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Oops....Busted

02/21/2015 3:26 PM
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#1

Re: Oops....Busted

02/21/2015 4:59 PM

Well, well!

Greed does strange things.

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#2
In reply to #1

Re: Oops....Busted

02/21/2015 6:15 PM

Well I hope he's socked away a good portion of his proceeds, it's a good bet he's on his way out....ok he's already out....maybe he'll write a book now claiming he was manipulated by big oil...lol

http://www.motherjones.com/blue-marble/2011/06/exxonmobil-soon-climate-change-denier

"Soon received in 2004 the Peter Beckmann Award from Doctors for Disaster Preparedness (DDP) for "outstanding contributions to the defense of scientific truth".[24][25]"

How embarrassing......

"Willie Soon has received more than $1.3 million in funding from Big Oil and coal industry sponsors over the past decade, according to a Greenpeace report[3] based on FOIA requests. Since 2002, every grant Dr. Soon received originated with fossil fuel interests, he has has received at least $230,000 from Koch Family Foundations .[3]"

This man has no shame....

http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Willie_Soon

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#3
In reply to #2

Re: Oops....Busted

02/21/2015 6:57 PM

Isn't citing Mother Jones like citing the National Enquirer for scholarly information on astronomy?

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#13
In reply to #4

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 7:36 AM

So are palm readers from time to time. Every dog has their day, but using one for amassing a fortune in the stock market has yet to produce dividends.

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#42
In reply to #13

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 4:51 PM

They were not the primary source of information, which came from the freedom of information act, submitted by Greenpeace...

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#48
In reply to #42

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 5:45 PM

And Greenpeace is another really reliable organization that is not full of zealots for the environment? Had friends who had a disagreement with a few of them, they found their boat scuttled the next morning, there is no talking with them. Its their way or the highway (or sunk) in this occasion.

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#61
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 7:58 PM

Don't shoot the messenger before you read the message....

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/02/21/science/document-climate.html

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#65
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 10:30 PM

I am not defending this guy's work, but the article claims he did not publish his source of funding. However, was he required to produce that?

Again, Soon's work may be rubbish, but if there was no obligation that he publish his source of funding and the New York Times is inferring that he was obligated, then the paper is being disingenuous.

Do you know for a fact that Soon was obligated to publish his funding source?

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#71
In reply to #65

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 6:10 AM

Yes....

http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/nation/2015/01/26/harvard-smithsonian-climate-change-skeptic-accused-violating-academic-disclosure-agreement/Y1uMQ8yuLpYCjOHGckRArO/story.html

"He has accepted more than $1.2 million in money from the fossil-fuel industry over the last decade while failing to disclose that conflict of interest in most of his scientific papers. At least 11 papers he has published since 2008 omitted such a disclosure, and in at least eight of those cases, he appears to have violated ethical guidelines of the journals that published his work."

"The documents show that Dr. Soon, in correspondence with his corporate funders, described many of his scientific papers as "deliverables" that he completed in exchange for their money. He used the same term to describe testimony he prepared for Congress."

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/22/us/ties-to-corporate-cash-for-climate-change-researcher-Wei-Hock-Soon.html

Bear in mind that these papers in question, are dealing with climate change, an area out of his area of expertise, disputing the claims of others who do work in this field...

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#75
In reply to #71

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 8:24 AM

The nattering naybobs (NN) cannot or will not examine measured data or article details that disagree with their beliefs. This is true regardless of how easy or difficult are the links you provide. The NN will not care what formal training an author has or methodology is used in a paper. They only care if the paper agrees with their belief. A NN will virtually never admit to any facet that disagrees with their belief. The rare time a NN gets cornered into agreeing with a disagreeable facet, they will forget ever agreeing. A NN will not even notice a self contained contradiction in an article if the article conclusion agrees with their belief.

Trying to argue with a NN is like pissing into the wind. It might give you a brief warm feeling but later the clinging smell should remind you that you didn't win anything you really want.

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#77
In reply to #75

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 9:00 AM

They are good tools for sharpening your position though....

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#85
In reply to #75

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 12:24 PM

Red: so exactly which side is the NN's most of the time? Which sides likes to "tweak" or "twerk" the data from the actual readings to make it fit with their pet theory?

I can for one, come nearer believing the sun has something to do with global warming that car exhaust or cow flattulence, or for that matter all the CO2 emitted from the oceans in the last hundred years, or the methane from oceanic up-wellings.

Bottom line: You just can't believe anyone, because it's all tainted, or at least believe what makes you happy, and pee on every one else.

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#88
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 12:49 PM

Side? I said nothing at all about any side that the NN are on. You, James Stewart, misread my comment and put your own spin on my comment by implying that the NN are only on one side of this lopsided debate. I add the attribute of this being a lopsided debate now because you just proved that people will sooner misread a comment and speak from false impressions than think about what has been said.

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#89
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 1:09 PM

Pardon me, Red: I guess NN's can be on either side. I put spin on your comment? Didn't mean to. Kinda hard to spin something up that has the consistency of "catsup"! I actually do have a sense of humor about all this. It just seems colder than usual today for late February, so I am sayin' if it is Global Warming, bring it!

I do seem to recall that all the coastal developments, and cities should be 20' under water now, not to mention New Orleans that is already 20' below sea level, and basically has always been.

I think that what has been said is (loose translation here): "if the Koch brothers fund it, then those of us in the liberal media expect it to be eveil, and full of Tom Foolery".

Actually, I think the Koch brothers have about as much to gain if there is Global Warming as if there is not. Based upon their ability to invest in winning expanding branches of engineering technology, they seem to be keenly adept.

I myself, am working on alternative energies (in my private time) with two three active projects now. Progress is slow as Ribbon Cane Molasses in February in Northwest Texas (ele. 3300'). At least I will have my bicycle with alternator sized alternator, etc to fall back on for the power in my shop building, but my wife will have to pedal her own, if she wants to watch her courtroom drama each day.

Yeah, yur right, I have a closed mind, and act like I am back in middle school elementary school, but I am nearly old enough for second childhood, so there ya go.

By the way, I don't have to re-design neutrons to get any of my stuff to work, or be workable for others.

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#95
In reply to #89

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 2:04 PM

Yes NN can and are on both sides of any heated debate. You didn't put much of a spin on my comment but you did put one on. You also added the spin in an effort to clarify my comment but as I hope you now see, no clarification was needed.

You bring up a few additional misunderstandings in your reply. The dramatic 20 foot rise in sea level is from a calculation of all of the frozen glacial waters on this planet, particularly the enormous ice collection of Antarctica, were to completely melt and flow into the oceans. I don't believe anyone of merit claimed that all of the glaciers should have melted by now but if someone did I would not value their comments very much on either side of any debate for making such a preposterous claim. [There is a debate that if this actually happened the ocean rise would not be as much because the tectonic plates of Antarctica would rise from the lack of weight on them which would probably deepen many of the seas, but I digress.]

There is also the misunderstanding about local weather conditions being a link to climate change. A global change in average temperatures will not mean a similar change to every local location. An increase in global temperatures will make it more likely that record breaking conditions of all types (highs and lows) will be more likely.

On the other side of the coin you are exactly right that discrediting somebody for getting funding from the Koch or any other conservative group is just the croaking chorus of another group of NN.

The objection I have with with Willie Soon is not that he took money from anyone. I object that that the periodical that published his papers required a disclosure of any possible conflicts of interests. He did not disclose this funding. I also dislike Dr. Soon's use of the Smithsonian's Astrophysics association title after they publicly asked him not to use their name for work on climate change that they consider outside his field of expertise that they call on him for.

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#98
In reply to #95

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 2:53 PM

I see that we basically agree, whew! I know I have a way to using words to push people's buttons, and I seem to be adept at that, or just successful in an accidental sort of way.

I think both sides are perfectly capable of cherry-picking data, fidgeting with data they don't like (either change it outright or simply hide it), and then turn around and blame the other for the same behavior.

That brings me back around to politics. I think nearly all man-made climate change could be eliminated by eliminating the climate in Washington, D.C. that emits (1) foul odors, (2) foul practices, (3) foul optics (looks bad), and (4) is generally voluminous in its amplitude, and microscopic in actual information content.

Perhaps the Pharoahs did have it right: pay off the monument workers with bread, beer, and roasted goat (or the fatted calf). I can't remember the last time I ever heard of Washington, D.C. exporting anything, much less used up politicians. Can used up politicians be used as pendulum counter weights? Clock weights? I already know they serve no useful purpose in life while in office, but what about after?

Have any of the rest of you actually had to vacuum up that dusty spent hot air from news stations (from politicians, mostly spent ones that keep lingering on) out of the bottom of your TV's? I know there cannot be another suitable explanation for all that, as the dust is much higher in our TV room than others rooms where TV is off most of the time. Wifey only watches courtroom drama, who dun it shows, or news channels. I like cartoon based movies - Iron Man 12 would be fantastic.

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#101
In reply to #98

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 4:37 PM

As far as politicians and democracy in general I yield to the wisdom of one of the greatest political minds of the last century, Winston Churchill.

"Democracy is the worst form of government, except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time." (from a House of Commons speech on Nov. 11, 1947)

The relatively recent shift to complete deadlock to spite the other party is reprehensible. If you know our history, this is nothing new. In fact cross party gridlock is a pivotal part of the founding fathers plans. [I believe this comes up in the Federalist Papers but I do not remember where right now.]

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#102
In reply to #98

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 6:23 PM

Grind them into paste, they can then be used as organic pot hole filler.

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#6
In reply to #3

Re: Oops....Busted

02/21/2015 8:04 PM

If one examines the preponderance of evidence regarding climate change and the preponderance of evidence now associated with the good doctor, not to mention the overwhelming evidence of the existence of air pollution, I think there is no denying that the climate is getting hotter.

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#12
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 7:33 AM

So, the preponderance of evidence about climate change elevates Mother Jones to the level of a scholarly magazine?

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#18
In reply to #12

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 10:37 AM

I did not cite Mother Jones as providing the preponderance of evidence. I could play the kramarat game and post dozens of more credible sources, but as demonstrated here, a closed mind is impenetrable and we all have our reasons for believeing what we do.

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#22
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 11:46 AM

No, but you responded to my post about it.

My slant about this isn't about global warming or cooling or asteroids plummeting from the sky. It was that using hack blogs as evidence to support an argument does not lend an argument credibility.

As far as global warming goes, I seriously doubt that the debate will be resolved for decades and that is because the topic ceased being a scientific endeavor long, long ago and has been relegated to nothing more than a political football. The longer the game runs the more yardage each side gets out of it.

As it was already pointed out, there is plenty of money changing hands on both sides of the argument and if you want to discredit one side for that you have to discredit the other, too. Where does that leave us?

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#24
In reply to #22

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 12:35 PM

It leaves us adrift in a sea of claims with no resolution in sight.

It leaves us on opposing sides of an important issue, with neither side admitting that they are wrong.

Just like every other discussion on this subject, it is a waste of time to debate.

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#38
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 4:25 PM

Glad you could make here. ;-)

When a significant amount of the politics evaporates from the subject serious work will get done. Until then I just don't care that much.

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#53
In reply to #38

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 7:08 PM

it will still need years and years and years of good solar radiant flux density data

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#82
In reply to #38

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 9:34 AM

"When a significant amount of the politics evaporates from the subject serious work will get done. Until then I just don't care that much."

To make a significant amount of politics evaporate from anywhere, we need to start my making the politicians 'evaporate.' That's a hard feat to accomplish, there are basically two avenues of approach, get the politician voted out of his position of power, or 'cure the politician of his breathing habit.' The first method is stymied by politics itself, since I, as a Chicagoan, can do nothing about the nut-jobs sent from Texas or the idiots sent from Maine. I can only affect, however, slightly, three people in Congress, the two Illinois senators, and the one Illinois representative for my voting district(1). The second method has the problem of being illegal, technically murder(2).

Notes:

1) Illinois does not have all the potential reps running in a giant pool voted on by the entire state, but divides the state up into 'population blocks' where each 'block' is aproximately equal to the others in size, and the total number of blocks equals the total number of reps the state can send. That helps the 90% of the landmass (covered by 'red' counties) get their voice heard, and not be drowned out by the 'little blue dot' (Chicago and the 7-County Region, often referred to as 'Chicagoland' since the suburbs continue on is a contiguous bass from the city. In most places, the only way to tell you've crossed the border out of the city is to look at the style of the street signs, or look for the gas stations proudly claiming 'No Chicago Taxes' on gas and cigarettes.)

2) Although if we could get 'career politicians' (the worst of the bunch) legally declared as 'not people,' then eliminating one would have no more repercussions than running over a stray dog. Too bad the layers won't let us do that, many of them are aspiring to become 'career politicians' later in life, or to get into politics so their children can be 'career politicians.' And they don't want anyone volunteering to help them with 'a serious deficiency of vitamin L(3)' when they get into office.

3) Although the more educated would call it 'vitamin Pb,' we can assume that the average person would follow the Hollywood trope and use the first letter of its English name, rather than its symbol on the Periodic Table.

(Self-marking as OT because, as you may know, 'politics' and I get along like Sodium and Water.)

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#25
In reply to #22

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 12:37 PM

You'll note that one side is almost entirely proactive and the other side defensive. The curiousity might not be scientific but you have to wonder, what do they think they're up to ? I suspect that a driving force might be that Miss Grundies of both genders need new frontiers now that conventional morality has, in the main, bitten the dust.

It leaves me dispirited that policy is being made on such a shoddy basis.

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#17
In reply to #6

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 8:24 AM

It seems years since I first heard of the preponderance of evidence. I keep hearing about it. But, I've never seen it. I have seen a few items that people say is evidence. I've never figured out why they consider it evidence. It doesn't seem like evidence to me. I must either be really stupid or from the wrong religion. Probably both.

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#35
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 3:45 PM
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#43
In reply to #35

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 4:54 PM

Why is Government funding considered to be "Pure", and Industry money considered to be "Dirty"? I trust Industry much more than I trust the Al Gores' of Government. Look at the sources for the EPA grants, and the legislation pushes behind them. The Government has far more money available than any specific Group, but it has been corrupted by the Environmental Groups to a large extent, I am afraid… There is now a start to investigating the corruption of temperature statistics with the end game trying to prove "warming". It will be interesting to see how it plays out...

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#45
In reply to #43

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 5:12 PM

Because government works for the people and industry works for profit...

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#46
In reply to #45

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 5:22 PM

It's easy to make that statement. I'll betcha you can't prove it..

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#49
In reply to #46

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 6:01 PM

I'll betcha I can.....

  1. The FAA. Crashes are a rarity here, thanks to equipment safety tests and massively successful air flight controlling.
  2. Medicaid: private sector insurance companies make money by ditching their customers when they get very sick. Medicaid picks up the castoffs.
  3. Social Security: What if Mr. Bush had succeeded in privatizing SS before the markets crashed? Can you imagine how many old people would be working at WalMart, since their SS would have been cut in half? And did you know that before SS, thousands of older Americans simply starved to death?
  4. SCHIP: Healthcare insurance for children who would not otherwise have it - enormously preventive of school absence, long-term illness, loss of physical and mental development
  5. The CDC: How do we know that the virulence of H1N1 is less than expected? Who is telling the world that US pork is safe to eat? How do we know whether an illness is H1N1 or not? It's all the CDC.
  6. School hot lunch programs: For many children, their only serious nutrition all day every day. What industry would do it?
  7. The Soil Conservation Service: though bureaucratic, there is no private industry comparable. How vastly different would America be without the wetlands your dad and a thousand like him have created.
  8. Head Start: kids from homes that have seriously dysfunctional emotional and learning environments have benefited enormously
  9. The Department of Motor Vehicles: how many mistakes have you had on your car registrations or titles?
  10. E911 commissions: how long does it take an ambulance or fire truck to reach you if a child who can call 911 can't tell the operator an address? When I first came to Washington, there was simply no way to know. People died.
  11. University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics - known around the world for ground-breaking medical research.
  12. Open meetings laws for city, county, and state government office - nothing like it at all in the private sector. But if public officials make decisions without notifying us, they can get in big trouble.
  13. Free public libraries - which most nations simply don't have.
  14. Public health services - how many lives have been saved by free or low-cost immunizations? Show me something analogous in the private sector.
  15. The Interstate Highways Commission: we enjoy the best auto and truck transportation system in the world.
  16. The FDIC: how safe is your bank account? Prior to the FDIC, if your bank got greedy and lent more than it could support, you lost your life savings.
  17. The FDA: how do I know that the Adderall I take is really Adderall, and really the dosage I'm told? Much of the world does not. The FDA constantly catches businesses attempting to cheat.
  18. The Federal Elections Commission: A missionary friend of mine tells me that Africans are utterly astonished at the speed and accuracy with which US elections take place, and the efficiency and safety with which the US changes its administrations.
  19. Uniform Building Codes: my son works for a concrete contractor, and can tell you with confidence that there are pre-code homes in our town (and probably in every town) that have sewer lines that run under the park and dump raw sewage into the creek that flows into the trailer court.
  20. NASA - what business has landed on the moon?

https://masbury.wordpress.com/2009/05/11/name-10-things-the-government-does-well/

http://www.governmentisgood.com/articles.php?aid=7

"1. DARPA

In 1939, Leó Szilárd sent a letter to his friend Albert Einstein about the possibility of a mysterious device that could level entire cities. Einstein, in turn, passed it on to Franklin Roosevelt who, acutely aware that this otherwise unlikely idea had the sanction of the world's most famous scientist, put the wheels of government in motion.

The result was the Manhattan Project, the most consequential government science program ever, which gave an enormous advantage to America and its allies. After the war, the military looked for ways to keep scientists involved and in 1958 President Eisenhower authorized DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency).

Since then, DARPA has been a mainstay of technological development, funding development of the Internet, GPS and even Apple's Siri, just to name a few. More recently, ARPA-E has been created to support similar development in energy.

2. NIH

We often fall into the trap of thinking about technology as mainly gadgets and gizmos. However, some of the most important innovations happen in the life sciences, much of it funded by the NIH (National Institutes of Health), a vast effort whose 2014 budget exceeds $31 billion.

The impact of the NIH cannot be overstated. Researchers there have discovered vaccines for infectious diseases and innovative new treatments. ACongressional study found that as many as 60% of important drugs would not have been discovered without NIH support and that economic returns range from 25% to 40%.

It also funded the Human Genome Project, a $3.6 billion undertaking that has not only revolutionized medical science, but whose economic benefits have been estimated to be nearly $800 billion as of 2011 and will likely multiply many times in the future.

3. In-Q-Tel

Government procurement is notoriously inefficient, especially with regard to military contracts, because there are multiple points of failure. First, specifications need to go through a cumbersome bureaucratic process, then bids are solicited and assessed not only on their merits, but amidst a political and greed ridden morass.

In the case of technology, the problem is especially acute. Much like large corporations, government bureaucrats are ill equipped to judge the value of nascent technologies and, by the time they are finished wrangling through the procurement process, the technology is often already out of date.

That's why the CIA created In-Q-Tel, a government funded VC that invests in startup companies focused on cutting edge technology such as big data analytics and quantum computing. Rather than fully funding research programs, they can partner with entrepreneurs like Jeff Bezos and pursue a number of approaches.

The In-Q-Tel program has become so successful that it is seen as a stamp of approval for start-ups, so it is often able to invest at attractive valuations even when a company is fully funded.

4. SBIR

Entrepreneurs are often seen as heroic, while many observers complain that government should just get out of the way. However, although nobody likes the regulation and red tape, the Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR)program shows that government can play an important role in helping young, innovative businesses get started.

The program has three phases. The first is a "proof of concept" phase in which funding is generally capped at $150,000. The second is a research phase in which grants can go up to $1 million. In the third phase, the company is expected to either get private funding or, in some cases, can receive funding from another government program.

Qualcomm, iRobot and Symantec are just a few of the SBIR success stories. The combination of low grants (lower in fact, than most venture capitalists are willing to get involved with) and limited duration encourages entrepreneurs to embark on projects that aren't yet developed enough to secure financing in the private sector.

The New Hoover Dams

The quintessential government project of the 20th century was the Hoover Dam, large, impressive projects that helped build the nation's infrastructure. These were always popular because they showed a clear, tangible result even for those that weren't directly affected by the investment.

However, building large physical structures will do little for US competitiveness in the 21st century (although much investment is needed for renovation and repair). Ours is a technological age and the most important investments are the ones we won't see, in smart grids and connectivity, new molecules and algorithms.

In an important TED talk (see below), economist Mariana Mazzucato suggests that the public sector has a crucial role to play in funding innovations deemed too risky for profit seeking companies, who are under intense pressure to show a return on investment before a project is undertaken.

She also suggests that austerity is counterproductive, lowering deficits in the short term, but sacrificing the future through a lack of investment. She proposes that government programs should be transformed into innovation banks and that a equity stakes in funded companies should be plowed back into investments (Finland already does this).

Whether or not her proposals are workable, one thing is for sure: The tired old caricatures of lazy, feckless government bureaucrats and heroic entrepreneurs is more of an excuse for rent seeking (by lazy, feckless corporate bureaucrats) than it is a serious basis for policy."

http://www.forbes.com/sites/gregsatell/2013/07/02/4-government-programs-that-drive-innovation/

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#83
In reply to #49

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 10:19 AM

There was Healthy Families for medical insurance for children in place before ACA. It was $12/mo and $5 copay. There was no excuse for people to not have that for their kids and people that didn't qualify for Healthy Families made enough to afford Health Insurance but chose not to have it.

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#110
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/24/2015 8:40 AM

While his reply was interesting, some of his so called successes, leave a great deal to be desired. While others are the direct result of previous bad policies.

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#50
In reply to #45

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 6:20 PM

I would venture to say that in reverse.. People work for the Government, and do anything to hang onto their jobs and pensions and perks, even though they may not produce a viable product… "Let's just produce more "research papers", and call it a day" …..Industry is governed, for the MOST part, by the need to produce workable, viable products or solutions, or the company does't continue to exist. It needs to innovate and keep upgrading. Buggy whips aren't selling well, but I am afraid our Government orders a lot of "Buggy whip" type products, or else they won't get their funding for the next year. Our Government wastes more money than the GDP's of many countries, and is not very accountable for that money. This goes for both Party's.. I know ..I worked on several projects that were virtually obsolete, in necessity, but the money had been allocated, and had to get "used"..We had no choice , as discontinuing the project wasn't in the multiple choice options.

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#60
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 7:53 PM

You sell government employee's short using cherry picked anecdotal evidence.....private companies go out of business all the time, become obsolete overnight, are compromised by one bad apple....I don't see any difference, except the government generally has better benefits and pays a living wage...and is less prejudiced...

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#67
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 10:51 PM

Would you compare Google or Apple, or Tesla, to your hypothesis?

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#72
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 6:23 AM

Cherry picking again?

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#76
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 8:52 AM

Governments and private companies do not pay salaries. Governments steal tax from citizens. Private companies get it from their customers. Governments and their employees are not held accountable for their actions. Oh yes, when a government owned sewage plant overflows, who pays the fines? Ask RedFred, happens frequently in and around Oyster Bay, and occasionally in the Southwest Sewer District.

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#81
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 9:34 AM

Every time civil engineers of either of these two regions try to raise funds to prevent overflows they get told to stop wasting taxpayer money.

To quote the late Walt Kelley character Pogo "We have met the enemy and he is us."

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#51
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 6:50 PM

Government works for itself first.

The number one job of government is self perpetuation. The people come much lower down on the list and only if it serves the government to do so.

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#62
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 8:00 PM

Do you put other people first in your job?

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#64
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 10:24 PM

I put the customer first, but the reason I do that is to grow the business, which also serves the employees.

If you feel that government is an altruistic entity I would point out there are millenniums of history that show otherwise.

Our founding fathers understood this very, very well after living under the yoke of oppression and did a pretty clever job of protecting the people from their government. However, those protections only work as well as the citizens that elect their representatives.

As it has been said, the penalty for not being involved in politics is to be ruled by your inferiors.

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#78
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 9:11 AM

Our founding fathers were not trying to protect us from government, they were trying to protect us from despots who may appear in government...We created the government to serve the people's needs as a whole, the system of checks and balances to keep it on course....and the right to bear arms should the system fail....which it has not....

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#117
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/24/2015 11:08 AM

I don't think the government is very representative of the people's wishes, but that is ultimately the fault of the citizens, not the system.

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#99
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 3:10 PM

Did we also forget to mention that government has an apparent and de facto monopoly? We the people of the United States should file a class action anti-trust lawsuit against the government - oh wait, that's right they have that fancy word for, na na na na boo boo, you can's sue me.

The actual truth is people sue the government all the time for all kinds of ridiculous claims and bogus injury settlement (mainly environmental ones for animals that really could care less that there is a government, or an EPA). The Department of Justice (pronounced Hoostice) then settles out of court with the organization's lawyers, with a wink, wink, nod, nod. All parties walk away happy - the "greenies" get their "go" money, and the government surrepticiously gets to fulfill its nefarious agenda.

If you really trust the government right now, please do raise your hand.

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#94
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 1:58 PM

You still believe that myth? What truck did you fall off of?

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#97
In reply to #94

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 2:37 PM

Do you really think that government employees are not people, too.

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#56
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 7:23 PM

Hence the phrases "climastrology and its proponents climastrologers".

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#55
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02/22/2015 7:22 PM

The issue(s) are is what is causing it and can man do anything to mitigate it? The answer to both is the same man can do nothing to prevent it. That does not mean we should trash our home, it does mean that tripling the price of fossil fuels to fund bio snake oil is not productive.

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#90
In reply to #6

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 1:17 PM

The humility level in here seems higher than ever before? Seems to be.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2569215/Humans-not-blame-global-warming-says-Greenpeace-founder-Patrick-Moore.html

Why would the founder of Greenpeace then refute human caused climate change. Speaking of not paying attention to actual data. Even if CO2 goes up 1000%, I do not think it can result in a higher surface temperature, or one in the stratosphere, or the equatorial upper troposphere.

There are too many assumptions required, which IMHO are not good science.

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#5

Re: Oops....Busted

02/21/2015 8:01 PM

How is this any different from the $multi-millions George Soros has poured into 'climate change' funding, 'environmental' research, and 'environmental' groups - aside from the fact that it's a drop in the bucket compared to what Soros has funded?

Answer: it's not.

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#7
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/21/2015 9:01 PM

Money can buy elections and it can buy people, but it can't buy Mother Nature.

You can deny that all day long, but it won't change the temperature rise.

It won't keep Polar Bears from drowning.

Oh, I forgot, Lake Erie is frozen over:

Lake Erie almost frozen over - USA Today

While it may feel like a worse than normal winter, December and January marked the sixth-warmest winter on record, according to data from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), which has been tracking weather since 1895.

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#9
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/21/2015 11:53 PM

"Money can buy elections"...

That may have been true at one time but is less of an influence nowadays...We have numerous examples of one candidate outspending another, but still losing the election....The internet has increased access to funding sources, voting records, candidate's associations and anything else you might imagine....It is far more important to be distinguished looking, sophisticated, an inspirational and charming speaker, well schooled on the issues, and have no extreme opinions on anything....Now that's not to say you can win with no money, or even little money...any candidate must be well funded if he or she expects to win, or even compete....but the amount of money raised after a certain point, has little to no effect....

http://www.michaelparenti.org/MoneyGame.html

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#14
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 7:42 AM

"Money can buy elections and it can buy people, but it can't buy Mother Nature."

True. Just the reports about mother nature.

What USBport states is true. I don't know the who-pays-who scorecard, but to think that it happens only on one side of the political fence is silly.

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#20
In reply to #7

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 10:52 AM

A couple of things :

What we need is global data, including that at the link.

If I were responsible for data that was to be referenced in such a hot topic, I would present it in idiot-version, with time, location, measurements, and computations in clear tables, but where's the cache in that. Typical.

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#100
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 3:15 PM

"What we need is global data"... NASA will be continuing to take care of that, and they will provide data that will be (1) precise, (2) accurate, and (3) global with respect to seeing surface temperature all over the planet, and (4) global with respect to temperatures in the middle and upper atmospheres. NASA will also be in the unique position to get a very accurate picture of total insolation for the planet, since they can accurately map in the albedo effects of snow and cloud formations.

Ain't sciunce wunnerful?

In the meantime, I still don't want some panty-waisted politician telling me I can't run my gas mower, or string trimmer this summer. What is he gonna do when he is out of Washington? Hire out as a billy goat, and munch the grass for pay?

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#103
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 6:35 PM

Even after they do all of that, they will still be unable to predict the future. If it were possible, using the same formula(ae) you would be able to pick stock market trends.

The reason being is data points, regardless of quantity don't take into account different weights, e.g. does a temperature of X at sea level, count the same as the same temperature at altitude Y? In addition, it takes approx 1500 samples to approx the norm. We have a bit of time before we anywhere near enough data to make any valid predictions.

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#105
In reply to #100

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 11:37 PM

I still have a vestitgial fondness for things spacey that was fostered primarily by science fiction. The first I heard of the Greenhouse Effect was from Isaac Asimov. Forward from there :
the school of Harlan Ellison came to dominate sci-fi in print (no man is an island = resistance to conformity is ridiculous)
the Star Trek brand got cannibalized on TV (takeaway : it's good to be king)
Star Wars rules in sci-fi cinema (meet the new boss, same as the old boss except dumber)
These all completely displaced the old stuff, with its much sharper vision of individual freedom. Combining those with my perceptions that Warp Drive is about as likely as cold fusion and space activity is primarily about military supremacy, I hope I can be excused for a lack of hip-hooray about anybody's space agency. The final frontier is right here on Terra.
That being said (I love saying that), if there's enough support for something like SETI, surely to heaven there should be enough for getting a handle on good solar radiant flux data. Can we agree that it's the KEY to any intelligent discussion of global climate that isn't just another swim in the mind-f**k pool ? We should be clamoring for NASA to at least piggyback the means for this data acquisition onto their agenda.

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#107
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/24/2015 7:38 AM

NASA has already been doing that for the last 10 years with SORCE.

The problem is that 10 years is much too short to get any meaningful data as climate is a long-term process.

To combat that we take data from a wide variety of sources, most of that is not so accurate, and try to normalize the data so that it presents a broader picture. That process is fraught with pitfalls and sometimes errors.

The second problem is knowing what data to take. The more we learn the more we find other contributing factors that were either not accounted for or incorrectly accounted for.

All of this has been confounding our modeling process and while many like to point out the certainty of what is happening, the truth is our understanding (and our models) are much too immature to correctly predict the future.

The third problem, which may prove to be more dangerous, is politics and the aspiration of power. Regardless of whether anthropogenic climate change is really a threat or not, that doesn't stop individuals and groups from using it as a mechanism to secure both your money and your freedom to foster power on a large scale.

Somewhere lies a middle road in all of this, but I do not trust the political leaders of this world to find it.

If I am correct I think that sums up the climate change debate nicely.

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#111
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/24/2015 9:27 AM

It is already on NASA's agenda (to measure all the inputs to the "global" climate model). They already have the ability to monitor solar irradiance and solar reflection from satellites that have been in orbit for many years now, and there is already a preponderance of data.

Much of the data that NASA already has in hand appears contradictory to the man-caused climate change model put forth by "mainstream" climatologists (what makes a climatologist anyhow?). The evidence is already out there, that really supports the concept that whatever is taking place globally is just a hiccup compared to the magnitude of climate changes in Earth's history. This means to me, sit back, take a deep breath of clean air, and enjoy the ride, it is the only one we get.

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#69
In reply to #7

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 11:18 PM

Lyn--Polar bears have been removed from the endangered list, by the Canadian Govt, for years…Why? Because they are on a NO HUNT LIST!!!! Not because of Environmental changes…..Please research your data--You are better than that..

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#80
In reply to #69

Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 9:24 AM

Polar bears are still on the threatened list, and are still hunted illegally....but the main threat is loss of habitat due to ice melt, from global warming.....

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#106
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/24/2015 12:03 AM

Canada, after repeated attempts from the Environmental front groups, still refuses to list them as endangered. The populations that were considered in danger, went to 2 , from 4, and that was from hunting restrictions, not Climate change. The bear populations are now at 20, 000, to 25,000 and are well out of endangered status. The Enviros, for lack of a better term, want the number lower so as to get more money to "investigate", and more gas for for their Zodiacs and pre-paid "Environmental vacations"…

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#113
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/24/2015 9:53 AM

"...but the main threat is loss of habitat due to ice melt, from global warming....."

Ok, are we talking "threat" or actual losses here. I can see that a few cherry-picked photos of a polar bear clinging to a small ice floe in what appears to be open water is worth a thousand words, but does it show what is in the background? How does anyone know whether or not there is a shoreline, a massive ice berg, or closed ice nearby? Drama points to the proponents on that one, but evidence of actual measured arctic ice (polar bears do not inhabit the south polar region, at least not naturally) reveals increases in thickness and coverage of ice except for some small intercoastal areas on the Pacific Ocean - Alaska islands areas.

Often I see this vase sweeping conclusion by the proponents that we have less than 15 minutes to act to "save the polar bears". The polar bears, trust me, will save themselves, and are true masters of their environment. Anyone who has worked in the northern reaches of Alaska can tell you, polar bears can and will take humans who are not paying attention.

All I am saying is here is that both sides would be well-served in giving "the drama" a long rest.

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#93
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 1:54 PM

Just remember that the ancestors (Brown Bears) of the Polar Bears wiped out the short-faced Bear at the end of so-called Mega-fauna epoch. In Alaska, it appeared to be East meets West in a nasty grudge match.

So, if things keep getting colder, just wait, and the Arizona Black Bear will be meat for the Polar Bear. LOL

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#96
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 2:35 PM

The polar bear is closely related to the grizzly (brown) bear. This highlights the hysteria of the global warming activists. (The sentence structure implies the wrong thing here but I hope you know what I mean.) The loss of arctic ice will undoubtedly cause the loss of many polar bears that try to survive with just their old tricks. The species itself will likely just again morph back to a grizzly. Since grizzly territory already contacts polar regions this will probably be a relatively smooth transition. As for the black bear well I wouldn't bet against these nimble, elusive creatures.

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#23
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 12:24 PM

And at least the Koch brothers acquired their wealth legally, not by manipulating the stock market and ripping off investors, like George Soros did:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Soros#Insider_trading_conviction

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#31
In reply to #5

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 3:02 PM

So what are George Soros' motivations? vs. the Koch brothers?

Don't even bother to try to claim that he's making money off of climate change. There's nowhere near the money in climate change that there is in oil & energy. The Koch brothers have far more motivation to deny climate change to keep their pockets filled.

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#34
In reply to #31

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 3:29 PM

Climate change or climate change policies ? If you can analyze the net effects and the motivations of the key players it's worth more than a few lines.

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#37
In reply to #31

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 4:20 PM

Hahaha. Yeah, right. Soros has nothing to gain from the man-made global warming hoax:

http://www.dailyfinance.com/2009/10/12/cleantech-hits-the-jackpot-george-soros-to-invest-1-billion-in/

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#40
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 4:42 PM

Investment carries with it no guarantee of return....

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#52
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 7:06 PM

but a really good bet if you know how to work it

often involves government guarantees

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#59
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 7:46 PM

As an investor I can tell you investing in green technologies is risky business, government involvement or not...certainly not someplace I would put my money....but Soros can probably afford to take a loss....

..."Cleantech is currently clustered in six industry sectors: energy, water and waste water, advanced materials, energy efficiency and manufacturing, transportation and agriculture. The largest of these sectors is energy and can range from biodiesel, clean coal and fuel cells, to wind and solar energy."...

Would you invest in any of these area's?

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#79
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 9:15 AM

..." $multi-millions George Soros has poured into 'climate change' funding, 'environmental' research, and 'environmental' groups "....

Please list these examples that Mr Soros has spent so much money on....if you can...

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#8

Re: Oops....Busted

02/21/2015 9:33 PM

What I need to do is work up a racket in which the Koch brothers fund me generously for not pointing out other stuff that they fund. Alas, I'm not a sufficiently (in)famous journalist.

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#10

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 12:06 AM

You do realize that this will not change the mind of anyone at all. Showing that a scientist was funded predominantly by any side in a dispute has never held any sway with people. It does not matter if this scientist was one of twenty or twenty thousand on the planet that agreed or disagreed with preconceived biases. The bias is set in concrete. Excuses to exonerate or condemn the scientist and/or report results will be quickly found by the true believers.

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#11
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 3:44 AM

I'm not here to change anybody's mind, only to provide information....People can make up their own mind as to what they believe, it won't alter reality...

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#16
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 8:17 AM

"it won't alter reality..."

Sure it will. Reality is what you perceive.

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#28
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 1:20 PM

No reality exists as a fact, you either perceive it or you don't....You've been watching the Matrix again haven't you?

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#30
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 2:52 PM

I've gotta side with Morpheus : reality is in the synapses.

You might say that factual requires a consensus of perceptions.

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#32
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 3:19 PM

You're confusing perception of reality with factual reality....If you are standing in the street and a car is approaching at a high rate of speed, you are free to believe you're safe, but in reality you are not....Survival depends on your perception of reality, but it doesn't alter the facts....Man believed for years that talk of flying was crazy talk, impossible to achieve, reasoning was perceived to be sound, as man was heavier than air by a wide margin....but the reality is now apparent....

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#36
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 4:06 PM

There's no confusion unless you define reality as equal to factual. If I perceive ( or misperceive,subjectively, how else ) that a speeding car is not headed for me when in fact it is, something is very wrong but my perception is still my reality.Naturally, my perception will change when it hits, to match the fact and the perceptions of any onlookers. By the same token, the phrase real or imagined is better said factual or imagined. Doesn't have nearly as nice a ring to it but I still say that reality is in the synapses

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#41
In reply to #36

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 4:48 PM

If this was true, there would be no questions left to ask.....there would be no mistakes ever made...no need for education....there would be no difference of opinion....People do not see reality, they see their perception of reality, which is frequently wrong...

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#54
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 7:13 PM

OK, so you're unwilling to substitute factual for real and equate reality with perception

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#63
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 8:04 PM

Your perception is factual....Have we created reality?

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#66
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 10:35 PM

This started more as a tongue-in-cheek jab, but there is more than a thread of truth that we create our own reality in many ways.

This can take the form as something as simple as the customer is always right to the bowels of quantum mechanics. Nothing is as concrete as it seems.

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#73
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/23/2015 6:30 AM

True that....."He's living in his own private Idaho." ...lol

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#21
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 10:55 AM

Can we agree that without solar radiation Earth would cool to interstellar cold, and it wouldn't be long before the forget-about-it point where only tiny pockets of cold-adaptive life survives ?
Has anyone positioned instrumentation that has been acquiring reliable data on solar radiation to Earth over the last several decades ? I would bet not, but if I'm wrong, let us all spare no effort to get at that story, to pain in the you-know-what and beyond, if necessary.
To be concerned with the source of data is to admit to a degree of uncertainty as to its " truth " or validity. So why is skepticism about global warming or climate change or the causes that might be any more unreasonable than a stampede to the call of " all aboard ! " ? Some data should be doubted and some taken on absolute trust ?
" not this little black duck " .... Daffy Duck

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#44
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 5:07 PM
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#58
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 7:24 PM

it's a start...need time...orange block looks incredibly huge...maybe, maybe not

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#127
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/25/2015 2:31 PM

I do not get how it is possible we are not either freezing or burning completely up with a model as that. The author is basically claiming that the equivalent of 97% of the incoming solar irradiance is being back radiated by "greenhouse gases". Really? If all the up and down columns are added up the net is as he describes, however, at a measily 0.9 W/m2. That isn't enough to make a cup of tea IMHO.

Also on the cube chart, the anthropogenic forcing cube is reported once, then right below that is the energy production cube (i.e. burning fuels, and nuclear). How is it that does not also belong in the "anthropogenic forcing" cube? Did they count something twice? Is there any antropocentric megalomania involved here?

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#133
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/25/2015 5:27 PM

The numbers aside, nothing comes to my mind yet as far as factors that have to be considered.

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#134
In reply to #127

Re: Oops....Busted

02/25/2015 5:36 PM

Geez, sorry, didn't realize we were so tightly serious.

What's IMHO ?

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#135
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Re: Oops....Busted

02/26/2015 9:28 AM

IMHO - In my humble opinion (some days more humble that others)

AFAICT - As far as I can tell (sometimes I can tell a lot farther)

Other old timers on CR4 know all the cool abbreviations and acronyms.

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#136
In reply to #135

Re: Oops....Busted

02/26/2015 9:37 AM

Well when you are older than dirt you have nothing but time to learn all of the short cuts to language. You need them to get things said before you turn into dust. Am I lurking again?

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#15

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 8:11 AM

Are you funded by Al Gore?

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#19

Re: Oops....Busted

02/22/2015 10:48 AM

I'm chagrined by your comments on this topic. NYT mentions no fault with any of his findings, in fact no one mentions any fabrications whatsoever in any of his work. The only question is the funding, then why not the same interest when vested interests fund support for AGW? Vested interests include but not limited to US DOE, Bill Gate, Geo Soris.

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