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Let’s Split a Warship

Posted November 15, 2010 7:00 AM by Steve Melito

The U.S. Navy wants two competing teams to develop different designs for the Littoral Combat Ship (LCS), a small surface vessel that can counter asymmetric threats close to shore. The winning team will build 10 boats before the Navy selects a second source to build 5 more. Proponents of this "split buy" strategy credit contractor price cuts and the promise of greater operational versatility. Why buy a fleet with just one design?

"If the new approach is such a smart idea," asks Loren B. Thompson of the Lexington Institute, "then doesn't that bolster the case for a split buy of other military systems, like fighter engines or aerial refueling tankers?" Thompson answers his own question by countering the case for "competition". Ultimately, he argues, there won't be enough cost savings in the Navy's new approach to "cover the bill" for two different production lines and two different maintenance systems.

The military marketplace is different, he adds, in that there's only one customer – the U.S. government – to cover all supplier costs. Does "split buy" procurement ever make sense?

Source: Defense Update

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#1

Re: Let’s Split a Warship

11/15/2010 11:14 PM

You run the numbers in every case to see what makes sense. This is just another such case.

Nothing really new about split procurement of weapons systems with the same mission. In early WWII there was a lot of ship and aircraft procurement split up between different manufacturers who designed and built differently for the same mission. This had to be done because of production limits in a given supplier.

It's important in feasibility studies that preclude procurement decisions of this type that account be taken of current actual cost trends. In the last 20 years there have been profound changes in the world of enginering design, manufacturing and logistics as well as subsystem reliability for military weapons systems. Old rules of thumb become of questionable value very quickly.

So the issue of cost savings resulting in building larger quantities of just one design may not be there especially when one of two competitors falls away. The guy left can now have his profits determined just by negotiations whenever there is a change to the contract. Contrast this with the situation where he is always competing with the other guy.

Then there is the value of two different viable and competing manufacturers remaining in the picture deeper into the life of the weapons system as operational capabilities get more testing in the real world and missions begin to evolve.

Personally I think what the Navy is doing with this procurement process makes a lot of sense as long as the cost numbers look good. There is always the chance that one competitors' designs and products will win and the investment, particularly startup costs by the loser will start to look like a loss. This would invite the usual political criticism and media investigative reporting. That's just part of the game.

Ed Weldon

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#2
In reply to #1

Re: Let’s Split a Warship

11/16/2010 2:05 AM

I am reminded of the Jeep. The winning design was somehow taken over by companies able to produce a lot of them. Far as low number needs for major investments, I wonder if such splits would really work out.

Little things add up and between the Jeep, and the Garand semi automatic rifle, BAR, as opposed to the Mauser bolt action and whatever machine guns the Germans had as common, well, somebody lost.

It was Liberty Ships, and Escort Class aircraft carriers that won. Damn AK47s run the world now.

One thing to know is somebody better make a decision about what to buy when. In war things get real dirty.

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#3

Re: Let’s Split a Warship

11/16/2010 8:01 AM

"asymmetric threats"
RAOFPMSL
Del <slaps furry head with asymmetric paw>

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#4
In reply to #3

Re: Let’s Split a Warship

11/16/2010 8:59 AM

Del,

Troops in the US AND the UK have learned allot about "asymmetric threats" over the last few years. Where the enemy uses his strongest force against our weakest force. Road Side Bomb deployed against Un-Armored Humvees or a column of guys on foot. Think Trap-Door Spider against a single Ant.

You know this. Sorry. I have a great deal of respect for you and all you contribute. I'm just hypersensitive.

I get tired of this self imposed asymmetry. We have to play nice and pull our punches while those who would kill us can be as ruthless and bloodletting as they want because they are seen as the underdog, or the oppressed, or something. . .

Frankly I think we need this type of boat. A small boat with a BIG gun to rock the badguys back on their heels. I like the idea of a "target of oppotunity" being able to fight back!

-A-

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#5
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Re: Let’s Split a Warship

11/16/2010 10:11 AM

It's the language I'm commenting on. 'Asymmetric warfare' has a meaning.
I'm not sure 'asymmetric threat' makes sense.
In the warfare context the asmmetry is between the two sides. In the expression asymmetric threat the threat it'self isn't asymmetric... the expression is nonsensical and even if I admit that they mean an assymetry between the two sides, it's still nonsensical as they are assuming the asymmetry is biased in a certain direction. E.G the oppositon is less well equiped than you, which isn't always the case.
They probably mean 'lightly armed but very mobile' threats in which case they should say so. Or if they mean terrorists and pirates then say so.
It's just another example of bastardisation of a perfectly good language by people trying to sound clever.
Gobbledegook at its worst.
Oh, and back to topic, it probably just needs someone with the balls to open fire on the pirates who are making a mockery of our navies (I think the Russians are the only navy to have stood up to Somalian pirates... I don't think Nelson would have put up with it, Britania doesn't rule the waves, we've allowed a bunch of pirates to take the mickey)
Del

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#6
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Re: Let’s Split a Warship

11/16/2010 10:24 AM

I will take what you have said into strong consideration. At this juncture, my number one action item is to create a separation space between the tabled zeitgeist, and the way forward along an actionable tangent vector.

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#7
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Re: Let’s Split a Warship

11/16/2010 10:32 AM

Del

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#8
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Re: Let’s Split a Warship

11/16/2010 11:15 AM

Dropping a bit OT here; so I won't be insulted if someone wants to score me that way.

I think those nations that have major shipping interests and the military wherewithall to enforce their will need to get together and take control of the high seas for the purpose of traffic control and safety. Perhaps the UN should be given the first shot at the job. If they can't make it happen and choose thereby to delegitimize themselves then maybe a separate organization can find roots in the G20 or something like that.

The idea would be to take control of certain shipping lane regions, in an outright territorial grab if necessary, declaring a "no fly" zone for any vessel lacking a proper registration, identification and trip plan. Play along and you get safe passage. Refuse and you get a nasty surprise. Simple transponder technology and a properly positioned satelite would automate a lot of it. There would always need to be local aircraft or high speed vessels to exercise visual reconassaince on "accidental" intruders. But a reputation for a pretty short fuse on the response to contacts that wouldn't cooperate or looked out of place (eg: beatup old fishing boat with a high speed inflatable on deck) would get the word around pretty fast.

I do think the Russians and Chinese among others have the balls to pull this off and give the "bronx sallute" to all the bleeding hearts. I don't know about the Europeans. And the USA is still trying to clean up it's reputation after the period of foreign policy clumsiness in the first decade of this century. Besides, most of these pirate problems are closer to eastern hemisphere commerce that of the Americas.

With respect to the "asymmetric" adjective I'm confused also. Seems the naval vessels in question in this topic are essentially offensive weapons. If you want to take the offensive to the enemy you have to find him first. Did I miss something here?

Ed Weldon

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#11
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Re: Let’s Split a Warship

11/20/2010 3:27 PM

Agreed - If they just sank the Somalis who are in small boats farther than 10 km from the coast the piracy would stop overnight.

This baby sitting the clowns is beyond silly.

Russ

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#10
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Re: Let’s Split a Warship

11/16/2010 2:10 PM

Warfare has always been asymmetric, and always will be. Otherwise it is pointless.

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#9

Re: Let’s Split a Warship

11/16/2010 2:08 PM

It seems to me that multiple sources can provide equipment faster than one source and the sense of competition will help to create two better ships than just one design and source.

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