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Speaking of Precision

Speaking of Precision is a knowledge preservation and thought leadership blog covering the precision machining industry, its materials and services. With over 36 years of hands on experience in steelmaking, manufacturing, quality, and management, Miles Free (Milo) Director of Industry Research and Technology at PMPA helps answer "How?" "With what?" and occasionally "Really?"

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Future of Manufacturing - Age and Education Impacts

Posted June 29, 2012 12:00 AM by Milo

The competitiveness of Manufacturing in North America has helped it to lead the recovery out of the last recession.

What are the trends that we face in Manufacturing going forward?

("I see two graphs that will determine the success of manufacturing.")

Up-Skilling

The following graph shows that since 2007, manufacturers have added more educated workers while eliminating less skilled / less educated positions:

Word to potential workers: Skills not labor to work in Manufacturing.

Increasingly employers are looking for credentials for skills rather than 2 and 4 year degrees.

Right Skills Now is one way for math capable candidates to get their start in a career in advanced manufacturing in CNC operations.

RSN curriculum

Demand for skilled workers "blues":

The blue bar segments in the following graph shows us that as the baby boomer cohort leave the workforce, there are currently not enough under 25 and 25- 34 year olds to make up for their loss. This means that not only will productivity increases have to continue, but also that we need to really make an effort to bring 34 and under people into our skilled workforce in manufacturing. This will certainly be a challenge for employers, and if nothing is done, will mean a new management version of the No Job Blues- "the no skilled worker blues" - for our shops as we try to find candidates for open positions left by the departing boomers.

If you are a savvy shop, you are working on this issue today- if the average age of our manufacturing workers is 50, that means over half of our workforce are within a few short years of retirement.

What's your plan for workforce and skill development in your shop, city, region and state?

How's it working out for you?

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#1

Re: Future of Manufacturing - Age and Education Impacts

06/29/2012 12:05 PM

Very interesting,

This excerpt is interesting

Word to potential workers: Skills not labor to work in Manufacturing.

Increasingly employers are looking for credentials for skills rather than 2 and 4 year degrees.

The interesting part is what doesn't seemingly has an impact on this country actually does. about 15-20 years ago, Japan experienced this, where every Japanese citizen wanted an professional office job and had no interest in what was seemingly nothing more that a trades skill. The machine shops had a backlog of work, but no skilled personnel to run the machines.

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#2
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Re: Future of Manufacturing - Age and Education Impacts

06/29/2012 12:12 PM

Thanks. Who'd have thought that their were fashion trends in career choice?

Milo

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#3

Re: Future of Manufacturing - Age and Education Impacts

06/29/2012 11:03 PM

Economies of scale, cost of labor and cost of freight rule here.

There is very little Chinese gravel sold in the USA/Canada. Freight cost prevents it.

We used to have a freight barrier that helped the car industry - now we have roll-on-roll-off (RORO) car carriers, where cars are driven onto close spaced decks, end to end, and tied down quickly. When they arrive they are driven off quite quickly. Back in the 60's it cost 4 times as much per car and took a lot longer. Then labor in the USA for car is far too high. As a result 90% of UAW jobs gone - good riddance. Those greedy @#$%S are a major part of the problem. We have good economy of scale, just not good enough to fight off the high labor costs. In Korea the workers can spend 3-4 times as much time in finishing a car for export - which is why the dealer spends so much time in "dealer prep" = fixing badly made cars.

Free Trade - it can not work unless wages are the same in both countries for the same item made. As you can see by the dollar stores, there is no way to make that stuff in the USA, that filled the 5 and 10 cent stores of the past. It is all made in China in large scale automated plants. The use could not compete even if they got the product free and all they had to do was package it on a blister card.

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Re: Future of Manufacturing - Age and Education Impacts

06/30/2012 11:27 PM

Thanks for the insightful comment. Presume you meant USA not use. I was not seeing a lot of automation in China when I visited there. I am sure they are starting that in some industries, but they were looking to create jobs rather than automate and eliminate them. Had never encountered what you said regarding the Korean auto situation. Thanks. Milo

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#5
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Re: Future of Manufacturing - Age and Education Impacts

07/01/2012 4:36 AM

The classic Deming curve. After WW2, Japan could only sell trashy items here - toys etc.

Edwards Deming

Korea followed, but faster and now China.

We are reaching the point where all of a countries manufactured goods can be made by 5% of the work force. The USA has done this with food - in 1900 60% or so of the USA work force was on the farm - then came automation.

In time, we must decide if we want that 5% in manufacturing to be in China, and the USA people are on the dole or here in the USA?

It matters little, it is only 5%, plus 5% on farms. The other 90% what? Service industries?, or just give them $$, via a negative income tax?

NIT

We will make the $$ for this via export of Intellectual property? Possibly.

Challenges are coming

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#6
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Re: Future of Manufacturing - Age and Education Impacts

07/02/2012 9:11 AM

Drive out fear, so that everyone may work effectively for the company. (See Ch. 3 of "Out of the Crisis")
This is one of the many problems i face in my current job. As i develop new technology or introduce more advanced technology the employees see the action as eliminating their job. This causes fear and a definite resentment of me.

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