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The Computer That Predicted the Future

Posted June 20, 2008 9:33 AM

From BBC News | Technology | World Edition:

More than 20 years ago a generation of schoolchildren sat down to complete a questionnaire they were told would predict their future. Their answers were fed into the Jiig-Cal computer, which filled an entire building at Edinburgh University and promised to reveal their ideal job. The arrival of the Jiig-Cal results was met with hysterical excitement in classrooms across the country. Many children had their dreams of Hollywood or football stardom shattered as the computer predicted they would become wig makers or lighthouse keepers. But the questionnaire - and the often bizarre career suggestions it produced - remains one of the defining childhood memories for most of the estimated four million pupils across Scotland, England and Wales who completed it.

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Guru
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#1

Re: The Computer That Predicted the Future

06/20/2008 1:28 PM

I wonder how many of those predictions became self-fulfilling prophecies? The article says some 70% of the pupils ended up in careers suggested by the computer, but without its input where would their futures have gone instead?

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#2

Re: The Computer That Predicted the Future

06/21/2008 11:42 PM

As stated above by EnviroMan a case of mostly self-fulfilling prophecies.

If the results had been sealed, never to be seen by a living soul, and then the comparisons done, I perhaps would say: Maybe the predictions were accurate.

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#3

Re: The Computer That Predicted the Future

06/22/2008 7:59 PM

The questions on the questionnaire are the determining factor. If I take a test, or answer a questionnaire I consider my answers and am influenced by the response of the reader, which in this case was a programmed computer. I may disagree, or agree with the response. When I took tests as a youth it was recommended I become a scientist, but I was influenced by my father who wanted me to be an artist and poet. I actually think I might have made more money if I had paid attention to the recommendations of the tests. Of course money isn't everything and on many issues I have experience enough to call for respect when I tell a story. A computer is really not that much more powerful than a rock, or a piece of paper. Fate is something that happens to us, and destiny is something we accept and work on willingly is my point. As an experiment I suggest a Slide Rule rated equivalent correlated to the computer responses allowing for the bland unknowing relationship between humans and machines, which are not actually anymore intelligent than we are.

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#4

Re: The Computer That Predicted the Future

06/22/2008 8:54 PM

I personally doubt the computer can be much worse than some of the so-called "HR experts" I've come across, who recommended that I make a career switch to selling insurance when I have zero EQ, or towards building and construction, when I have actually worked there and quit because I found it boring and unfulfilling.

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#5

Re: The Computer That Predicted the Future

06/23/2008 11:03 AM

Yup. The questionnaire is the key, not the computer grading it. The results would probably not have been any different had a human being sat down and graded the test, matching the responses with "optimal" career choices. All the computer did was make the grading quicker and more consistent, plus provide a database to analyze.

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