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8 comments

Beware The Hidden Costs of Labor in China

Posted May 04, 2011 8:49 AM by geanorm

Editor's Note: CR4 would like to thank Bruce Martin of GEA Consulting for this second in a series of introspective essays from China.

When one views the many foreign companies venturing to China over the years it can be seen that the due diligence undertaken when relocating a factory across town is frequently more diligent than the move to China.

Recently a Fortune 500 company, which supplies parts to the HVAC industry, acquired a Chinese company recently listed on the HK stock exchange. After the acquisition it was discovered that wages had been reduced by 30% before the IPO in order to make the financial situation look better. The workers had been told that after the IPO their wages would be increased perhaps even higher than before. But then when the Fortune 500 multinational acquired the company it became the expectation, fueled by pre-acquisition management, that the workers' wages would be significantly increased above pre-IPO levels since they would now be working for foreigners.

If a company complying with IPO scrutiny and regulations and passing muster with a Fortune 500 company for whom acquisitions are their bread and butter has such a hidden factor; then what hidden factors may not-so-diligent diligence fail to uncover?

Consider, for example,

  • In a modernized joint-venture factory, the number of laid off workers may equal 50% or more of the work force. But those workers are still paid at perhaps 70% of their previous wage. These layoffs with pay are still considered employed workers on the government books. The government has no performance measurement for wage increases, only for the number of persons employed. In return the local government will stifle dissent over low wages and perhaps be lenient on tax collection.
  • Often wives must be hired along with the husbands. Even though they have no skills and there is no position for them.
  • How much time will workers spend away from productive work for training? And what is the cost of the training itself?
  • In addition to time off for training the workers get as much as three weeks off for Chinese New Year plus three "golden week" holidays per year.
  • Although a line worker's wage may be low; the line leader's wage may be 5-10x higher. In Thailand, for example, the line leader's wage may be only 10-25% higher. Consequently the combined average wage in Thailand may be lower than in China.
  • A prominent global HVAC company manufacturing in China has 3 QA inspectors for every 10 line workers.
  • A 13th and 14th month (wage) bonus is often expected.
  • Non-wage benefits can include housing allowances, cell phone allowances, lunch and/or dinner, transportation from a rural area, uniform and even long johns, shampoo, towels, cooking oil, etc.
  • Is there only one Chinese worker doing the work done by one worker in the U.S.? Not necessarily. Many jobs were split into parts in order to simplify the work.
  • How much worker redundancy is needed to account for high turnover and/or lack of experienced workers in the job market?
  • White collar (support) workers' wages are not low. A design or manufacturing engineer's salary in Shanghai has been higher than in Singapore for some time.
  • The person on whose land your factory sits likely has a lifetime work contract for himself and family and even some relatives as part of the agreement to sell the land use rights to the factory.

These are some factors which might be ascertained with some due diligence. There are more that are not so easily identified. You see, the goal is to get your investment (money, skills and technology) - not to give ownership of the China market to foreign companies. For larger companies whose news could affect the queue of other foreign companies lined up to invest in China, there may be fewer hidden factors, but not necessarily. They just have the resources to absorb many of the smaller problems and so don't make them known.

And these are just the surprises associated with wages!!

- Bruce Martin

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#1

Re: Be Aware The Hidden Costs of Labor in China

05/04/2011 9:12 AM

Bruce, this is a real eye-opener.

I have been involved with a few company buy-outs here in the USA, and I am surprised at the ingenuity of some people. Cooking the Books for review by a prospective purchaser seems common, and a large amount of due diligence is an absolute necessity, lest you be left holding the proverbial bag.

However, the efforts I have seen pale in comparison to your article... and as you say, these are just the wage issues.

I await your next installment.

Doorman.

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#2

Re: Be Aware The Hidden Costs of Labor in China

05/04/2011 12:52 PM

Looks like the Chinese workers are operating right out of the UAW playbook.

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#3

Re: Be Aware The Hidden Costs of Labor in China

05/05/2011 6:37 AM

Personally I have absolutely no sympathy for these companies. They do not give a damn about the workers that they throw on the scrap heap in the US or Europe so why should we care what happens to these money grabbing a$$holes? If you are willing to make a deal with the devil then you will get what you deserve.

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#4

Re: Be Aware The Hidden Costs of Labor in China

05/05/2011 8:38 AM

I think the biggest missed cost is the risk premium. China is technically (according to the CIA Factbook) a Communist State. At the very least it's a repressive totalitarian oligarchy. History has shown that these type of Governments can appear quite strong and then collapse quite quickly (a recent example being the U.S.S.R.).

There seems to be a growing confidence on Wall Street that China is stable, but what is this confidence based upon? It seems to be based upon the logic that China hasn't collapsed yet and lots of people are making money investing in China. I must point out that this is EXACTLY the same philosophy that led to the housing crisis, but in that case the logic was that housing prices don't collapse and lots of people were making money investing in housing.

China will collapse at some point. Careful examination of the standard of living of the majority of their population makes this pretty inevitable. Take for instance this recent move by a manufacturer in China:

http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/141578/20110505/apple-ipad-china-foxconn.htm

When political uncertainty comes to China, and it will, it will cause a feedback loop of companies withdrawing or slowing investment in China leading to slower Chinese economic growth leading to increased unemployment followed by violence by the unemployed followed by even further slowing or withdrawing of investment. You see, unlike here where we can have elections that allow Americans to vent their frustration by changing leadership, China has no such mechanism, and so frustration can only be expressed through violence.

When companies invest in China, they don't include enough of a risk premium, and at some point it will catch up with them. Of course, when that day comes they will most likely say "who could have foreseen that a repressive totalitarian state would have internal instability?" Yes, how could that possibly be anticipated, right?

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#5
In reply to #4

Re: Be Aware The Hidden Costs of Labor in China

05/05/2011 9:35 AM

The link you provided was both funny (not in a ha ha way) and disturbing. What exactly would the repercussions for the employee be if they did commit suicide I wonder?

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Re: Be Aware The Hidden Costs of Labor in China

05/06/2011 4:14 PM

It's probably a way for the company to retain any wages owed to the employee after they die. It sounds cynical, and I hope I'm wrong, but wouldn't a more honest way to reduce suicides be to improve working conditions? Notice they haven't hinted at even looking into that. I suspect that this is a disingenuous way to make a few extra Yuan while appearing compassionate.

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#6

Re: Be Aware The Hidden Costs of Labor in China

05/05/2011 1:27 PM

Situation regarding labour costs is far from equilibrium. But China's best interest right now is to keep labour increase rate as lower than economic growth rate as possible. And I see it partially happening. Not like some countries I know including regrettably mine. So using such practices won't have any long term benefits in it's economy. It's just that reactions will delay. And think that too high of a labour income increase rate If taken as granded for a long period of time will have bad impact when anavoidably ιn some time saturation of markets for it's product-per-cost comes. In the meantime other countries will suffer difficulties worse than now. And ther's no f... Laden to blame any more. S.M.

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#8

Re: Be Aware The Hidden Costs of Labor in China

05/09/2011 2:08 PM

Just goes back to that adage:

FIGURES DON'T LIE BUT LIARS CAN FIGURE.

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