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Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

Posted February 22, 2008 10:06 AM

From Autoblog:

Jon Markman at MSN Money doesn't hold back when he says "Corn-based ethanol production is sure to go down as one of the greatest mistakes ever in U.S. energy policy." It's even more provoking when he writes "replacing fossil fuels with corn-based ethanol would double greenhouse gas emissions over the next three decades. The studies show that switchgrass, an alternative to ethanol that's more weed than plant, would boost emissions by 50%."The problem isn't with the cars, the problem is with what it takes to grow the biofuel in the first place. Clearing the land, harvesting, and refining the crops, plus the loss of forest and wild lands and habitats, amounts to creating a carbon footprint worse than fossil fuels. According to the Science article which, admittedly, posits an extreme scenario, it would take 423 years to even out the carbon debt if Indonesia's peat lands were converted to palm oil fields.The research is starting to give some people pause, such as the folks at the European Union who declared they wanted ten-percent of the block's transport fuel to come from plants. And Joe Fargione of the U.S. Nature Conservancy asks, "Is it worth it? ...Surprisingly the answer is 'no'. These natural areas store a lot of carbon, so converting them to crops results in tons of carbon emitted into the atmosphere."

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#1

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/22/2008 2:55 PM

Just about every single liberal policy is poorly thought out, and generally produces the opposite result of the intended. Look at our failed war on poverty, it's as bad as ever, with no end in sight, and no exit strategy.

Also, liberal opposition to nuclear power, the safest, cleanest feasible method of elecric generation available.

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#2
In reply to #1

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/22/2008 3:04 PM

But why let facts get in the way of a "good" idea?

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#4
In reply to #1

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/22/2008 3:28 PM

This was George Bush's policy. And hydropower is the cleanest feasible method of electric generation available. But as CSM Engineer said, why let facts get in the way of a good delusion. You go ahead and blame the liberals.

http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/04/20060425.html
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/24/AR2007012401869.html
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/03/09/news/latam.php

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#5
In reply to #4

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/22/2008 4:42 PM

Roger, while I agree hydro-electric is the cleanest, you can not put ethanol on the current administrations list of "failed" policies. The concept for ethanol as a gasoline replacement goes back decades before that and there has been a lot of research that has matured along the way. Switchgrass is just another step along the way of our learning path.

On a point-by-point basis there are many issues that prevent progress for energy independence in the USA. Both sides of the political fence get the blame for this.

Fierce, while there may be a preponderance of evidence against the Democratic policies that have hampered our progress, bringing up unrelated subjects such as the war on poverty is simply a diversion from the subject.

However, herein lies the problem. Important social issues become political footballs for the sake of political power. Energy and Global Warming are simply two of the latest casualties in the political war. And true enough, we can see no end in sight and we have no exit strategy for that either.

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#8
In reply to #5

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/23/2008 5:17 AM

AH,

No president has done more to encourage ethanol than the current president. President Bush believes it will reduce our dependence on foreign oil and is a national security issue. The mandates and subsidies essentially supercharged an industry that barely existed 6 years ago. In his defense, no president since Carter has had to deal with oil prices at these levels and Carter made his own equally bad decisions (Gas Station Lines).

I've been following this Ethanol debacle when it kicked into high gear, right before the 2004 election. I've made money playing the ethanol stock PEIX, even though I knew that ethanol would never work. Politics. It's the same reason I'm buying PEIX right now at $5 and will sell it next year when it jumps again.

Look, I'm not saying the Democratic party is any better. Hilary Clinton, who has long been against Ethanol because she knew it was a bad idea has recently changed her stance on it and says she is now in favor of it. She provided some lame "well now the transport method is better" excuse for the flip flop when its obvious she's pandering to heartland special interests. I'm not sure where Obama stands on Ethanol now, but I can promise you, if he's around in November, he'll be in favor of it.

And as for the Democratic party and their bad ideas, the Republicans have had the Presidency 20 out of the last 28 years and Congress for 10 of the last 12. Where's Utopia? No party has a monopoly on bad ideas.

Politics (yuk).

Roger

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#14
In reply to #8

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/24/2008 12:19 AM

Roger, That's why I'm voting Libertarian. Check out Ron Paul.

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#15
In reply to #14

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/24/2008 11:00 AM

No, you're voting Republican....He may claim to be a Libertarian, but the notation following his name is and always has been [R].

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#19
In reply to #4

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 10:03 AM

All due respect sir, Bush is a liberal, and so is McCain!! The only evidence to the contrary was his tax cuts which were sorely needed.

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#20
In reply to #19

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 10:25 AM

As a conservative, how can you be in favor of his tax cuts when they led to record deficits? If the government gives you back 5% more money by devaluing the currency 50%, how have you gained?

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#21
In reply to #20

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 12:17 PM

I feel differently about it. After all is said and done, the govt takes half of my money every friday essentially at gunpoint. I don't think the govt needs this much of my money. I feel that the tax cuts stimulate the economy more than stifle it. The problem as I see it is not that he cut taxes. The problem is the lack of oversight into how our money is spent. It is not fair to say that I haven't given enough money in taxes. It is more appropriate to challenge how the money that was stolen from me and you is spent. I think the deficit is not due to the tax cut (it is a small portion of the spending budget), it is due to irresponsible spending in other ways. Bush is a record spender which is not conservative, and instead of taxing me more, just spend less for christs sake.

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#22
In reply to #21

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 1:38 PM

I agree, the problem is spending. Here's a break out of the budget for 2008 which was 2.9 trillion dollars. As you can see, National Defense spending was about 600 billion dollars. Social Security (600 billion), Medicare (377 billion), and Interest on our National Debt (261 Billion) were major drains too. 2009 has a budget of 3.10 trillion dollars and an expected deficit of 400 billion dollars which would bring our national debt to just about 9.8 Trillion Dollars. What would you cut to save 400 billion?

I agree our tax rate is very high. Some people mistakingly believe that our highest rate is only 35%, but when you factor in social security and medicare taxes it does come out to around 50%. Quite remarkable if you think about it.

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#23
In reply to #22

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 5:00 PM

That's why I said "at the end of the day I lose 50%" - after general income tax, property tax, sales tax, gains taxes, inheritance tax, death tax, SS, medicare. I'm not sure what I would cut out of the pie graph you submitted (I will stipulate that it is accurate). I guess I just get upset when I hear about the rediculous things that we spend taxpayer money on. When it costs more for a NH resident to attend MA state college than it does for an illegal immigrant to attend MA colleges because taxpayers split the bill for them (just a small example).

When I look at the people I know who collect govt money I am disgusted. One example I know of is this person who has a system set up with their boss where she works only a certain number of hours a week simply so she can qualify to receive certain govt handouts (compliments of you and me). The woman is completely capable of working for a living, but works it so she can get the food stamps because of her hours and income level.

I've also figured out that she will have her boss pay her through other means (house repairs, etc) to keep her income at a level where she qualifies for Mass Health, again compliments of you and me who work our butts off just to keep half our money.

It just goes to show that govt handouts breed these types of people. If the govt will give you everything you need....why work? Why contribute to society and compete in the marketplace of ideas when the govt takes that hard earned money from you and gives it to those that do not work and do not "earn" their living. Many people need help to get on their feet, but the abuses to the system are unchecked and rampant. Multiple generations of people on welfare is not how the system was supposed to work.

If the govt would just cut my taxes, I would spend all that money anyway which directly boosts the economy.

Anyway, I needed to vent a little there. Work hard and don't forget to pay up, whether it is to Hillary, Obama, or McCain, there all a bunch of tax hungry liberals who won't hesitate to lower your standard of living as they continue their mission to achieve an unattainable utopia society where no one is smarter or better than anyone else. Wasn't socialism already tried somewhere???? I forget, or at least voting Americans have forgotten and it's a shame. My argument is not with you sir, please take no offense.

Democracy is the worst form of government, except for all the others - W. Churchill -

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#26
In reply to #23

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 9:44 PM

SmithsEng,

I don't blame you. I'm frustrated too. 9.7 Trillion dollar national debt. Think about that a moment.

I'm frustrated because people ignore the biggest spending. That's an outrage to me. I'm outraged that I get lectured on science spending when it represents less than 1 percent of the overall budget.

Imagine you made 20,000 a year and were in 80,000 dollars debt. Now imagine your solution was to cut back on the heat by 15 degrees in your house to save money, yet you go out and buy a brand new SUV for 40,000. Then you yell at your family when they complain that its cold in the house telling them they need to make sacrifices and how they need to stop wasting heat. That's the U.S. in a nutshell.

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#25
In reply to #22

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 8:12 PM

Roger. What I would cut is not only the interest on the national debt, but the interest the Federal Reserve Bank (about as "federal" as the Federal Spaghetti and Chili parlor) charges the U.S. Government (and hence the citizens) for each and every dollar minted and SOLD into circulation.

I believe that total is nearly 850 billion dollars. My math may be off slightly, because the actual interest numbers (for the money loaned to the U.S. Treasury) are very difficult to get at. Plus I am fighting off the Bubonic Plague equivalent of a head cold.

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#27
In reply to #25

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 9:49 PM

The problem with that is it makes dollars more accessable, which in turn devalues them. It's basically a subtle "Print more money" as a solution, which doesn't work.

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#28
In reply to #27

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 9:57 PM

Agreed.

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#29
In reply to #28

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 10:34 PM

Not to change the subject but there is a thread where CR4 is looking for slogans, if you have a chance maybe you could chime in. I'm not terribly impressed with what I came up with.

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#30
In reply to #29

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/26/2008 5:54 PM

Roger, could you give me the link or address?

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#24
In reply to #21

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 7:56 PM

At the risk of turning this into a Political debate, I humbly recommend that you check out Sen. Ron Paul's website and mission statement.

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#3

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/22/2008 3:22 PM

Yeah, Ethanol is a pretty bad idea. The premise of "carbon neutral" sounds good until you consider factors such as fertilizer, shipping, the removal of forests to create more land for farming, desertification, rising food prices, ect. In the end it really is pretty much the dumbest way we could go about trying to reduce emissions. To understand why one needs to consider the side effects. Consider the following points regarding corn based ethanol:

  • As demand for ethanol increases, price of corn goes up
  • As price of corn goes up, farmers plant more corn and less of other grains
  • Since there are less of "other plants", those "other plants" prices go up
  • Anything business that must purchase feed raises the price of its products such as cow, chicken and pork.
  • As the price of cow, chicken and pork go up, restaurants must raise their prices to maintain margins. Supermarkets must raise prices too.
  • Hide and leather items go up in price including belts, jackets, boots, shoes, etc.

So now you the consumer has to pay more for food and clothing. So what does the consumer do? They cut back on their spending on other things, which slows the economy, which then results in job loss and reduced salaries.

Meanwhile, in the past when corn and grains were cheap and we had a huge excess, we would give it to aid organizations to help refugees and starving people. We have to cut back on that too.

So basically we pollute more, take food from starving people, raise consumer prices, and create a stagflation environment.

The government handles this by lowering interest rates which devalues the dollar, not counting food or fuel costs when measuring inflation, and subsidizing ethanol plants and making laws that force stations to buy it. Also, for anyone who thinks devaluing currency is a good idea, good luck with that, it hasn't been for other countries in the past.

So why is this policy being pursued? As tempting as it is to say that the politicians are idiots, it's not really the case. The other side of Ethanol is that it produces jobs and revenue for the central United States which is a key swing states for national elections. So don't expect ethanol policy to be changed before November.

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#6

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/22/2008 6:37 PM

...Right On!

...too many of todays "green-wienies" are seeing only the "today" solutions and not looking 'forward' enough toward the "whole" problem(s) and considering the "tomorrow" problems which might/can/may/will arise from hasty and ill-thought-out decisions/policies being made in the clamor of "PC" atmospherics.

...the best analogy is medicine: sure the "new" pill 'cures' today's illness, but what about its as yet unforseen "future" side effects (can you say THALIDOMITE babies)?

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#7

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/23/2008 12:49 AM

Ethanol is a great Idea, depending on what flavoring you mix in with it. I personally prefer a little Anise and Lime.

As a fuel from corn: very bad!! Brazil managed from sugar cane only because they were having to burn several thousand metric tonnes of it every year to get rid of it.

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#9

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/23/2008 9:18 AM

As an alternative to corn starch ethanol, why not cellulistic ethanol. It comes from the inedible parts of plants. The other day, I watched a PBS program on how Florida is making strides in the arena. A state program, "Farm to Fuel" sponsored by Florida Agriculture Commissioner-Charles H. Bronson, is promoting developemnt in the arena. A UF researcher (sorry, can't recall his name now) has discovered(engineered?) a bacteria that ferments cellulistic material intead of just common sugars. According to the program, they can now make ethanol out of non edible crops. For instance, sugar cane bagas (inedible left overs from processing cane into sugar) and wood chips/sawdust. There was even mention of using Brazilian Pepper. Which is (for our non-Floridian viewers) an invasive, extremely resiliant and amazinglly fast growing poisonous plant. It was imported in the 50's/60's to dry up swamplands for developement. It was a really stupid idea, cause now that it's here it is killing all of our native plants and we can't get rid of it. It would be nice if we could finally turn it into something useful.

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#10

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/23/2008 12:21 PM

It's no secret that corn based ethanol is energy inefficient. It's also no secret that support for corn based ethanol has nothing to do with energy policy and everything to do with the politics of farm subsidies, and has enjoyed bipartisan support forever.

But don't let these simple facts prevent you from reinforcing your political prejudices.

It's also largely irrelevant since a variety of truly energy efficient ethanol technologies are on the horizon.

I posted about a couple here:

http://cr4.globalspec.com/thread/16973

and here:

http://cr4.globalspec.com/thread/13702

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#11
In reply to #10

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/23/2008 12:45 PM

Bhankii,

Do a calculation of the arable land in the U.S. and it's energy consumption and you'll see that it's not even close to possible to meet our energy needs this way. I'm not saying it isn't a worthwhile energy policy accessory to try and turn corn stalks into energy, but that's not what is going on.

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#16
In reply to #11

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/24/2008 4:52 PM

This is why I like the technologies that make ethanol from the garbage we already produce - no production of feed stock is required.

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#17
In reply to #11

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 8:18 AM

...and how do these rises correlate to rises in transportation costs, both through fuel and regulations imposed because of transportation both within the US and from foreign countries importing...

Corn based ethanol does not make sense for "improving" the way non third world societies/economies run. Other types of ethanol use such as those from grasses, invasive species, and plant "garbage," or combinations thereof have a possibility of being a better fuel.

The talk against ethanol is that it has a bigger carbon footprint than fossil fuels. All we would need is a bigger carbon filter

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#12

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/23/2008 9:02 PM

Finally someone got it right

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#13

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/23/2008 11:35 PM

In all fairness, ethanol could still be an important part of the future for several reasons. Sure, it's dirty. But we may need ethanol for cars and trucks in the future. The fuel has to come from somewhere. Something will have to replace oil when it's over $5/ gallon! If cellulosic ethanol becomes cheap, it will be a very helpful addition as we make the transition to alternative energy technologies.. Steve Selverston

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#18

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

02/25/2008 9:40 AM

The two recent ethanol studies from Princeton and Minnesota regarding greenhouse gases and land use impacts of biofuels generated a lot of media attention. It is useful to read the original articles, rather than either the summaries or the articles written ABOUT the articles, to better understand the assumptions the authors made. It is also useful to read the responses, notably the ones written by Argonne National Lab and the US Department of Energy, to understand how opinions differ regarding those assumptions: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/biomass/pdfs/obp_science_response_web.pdf

http://www.transportation.anl.gov/media_center/news_stories/20080214_response.html

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#31

Re: Science magazine declares ethanol worse for the Earth than fossil fuels

03/01/2008 3:46 AM

No point in starving, just so the big V8 cars can run on corn ethanol, is there.

This was worked out years ago, the same as the "Biodiesel" so-called use for replacement of petroleum diesel.

Kind Regards....

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