts to stand up to China and the big corporations and put a heavy tariff on the imported steel.

Here's a simple concept. Add up the jobs lost from dumping cheap steel. Add up the cost to keep these people at the same standard of living they're accustomed to. Add this amount as an import tax (tariff) to imported steel. The people who lost their jobs can be retrained - paid by the tariff. They also will get a large living allowance, while they receive training and do apprentice work - again paid by the tariff.

The incentive to dump cheap steel goes away very quickly when they have to pay for the damage they cause.

Do the same for cheap clothing, electronics, household items, etc.

Where do you think our country would be if we would've done a better job protecting our jobs 10-20 years ago?

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#33
In reply to #19

Re: Technological progress

06/28/2017 5:14 AM

I agree with you about the average consumer buying a cheap t-shirt at Wal Mart. If people we're so set on buying so much stuff and instead focused on buying things they need, we wouldn't be in the mess we're in. They could be picky about the things they bought and they could pay more for non-China goods.

It's a revolving door. Advertisers say that I'm not a worthwhile person if I don't buy more stuff, but I can't afford it, so I have to buy cheaper, lower quality China goods. Lower sales of quality US made goods = layoffs. Manufacturers go overseas to lower the cost to manufacture the items. More jobs are lost. Average wages fall = less free cash = more need for cheap goods. More production goes overseas = more jobs lost. Rinse and repeat!

I do think we could've stopped it if we would've been strong, but we didn't and now we're paying the price. The next generation will pay an even higher price.

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#39
In reply to #33

Re: Technological progress

06/28/2017 8:15 AM

Yes i agree.

I am a minimalist. I live in a 35' RV and it is totally adequate for my lifestyle. I buy quality in anything as poor quality does not last or perform.

I do not have the room to fill up my living space with things i do not need.

I believe people keep buying things because advertising says to do so. Keep spending so the money flows thru the economy and keeps the government happy.Also i think that so many people are unhappy with their state in life that they think things they own will make a difference.

You have to ask, when do things that you own, own you.

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#51
In reply to #39

Re: Technological progress

07/25/2017 3:18 AM

You nailed it! People are unhappy, so they buy things that they think will make them happy. Then they do everything they can to protect their possessions, even though the only reason they care about the item is because they believe it makes them look better to the outside world.

They can keep their crazy thinking!

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#52
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Re: Technological progress

07/25/2017 7:04 AM

yes,... my weakness is tools... DeWalt, Milwaukee, Ingersoll Rand, Craftsmen, Bosch, etc... I use tools to build my façade. Only I built it not to impress the neighbors... its to keep people out. especially girl scouts selling cookie... those little bastards, Last spring, they still show up... And I didn't even eat the last ones from the year before and had to throw those out to make room for a fresh batch.

I bought a Miniature Pincher to protect the place from these little devils selling their wares,... but when I answer the door bell and open the door, he scouted through and ran away, like someone left the gate open..

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#53
In reply to #52

Re: Technological progress

07/27/2017 2:21 AM

Tools, cars and watches.

You mention Ingersoll Rand. I haven't had an IR tool in years. Back then they were pretty good. I hear their quality is still tops.

I love Milwaukee tools. Engineered well and top quality. Very durable and long lasting tools!

I've owned a few Bosch tools and they're excellent too. I've owned a Bosch cordless drill/driver that's from the mid 90's. Still works well after all these years. Bosch laser tools are great too. They have a nice feel when holding them and they are compact in size. I love Bosch drill bits, blades, etc. I think they're better than the other brands.

I'm torn about DeWalt. I've had a couple issues with my DeWalt cordless drill/driver. The bits aren't as good quality as Bosch or Milwaukee, though price is about the same. I'll choose DeWalt over Craftsman, Black and Decker, Stanley, Hitachi, Skil, Rigid and Ryobi.

Makita ... I've owned older Makita and I thought they were okay. The newer Makita has a nice look and feel, but I haven't bought a Makita since the mid 90's

HF - I've owned them and the only power tool that's decent is their DA polisher/buffer. It's okay - a little noisy, but it works well.

Cars - Yes!!!

Watches - The intricate mechanical movements are amazing. And the tick tick sound!

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#54
In reply to #53

Re: Technological progress

07/27/2017 7:12 AM

Milwaukee I love their large 7" grinders, the 4-1/2" its DeWalt, Cordless Drills is DeWalt, Close quarter drill Milwaukee... Bosch Distance laser ranger.

Stanley and Dewalt as well as some others I believe are now owned my the same parent company.

You can tell when you have a quality tool in your hand, you can feel the difference. And tools Its Craftsman and Snap-on,... I'm no longer a professional tool user, so now its mostly Craftsman unless I com across something good at a Garage Sale. Which I do.

I do have a Harbor Freight Impact Drill, only because I use it once every 2-3 years and a Harbor Freight Porta-Band that I use even less. You can tell the quality difference. But they are at a fraction of the price.

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#57
In reply to #54

Re: Technological progress

08/02/2017 3:20 AM

Next time you're in a big box store, take a look at the Bosch and Milwaukee cordless drill.

Here's what I like about these, over the DeWalt.

1. The Bosch has a indirect charger. The brushless motor is not only strong, but it's compact in size and very smooth. Here's the one I just got. http://www.homedepot.com/p/Bosch-18-Volt-Lithium-Ion-Cordless-1-2-in-Variable-Speed-Brushless-Compact-Tough-Drill-Driver-Kit-DDS182WC-102/205951645

2. The Milwaukee has a regular charger (must remove the battery). The thing I really like about the Milwaukee is the chuck. It's keyless, of course. When the bit is tight, the chuck makes a ratcheting noise, letting you know that it doesn't need any more tightening. It's actually a really nice feature. http://www.homedepot.com/p/Bosch-18-Volt-Lithium-Ion-Cordless-1-2-in-Variable-Speed-Brushless-Compact-Tough-Drill-Driver-Kit-DDS182WC-102/205951645

I've dropped my DeWalt cordless drills and now the cases are a bit loose. The Bosch and Milwaukee are still rock solid.

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#59
In reply to #57

Re: Technological progress

08/02/2017 6:46 AM

Oh, but I have,... I have a cordless, Milwaukee Cordless Right Angle Drill Driver.

Always had a corded, the trigger broke off 15+ years ago, and I finally replaced it. I love it.

I dropped my Dewalt 18V cordless drill last week from 10 feet up twice, working on a garden shed. it landed solid on the cement floor,... no cracks... but that could be luck.

I also have a very old cordless Makita that I never use 7&9V. I doubt if that could take the punishment.

I have some Bosch tool also,... but there laser distance finders... very handy.

Its something else the battery technology that's there right now... was thinking about the Dewalt 20V tools, but I all 18V.

But the DeWalt FlexVolt 20V, 60V and 120V cordless is pretty interesting. Doesn't matter where I stop Lowes, Home Depot,.. etc..., I always go to the tool department.,

And the when it comes to 7/9" in Grinders. I don't think no one has a better durable grinder than Milwaukee. OK, I didn't try out Makita's or Bosch....

Because I had mine for over 15 years.

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#62
In reply to #59

Re: Technological progress

08/07/2017 4:28 AM

The Milwaukee rt angle cordless drill is a nice one. 18V or 12V?

This is the Dewalt cordless drill I have. http://www.homedepot.com/p/DEWALT-18-Volt-NiCd-Cordless-1-2-in-Compact-Drill-Driver-Kit-with-2-Batteries-1-2Ah-Charger-and-Contractor-Bag-DC970K-2-4/202019943 I actually have two of them (the first one died when I was working at a rental house, so I got another one to finish the job). When I got home, I tore the bad one apart. The wire at the switch broke off - five minutes and some solder and it was working again! The cases on both are not cracked, but they are a little "loose". Also, the chucks wobble a little.

This is my old Milwaukee hammer drill. The most bulletproof cordless drill I've owned, though its heavy! https://www.rsci.com/v18-in-hammer-drill-kit-0824-24

I don't have a good grinder - something I don't use very often, so I have a junky HF that does the job, but it's super noisy.

Sawzall = Milwaukee! I bought a Dewalt and it stopped working the first day I had it, so back it went. To save money, I got a Porter Cable. It seems to be okay, but it's not a Milwaukee.

Though I do have a Hackzall 12V by Milwaukee - small job - mini sawzall. It's actually pretty nice, but it lacks power when cutting thicker wood. Though it does fit in small spaces.

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#64
In reply to #62

Re: Technological progress

08/07/2017 7:16 AM

12V ...., I've been using it quite a bit, Plus the reverse is right below the finger trigger. so its also one handed like the DeWalt. Only with the Milwaukee you use your finger instead of your thumb and pointing finger to change directions.

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#67
In reply to #64

Re: Technological progress

08/10/2017 2:27 AM

That's a a beauty!

I have a few Milwaukee 12V tools and they're great The small battery holds quite a bit of charge and they tools have a nice feel to them. The 12V is also a lot lighter than the 18V battery. They're great for day to day use or for tasks that don't need a heavy duty tool.

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#65
In reply to #62

Re: Technological progress

08/07/2017 8:39 AM

So if by, "...so I have a junky HF that does the job...", you mean Harbor Freight, I have 5 of those so I don't have to change wheels all the time (I have a cut-off wheel, grind wheel, wire brush, wood-shaper, flap disc on its own grinder). I found out that they don't put much grease in the gearbox. So, brand new, I open it up and put grease in it. Quiets it down a lot. So far, I had only one crap out on me.

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#66
In reply to #65

Re: Technological progress

08/07/2017 8:55 AM

No, I have HF tools also. Impact hammer drill and portable bandsaw. Its fits, because I only us it occasionally. But the quality gap is still there, but it is closing.

I bought the higher end HF flex ratchet and compared to my craftsman, I like the HF for its economics... if it just that it's lasting power and durability has to be proved out.

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#69
In reply to #66

Re: Technological progress

08/10/2017 2:45 AM

Did you get the hammer drill with the SDS chuck? I saw them in their ad and the tools actually looked pretty good. https://www.harborfreight.com/125-Amp-SDS-Max-Type-Pro-Demolition-Hammer-Kit-63440.html

I had just bought a Bosch http://www.homedepot.com/p/Bosch-7-5-Amp-Corded-1-in-SDS-Plus-Bulldog-Xtreme-Variable-Speed-Rotary-Hammer-with-Auxiliary-Handle-and-Carrying-Case-11255VSR/202080348 to do some stucco removal (actually to change windows at our house). I didn't think about going to HF - again, I remember the old orange HF power tools and the problems I had.

The Bosch tool works great. Smooth, relatively quiet, low vibration, etc. I bought the Bosch SDS chisel (Made in Italy) and it worked great and still looks like it's in good condition.

Like you said, there's a definite difference in quality. HF has improved over the years, but there's still a very noticeable difference in quality.

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#71
In reply to #69

Re: Technological progress

08/10/2017 8:12 AM

yep, about 13-14 years ago,... just used it last month. HF send extra brushes too.

And with the price,... I think at the time I paid $39.00 for it, I treated them like a disposable tool or consumable. but its still working for me.

And it was an ugly orange,... then its red...(probably copying Milwaukee colors) now they changing the name.... I think my was Chicago Pneumatic... now it may be Bauer or something.

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#70
In reply to #66

Re: Technological progress

08/10/2017 2:50 AM

I had forgotten about the 1/2" corded hammer drill I bought. It worked well as a hammer drill - a little noisy, but it did what it was suppose to do.

Then I tried to use it to mix thinset with my paddle mixer. I used it for less than a minute and I noticed that the motor started to slow, so I backed off. Well, I must've done some damage, because it doesn't run as smoothly.

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#72
In reply to #70

Re: Technological progress

08/10/2017 8:16 AM

Then I tried to use it to mix thinset with my paddle mixer.

Did you try wearing it as a hat...?

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#68
In reply to #65

Re: Technological progress

08/10/2017 2:31 AM

That's a pretty good idea. One tool for each type of wheel/disc.

I didn't think about putting grease in the tool. I think it's a great idea and it should quiet it down a bit.

I've had a few HF tools that didn't do well. The orange color circular saw died the first day I had it. Ditto for their orange Jigsaw - that one lasted about a week. And the blue cordless drill/flashlight set in the blow molded carrying case. I went through two of those in a few months, then I gave up on their power tools. Except for the DA orbital polisher. So far, it's done a good job.

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#55
In reply to #53

Re: Technological progress

07/27/2017 9:23 AM

Why are some drills so touch and go with the trigger. They seem to go full speed on the first squeeze. Other drills (Black and Decker for instance), seem to have a lot better control of rotation speed in the trigger. OR are we talkin' apples and oranges on classes of tools here?

My watch is a cheap gift from one of those survivalist clubs, or from wounded warrior, or something like that. It keeps me from going to pocket for cell phone when I want to know what time it is.

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#58
In reply to #55

Re: Technological progress

08/02/2017 3:22 AM

My Bosch has excellent trigger control. My DeWalt's don't have as good control. Milwaukee is okay too.

The Black and Decker does have really good trigger control. Though the B&D doesn't feel as solid or well made. Also the torque isn't as good and neither is the balance. Finally, the battery life on the Bosch and Milwaukee are phenomenal. The DeWalt is pretty good.

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#60
In reply to #58

Re: Technological progress

08/02/2017 6:49 AM

What I like about the DeWalt cordless is that reverse is easily accessible with your drill hand without removing it from your work.. A one handed drill. My not sound like a big deal. But it does to me.

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#61
In reply to #60

Re: Technological progress

08/02/2017 10:47 AM

That is a good feature. Ultimately, it is all about control in the hands of the user, in the tasks that fall under his care and control.

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#63
In reply to #60

Re: Technological progress

08/07/2017 4:33 AM

The reverse switch on the Dewalt is very easy to use.

Though the Bosch and Milwaukee also have an easy to use reverse switch, which is very similar to the Dewalt.

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#38
In reply to #19

Re: Technological progress

06/28/2017 7:05 AM

America can not compete with cheap foreign labor unless we automate or pay a premium for goods.

But they can compete and win with quality. But as the politicians for the last few years would sit on their hands and kowtow and/or apologize to our competitors, we will lose that also.

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#23
In reply to #18

Re: Technological progress

06/23/2017 11:26 AM

China is not the problem so much, as lack of American education jobs being left unfilled, and poor personal buying choices by many Americans.

If the American product is clearly superior (such as tool steel items, high speed steel items, etc.) then clearly buy American first.

If the clothing item is better quality from an American MFR, then buy that. Plain and simple. Quality goods are always less expensive than cheap goods. Trust me on that.

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#36
In reply to #23

Re: Technological progress

06/28/2017 5:45 AM

Somewhere in my generation, people believed that they needed to be consumers and being able to buy things = success and a high quality of life.

I don't agree with it myself, but I don't consider myself an "average" person. I do believe that the "average" person was duped into being a consumer and the worst part is that they were taught that they needed it now! Charge it, so you can have it now!

I remember Wal Mart stores when Sam was alive. I remember seeing so many "Made in the USA" signs all over the store. Sam Walton did push American made goods. Here's an excerpt from Wiki "The first true Wal-Mart opened on July 2, 1962, in Rogers, Arkansas.[18] Called the Wal-Mart Discount City store, it was located at 719 West Walnut Street. He launched a determined effort to market American-made products. Included in the effort was a willingness to find American manufacturers who could supply merchandise for the entire Wal-Mart chain at a price low enough to meet the foreign competition."

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#56
In reply to #36

Re: Technological progress

07/27/2017 9:48 AM

Walmart use the advertise that all its products are made in the USA, until it was discovered the clothe was made in Pakistan

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#10

Re: Technological Progress

06/22/2017 11:53 AM

Nah, we will just need more and more robots, and people will have to put them together, and maintain them (for a period of time). I and you both will be long gone when humans are no longer required.

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#12
In reply to #10

Re: Technological Progress

06/22/2017 12:25 PM

...unless of course, gulp, we're assimilated....

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#14

Re: Technological Progress

06/22/2017 10:36 PM

If anything, robotics is helping to bring jobs back from China and 3rd world countries.

This reduces child labour and exploitation of workers, it pushes people to get an education, so they can perform the higher skill jobs required in automated facilities, it reduces pollution, as we don't have to burn oil to ship products from China.

And so on.

It's like hitting half a dozen birds with one stone.

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#15
In reply to #14

Re: Technological Progress

06/23/2017 12:30 AM

...or hitting half a dozen humans with one robot....

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#22
In reply to #14

Re: Technological Progress

06/23/2017 11:07 AM

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#16

Re: Technological Progress

06/23/2017 2:59 AM

I believe your basic worry is right on a real problem soon to be delivered. I differ concerning the solution. First of all, it is much farther in the future that most workers in highly specialized and/or creative tasks will be replaced by machines. Maybe artificial intelligence will show me to be wrong in this belief. The problem is that machines can replace human labor in most other activities, or soon will be able to do it. Society needs a solution and there are signs of progress in this direction and when I mention it I am sure many readers will explode, but a kind of socialism can do the job. We all get paid a basic minimum income adequate for a decent lifestyle, complete with proper housing, ability to eat in a healthy way and with a fair allowance for entertainment and "vacations" ( a funny expression for what goes to someone with no job, but here I mean chance to experience more, like traveling to far away places, etc.) In fact, a preliminary experiment is already underway to see how this works.

In my own opinion, there should be an additional step, demanding that very few persons just become vegetables or couch potatoes. A few may be hardly able to do much more and we should care for them also, but the capable ones should be required to do something of value such as learning and expanding their understanding of the good functioning of the world. Taking courses and producing sufficient grades would be a possibility able to deliver a population with a decent grasp of economics, science (including psychology so they can understand others better and maybe develop tolerance more advanced than often displayed in today's society) and the realities of current events, as starters. Those not doing it well enough get docked in some way, while those being really engaged get some extra benefits. Such a solution could lead to better-informed voters, and people better able to understand what is happening in the world around them. More than that, it is likely to be a long time before the robots and AI devices can replace totally human creativity, and having a large segment of the population highly informed and able to create new methods, and increased understanding, for example, in science, is extremely desirable to continue improving life of humans and the health of the earth itself. It is in everybody's best interest to promote this kind of creativity so maybe a little extra for the ones devoting their time and mental effort to the required self-improvement makes sense.

Keeping the old jobs just to keep us all busy does not make much sense if we can let machines do the work more reliably while we expand our mental powers. Alone, keeping people more mentally active could reduce the incidence of serious deterioration of the minds of older members of the population adding more pleasure to life and less burden on society in trying to care for those no longer able to care for themselves.

Oh, one vital detail. The owners of the machines will suffer high enough tax rates to support the costs. They will benefit from citizens able to afford what is coming out of their machines.

Comments are welcome, especially ones adding more details which improve the function of the proposed system.

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#21

Re: Technological Progress

06/23/2017 11:05 AM

You got it so wrong! "The purpose of using robots is to increase profits for companies and investors at the expense of human workers." is totally wrong! The real reason for robots is to abolish "slavery by another name" so that humans can live the lives they were meant to live. And if you say that humans weren't "meant" to to be free, then you need to attend some Planned Parenthood meetings. Children were not meant to be slaves (your children or other's children). And I am so glad that I have no children, because I knew this very early in my life. I won't have to answer to "future generations" for my insistence that they participate in this nonsense.

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#24
In reply to #21

Re: Technological Progress

06/23/2017 11:31 AM

What precisely, are you calling nonsense? You lost me at hello.

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#25
In reply to #24

Re: Technological Progress

06/23/2017 12:13 PM

The whole purpose of work is to have a better life. Having a better life depends on your values (personal or collective). If my work will not produce a better life for ME, Then I can get nothing without working. This human was displaced before robots even entered the picture. I want to create a good robot so that nobody would want to enslave ME when you have a perfectly good robot to use.

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#26
In reply to #25

Re: Technological Progress

06/23/2017 12:33 PM

Wrong. I work because I am responsible to the needs of my family.

I can have a better life due to personal choices and decisions. Work does not define what I am, but I define my work environment in such a way as to benefit my employer, so that they might actually hang onto me just a bit longer.

What else in life is going to make me go to bed early, and rise very early in the morning? It certainly is not going to be the "call to prayer". I do that without being told when to pray.

Sometimes life is not all about you. It is about contributing something that benefits the entire society, not just you. True, if the paycheck does not support what you want to do in your spare time, then perhaps you would have been looking for other work at a better rate of pay.

How did you get displaced? Factory shut-down due to jobs being exported overseas?

Hang in there, define what you want, and go get it. Don't let the negative Nancy types of this world define you, or limit what you can do about your own situation.

If you like the ways things are now, then stick with it.

I can see mine coming, because for sure where I work, there will not be steam plant chemists in the future, but I am doubting if there is enough skill to cover what two of us do for the organization, but when I retire, it will most definitely be their problem, not mine.

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#27
In reply to #26

Re: Technological Progress

06/23/2017 2:25 PM

I agree with "Sometimes life is not all about you. It is about contributing something that benefits the entire society, not just you.". However, the benefits to society and one's self do not have to mutually exclusive. Both parties can benefit together. It takes a mutual recognition of a goal to stay in harmony. And it's that harmony that makes life better. It can't be one-sided. And that takes being actually social and not just "laying down the law".

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#28
In reply to #27

Re: Technological Progress

06/23/2017 3:56 PM

Thanks for the lecture. I guess I was laying down the bricks pretty fast and heavy.

Harmony is hard to come by, so if you find it don't lose it.

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#30
In reply to #26

Re: Technological Progress

06/26/2017 7:17 AM

GA

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#35
In reply to #25

Re: Technological Progress

06/28/2017 5:36 AM

Hmmm. I'm not sure if I agree. If your work doesn't help you live a better life, should you continue working?

1. No. You can stop working and receive money and food from the government. Hey, you can even get a smart phone! And nearly free utilities.

2. Yes. Even though you may be just as well off as if you were unemployed, you are not a burden to society and your work produces some sort of value to mankind.

3. If you're ambitious, then you should continue working and at the same time, work on sharpening your skills, so you can compete for higher paying jobs.

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#34
In reply to #21

Re: Technological Progress

06/28/2017 5:28 AM

Please don't take this wrong. Unfortunately, huge corporations control so much of this world. When they can improve efficiency by replacing workers with robots, you need to be aware that they will. Why? Shareholders want the best return on their money. The Board of Directors are there to "protect" the interest of the shareholders and to increase the price of the stock. The board keeps the C-Suite people around, because they're doing a good job keeping the stock price up. The C-Suite must keep efficiencies high and expenses low, so when a robot becomes more cost effective, then the human(s) will be replaced.

In a perfect world, robots would be created for us, so we can spend more time on things that are good for our soul - art, music, playing, fun, etc. This is not even close to a perfect world and robots will keep taking jobs from us vs helping us have more free time - that is unless you become unemployed for a long period of time - then you will have a lot of free time on your hand.

I don't want to shatter your world, but big corporations do control things.

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#37
In reply to #34

Re: Technological Progress

06/28/2017 5:57 AM

Ask yourself why Mark Fields was just fired ... I'm sorry ... why he quit as CEO of Ford?

While the S&P has been hitting new records, F has dropped almost 33% in the last three years.

I heard that the Chairman of the Board met with Fields shortly before Fields resigned. Of course it has nothing to do with the stock prices going down, right?

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#29

Re: Technological Progress

06/24/2017 7:12 PM

I think we can learn something from the social groups that shun many forms of modern society while thoughtfully embracing and actively using others. Their rationale is roughly based on the questions: Is this good for the group? Or, does this help ensure the health and stability of the group? Granted, the ones I am thinking about now also are in religiously oriented communities, but they are generally quite heaalthy and successful. So, for us, the question might be: Does the use of a robot in this instance promote the health/safety/potential of the person whose work it starts to do (or does in part)? --JMM

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#31
In reply to #29

Re: Technological Progress

06/26/2017 9:39 AM

I have found no unambiguous way to provide an affirmative answer to that question, therefore I defer to a Higher Authority.

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#40

Re: Technological Progress

06/28/2017 1:38 PM

Something more basic is missing here. Remember the law of Physics that says Matter/Energy is neither created nor destroyed, but only changes form? Well, if the world we live in is finite, and sunlight is supplied at a finite rate, then there comes a point when those finite resources will no longer support a larger growth-rate/population no matter what Man says about it. We'll just have to accept the fact that population management/control has to enter the formula/recipe somehow. Not everything is about "contributing", sometimes not contributing to the real problem is better. What about "first do no harm."? Either we learn to share, or we ensure that there is no one else to share with.

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#41
In reply to #40

Re: Technological Progress

06/28/2017 1:52 PM

Relax. Mankind can only so far reside 99% on land, and land is less than 33% of Earth surface. Right now mankind only occupies a small fraction of the actual land area.

If we subtended all the light incident for power, by that time we would also have the capability to expand off surface to build rings around Earth, and coalesce those rings into a hard shell of larger and larger, and larger diameter to accommodate whatever takes place above or below it.

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#44
In reply to #41

Re: Technological Progress

06/28/2017 3:59 PM

What you say might be true, but that is not necessarily scale-able. Try scaling it down to a small village and you have to contend with their specific resources. Try scaling it up to the whole universe, and you'll realize that no matter how many resources there are theoretically, our access to those resources is more limiting. In other words, regardless of what society in general has access to, if MY access is not adequate, then I need to make MY decisions based on MY "world" alone. And if MY life is not adequate for ME, then I can't afford to include someone else as a dependent/debtor, even if that debt comes in the form of inherited debt which I did not create. If I owe society anything, then I need an itemized bill that can have a record of payment with a receipt. And that means that "society" needs to have a "collective will" for which the entity can answer for in-the-specific and not just in-the-abstract.

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#45
In reply to #44

Re: Technological Progress

06/29/2017 9:39 AM

I think you should have your head examined by a professional to ensure nothing is leaking out of your cranium, we want to prevent contamination.

In other words. NO. When you start an argument supposedly based on logic, next time please do attempt not to base it on a false premise, and then change the false premise to an even more ridiculous one later.

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#46
In reply to #45

Re: Technological Progress

06/29/2017 9:59 AM

Can you please be more specific on what that false premise is, and which other one I switched to? I fail to recognize what you refer to. And please also tell me what's so ridiculous about it/them. I would appreciate the opportunity to improve my life. Thank you.

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#47
In reply to #46

Re: Technological Progress

06/29/2017 11:07 AM

False premises:

  1. "Well, if the world we live in is finite, and sunlight is supplied at a finite rate, then there comes a point when those finite resources will no longer support a larger growth-rate/population no matter what Man says about it".
  2. "And if MY life is not adequate for ME, then I can't afford to include someone else as a dependent/debtor, even if that debt comes in the form of inherited debt which I did not create. If I owe society anything, then I need an itemized bill that can have a record of payment with a receipt. And that means that "society" needs to have a "collective will" for which the entity can answer for in-the-specific and not just in-the-abstract."

If you limit yourself to n-1 dimensions, in an n dimensional world, I suspect you will run into finite limits much faster. You need to provide some basis for assumptions made about the "world", especially when at present only minute amounts of the true resources are utilized, and half of that is wasted.

You seem to be generalizations based upon your personal circumstances, thus these are by default not adequate to describe the "world" experience.

Broaden your horizon, realize the bounty and generosity of Earth, and then go live long and prosper.

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#48
In reply to #47

Re: Technological Progress

06/29/2017 12:23 PM

"Broaden your horizon, realize the bounty and generosity of Earth"?

That's exactly my problem. That's how the Native Indians lived, and look what happened to them.

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#42
In reply to #40

Re: Technological Progress

06/28/2017 2:56 PM

I agree. Never took economics, but in my thinking the "economy" has only two basic inputs--time and energy. Unfortunately there are many other factors that can enter, such as our being such a small component of this amazingly beautiful and large earth in the much larger universe, with things in motion that we don't see. We just lie to ourselves that we are all-capable, etc. Pogo's observation from about 40+ years ago is so apt: "We have met the enemy and it is us."

On a more practical side of things, two simple changes in law could have some significant impacts: 1) place an import duty on all products equal to the manufacturer's or importer's reduced costs for the products made elsewhere when they avoid health, environmental, working condition and safety rules placed on those who manufacture in this country, but also allow this to be bi-directional for items manufactured here and sold elsewhere; and 2) have some form of tax on the environmental costs from our excessive use of fuels, etc.

--JMM

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#43
In reply to #42

Re: Technological Progress

06/28/2017 3:27 PM

Boo hiss on #2, or rather #1 on #2, or even #2 on #2. I would go all the way to #3, but not sure what that is.

We already have enough taxes. What part of Liberty and Freedom are you opposed to?

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#49
In reply to #43

Re: Technological Progress

06/29/2017 8:36 PM

The second suggestion was fairly poor, but I believe the first is valid. I suggest a different #2 suggestion: Have tax law treat as corporate taxable income all compensation (wages, stock options, and all others) paid to any employee or officer for the portion of compensation that is in excess of 50 times the compensation received by the lowest paid worker.

Presently the ratio between highest and lowest in the USA exceeds 1000 for many corporations, while in Europe it is MUCH lower. I am sure that corporations would almost immediately find some way to do an end run around such a law or rule, so the wording would have to be fairly open--witness what happened when 32 hours per week was the cutoff for having to provide health care and so many low-wage workers had their work week cut to 32 hours!

Regarding liberty and freedom, I see many limits to them, imposed voluntarily on those who truly try to follow the teachings in the Bible. At the present time, any claims that the USA is a Christian nation are false--we worship power, money, and self, while we only give occasional lip service to the other.

JMM

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#50
In reply to #49

Re: Technological Progress

06/30/2017 4:51 PM

Yes, kinda hard to have a Christian Nation where the natives want to BBQ the Christians.

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#73

Re: Technological Progress

09/13/2017 9:02 AM

For the last 1-2 years I have been witnessing major change in the supply chain industry - digitization. While for other industries, voice control is something new that is about to be launched in the next few years, for the logistics branche it is something completely normal and usual. Up to 80% of the packaging and loading are performed by robots. As pointed out in the following case study https://www.epg.com/pt/newsroom/detail/galliker-quality-and-infrastructure-contribute-to-europe-wide-logistics/ robots can do also the labeling of articles with desired imprint. Therefore in my opinion it depends fully on the industry whether or not robots should be used for certain activities.

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#74
In reply to #73

Re: Technological Progress

09/13/2017 9:42 AM

Do the robots have issues understanding different accents, and what is the spoken language? Spanish? Italian? English? German? Please explain, I sense a Tower of Babel issue developing.

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