Sell all the major state highways to private enterprise to
turn into toll roads. The car's
computer system will know when to pay the toll from your account (GPS and all
that stuff) where you will put money if you don't have a credit rating worth
anything. Everyone else drives on the
side roads or gets cited for criminal trespass on private property. The
highways will be private property, you know.
So let's argue the mechanics, especially the technical
issues, of doing this and all the plusses and minuses in the subtitles.
I figure the total value of real estate and improvements
(pavement, bridges, etc.) of the nation's highways (the 4 lane and larger ones)
is somewhere north of $2 trillion. Most
are owned by states albeit with Federal strings attached.
44 states and the District of Columbia are projecting budget
shortfalls totaling $125 billion for fiscal year 2012.
http://www.cbpp.org/cms/?fa=view&id=711
This is about 1.3 trillion for the next 10 years if the
current situation fiscal continues.
(Anyone think for one moment that it will change?) (I figure that there
are two Tea Partiers for every state employee…..sounds like a standoff to me)
Pew Study Finds States Face $2.73 Trillion Bill for Retiree
Benefits, states already have set aside about $2 trillion to meet their
long-term obligations. But they still need to come up with about $731 billion
http://www.pewtrusts.org/news_room_detail.aspx?id=32368
Some predictions of USA automobile populations in the year
2020 suggest that 40% will be hybrids.
But there is little mention of fewer cars on the highways. 2022 may increase this proportion.
http://www.atkearney.com/res/shared/pdf/Auto2020.pd
My guess is that the average new car will cost $30K in
today's dollars in 2022. I also predict
that it will be capable of being completely computer controlled by external
signals and sophisticated sensors of surrounding highway conditions. We have the technology today; in 10 years it
will be mainstream.
Implementation of toll collecting requires some pretty good
software. Google has a head up on this to be a big money maker given their
prowess at software development and Google Earth product.
The right wing will love the privatizing side of this as
well as stabilizing the threat of state default that can upset everyone's stake in the economy. Plenty of entrepreneur opportunities
here.
The left will love the idea of motivating alternative
transportation schemes and guaranteeing
their union friends will get their pensions while still funding all sorts of
existing government giveaways.
The silent middle will hate the idea of giving up free use
of the highways they paid for. But note
they have long enjoyed the benefits of state programs funded by debt so that
they, the voters wouldn't have to pay more taxes. They don't count. They
are silent!! And stupid.
Could the state governments keep the highways and set up
their own toll systems to collect money?
Even if they eliminate fuel taxes and reg fees? Politically impossible. They'd argue this till the end of this
century and still wouldn't agree.
Again, let's argue the mechanics, especially the technical
issues, of doing this and all the plusses and minuses in the subtitles.
Ed Weldon
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